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The United States " New York Times " recently revealed a detail that after Russia launched a special military operation against Ukraine, the national security unity of US President Biden was "secretly happy" and determined that Russia had made a "strategic mistake." They believe Russia will be hit hard under sanctions from the United States and its allies. The New York Times said that this view has become an "Article of faith" of the current US administration.
Is this really true?
My point of view is exactly the opposite: When the United States decides to attack China and Russia at the same time, the United States itself is the country that made "strategic mistakes". The United States seems to be responding to all the allies, but at this moment, the United States chooses to fight on two fronts, which is exactly the weakest strategically. The United States has no ability to strangle Russia and do its best to contain China.
Domestic inflation in the United States has risen, and class contradictions, racial contradictions and ideological contradictions are still sharp. Biden's support rate continues to decline, and the Democrats will suffer a heavy blow in the November 8 midterm election.
No matter how the United States bluffs, China must firmly defend its national interests and carry out various pragmatic cooperation with Russia normally. As long as Russia is not destroyed by the United States, every day the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a consumption of the United States. The United States is a paper tiger. If we shrink and give in, it will become a real tiger that can only bite people. If we persist in fighting and be good at fighting, the paper tiger will definitely lose its wilt in the end.
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on February 24, the United States has gained a lot of short-term benefits.
Against the backdrop of the United States' long-term infiltration and control of its allies, after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the Western world showed unprecedented unity, and for a time, anti-Russia became politically correct.
Biden has been in good condition. With the tight war in Russia and Ukraine and the huge impact of Europe, he has returned to his hometown to spend weekends many times.
To a certain extent, the two cards that the United States has always considered, "using Ukraine to make Russia" and "using Russia to control Europe" have been played, and in the short term, the effect is pretty good.
However, no matter how much profit the United States has in the short term, in the long run, it has not changed the situation of the United States in the "strategic triangle" of China, the United States and Russia.
The United States and Russia completely break up. In the short term, they can enjoy the pleasure of "taking Russia's life", but in the long run, they will create an "enemy" with strong nuclear deterrence capabilities for the United States.
The United States makes Russia's life difficult, and Russia will also make the United States' life difficult.
On March 24, a month after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out, Biden flew to Europe and participated in three summits of NATO , G7 and EU in one day, with unlimited glory.
Before the summit, U.S. government officials repeatedly issued "intimidation" against China, hoping to prevent normal and pragmatic cooperation between China and Russia.
For this reason, the United States has not hesitated to create two "discourse traps" for Russia and China:
First, the United States repeatedly mentioned that Russia's special military operations against Ukraine were "unprovoked" and "without legitimate reasons." But is this really the case? The United States has no faith and has promoted NATO to expand eastward, put troops and offensive weapons at Russia's doorstep, and even directly pushed Ukraine to the front line of anti-Russia. What kind of "white lotus" is the United States?
Second, the United States repeatedly mentioned that if China supports Russia's war in Ukraine, it will impose sanctions on China.What is supporting Russia's war in Ukraine? China normally purchases crude oil, natural gas, , grain, coal, wood, etc. from Russia. What is the relationship with the conflict between Russia and Ukraine? What does it have to do with the United States? What's wrong with Chinese companies selling mobile phones, computers and cars normally in Russia? China does not interfere with the conflict between the United States and Russia, but the United States is not qualified to interfere with the cooperation between China and Russia.
The United States is now bluffing, trying to intimidate and coerce China.
But is China scared?
China did not take the initiative to instigate Russia to fight with the United States. The conflict between Russia and the United States was caused by the United States itself and had nothing to do with China.
The normal cooperation between China and Russia involves China's national interests, the interests of Chinese citizens and Chinese enterprises, and also involves China's independent foreign policy. The United States is not qualified to point fingers at China.
At this moment, the United States has poked Russia's "horse nest", and it must bear the consequences. The United States and NATO support Ukraine with unprecedented strength, and the United States is gradually sliding to the brink of direct conflict between Russia and the United States.
At this moment, does the United States still dare to fight a "2.0 trade war" with China?
The essential feature of a paper tiger is that if you dare not fight, it can achieve its goal by using intimidation and deterrence to become a biting tiger. If you see through its bluffing tricks, dare to fight and be good at fighting, it becomes a joke.
The United States wants to open up two fronts in Europe and the Indo-Pacific at the same time, and attack Russia and China at the same time?
Is this the United States confident or arrogant?
I believe that those who are knowledgeable will naturally see it very clearly.
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has once again verified one sentence: "It is dangerous to be the enemy of the United States, and it is even more dangerous to be the friend of the United States."
Poor European countries, who are wholeheartedly treating the United States as a "special partner of the transatlantic ocean", but in the entire Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the United States "watches the tiger's fight across the ocean" and does not hesitate to shed the last drop of blood from the Ukrainians, and also achieve the so-called goal of consuming Russia. The United States does not hesitate to treat Ukraine as a chessboard and Europe as a table for a chessboard. Even if it smashes its two "friends" into pieces, it doesn't matter to the United States.
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, European energy prices were out of control, inflation soared, and millions of Ukrainian refugees poured into European countries, which would have an immeasurable impact on European countries.
Some people in China "rescue" Europe, saying that it was the influx of Ukrainian refugees, which just happened to solve the problem of the low birth rate in Europe and provide a large amount of cheap labor for Europe.
This is really a saying that has no common sense. If Europe really needs labor and doesn’t have to fight, wouldn’t it be enough to introduce it on a large scale?
Judging from past experience, the influx of refugees will not only bring huge financial burdens to the influx countries, but also bring various social problems due to the different languages and cultures of refugees.
At this moment, the United States is still provoking Europe to impose stricter and wider sanctions on Russia. The United States, which is across the Atlantic Ocean, has limited interests in Russia, but Europe, which is right next to Russia, has close ties with Russia. The United States' " moral kidnapping " has caused Europe to impose sanctions on Russia of "injuring the enemy for one thousand and hurting 800" to push Europe into the fire pit.
It is true that in the decades after the war, the United States has carried out all-round penetration of European governments and society. The United States has cultivated a large number of "spiritual Americans" in Europe, but are Europeans all fools? Are Germans especially fools? If the United States is so "unrighteous" and cheats its allies, will Europe fall asleep forever?
The United States wants to "control Europe because of Russia", and Germany and France are probably also thinking about "dealing from the United States because of Russia."
As long as the United States continues to adhere to "America first" and continues to push allies into the fire pit, there will inevitably be allies awakening and opposition to the United States for one day.
The biggest geopolitical mistake the United States made after the " Cold War " is that it does not respect and accept Russia.
The United States, which is addicted to the "Cold War", has been misleading, guarding against and curbing Russia from a selfish and narrow perspective.
After the "Cold War", the United States forced a Russia that yearned for the West to become its opponent.
Biden and Russian President Putin have a deep personal grudge. Biden has always been resentful of Putin's "interference" in the US election and supporting Trump . This time the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict also gave Biden the opportunity to "revenge private revenge."
In the short term, the condemnation and sanctions of the United States will indeed bring great difficulties to Russia.
But Russia is definitely not the "lamb to be slaughtered".
Russia has a vast territory and rich resources, and is not short of energy, food, and can afford it.
Putin has been improving the so-called "Fortress Russia" plan after the Crimea incident in 2014, in order to deal with the worst situation at present.
China will also not stand idly by. What does China need for energy, food, etc. from Russia? What does China export various light industrial products to Russia have to do with the United States?
China has no obligation to cooperate with the United States to "performance" on the unilateral sanctions initiated by the United States.
Biden completely broke up this time and completely gave up the possibility of reconciliation with Russia.
This is destined to harm the national interests of the United States in the long run.
A Russia with strong nuclear deterrence capabilities, a Russia that hates the United States will sooner or later make the United States suffer.
Biden himself definitely does not want to get involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, mainly after the two expensive wars of Afghanistan and Iraq , Biden has obvious war fatigue.
More importantly, the United States believes that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and Russia-US conflicts are "sub-line plots", and the game between China and the United States is the "main plot". The United States does not want to waste valuable strategic resources in the "sub-line plots".
But many times, the development of things does not entirely depend on people's subjective will.
From the moment the Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out, the United States has been deeply involved in the worst geopolitical conflict in Europe so far in the 21st century.
On the surface, the United States only provides weapons and other assistance. In fact, the United States provides Ukraine with unimaginable support to outsiders in terms of intelligence support, cyber attacks, etc.
As soon as the Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out, Biden's national security team set up a "Tiger Team" to prepare for various deterioration and escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
Before and after the NATO special summit, the United States is increasing its military deployment in NATO countries around Russia.
Next, if the United States continues to underestimate Russia and believes that Russia's nuclear deterrence is nothing more than a bluff, the United States will be involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict more deeply. At that time, how Russia counterattacks will be worth paying attention.
Russia is "barefoot is not afraid of wearing shoes". If the United States forces Russia to the critical moment of national survival, Russia will no longer have any concerns. The final result is just a death-death battle.
A month ago, a poll conducted by Reuters and Ipsos showed that Biden's public opinion approval rating has been below 40%, and more than half of American people are dissatisfied with Biden's performance since taking office.
Since the "Kabul crash" in August 2021, Biden's approval rating has not exceeded the non-support rating.
At present, Biden's approval rating is similar to Trump's in the same period, and his performance is very bad.
On November 8, the US Congress will hold a midterm election, and it is a foregone conclusion that the Democrats will lose a majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate.
The elderly Biden is likely to be a "one president".
Biden took office for more than a year, and his physical strength, energy and intelligence are all problems.
His diplomacy, national security, national defense and other teams are all their own "confidants", or selected based on the principle of political correctness. They lack experience and their abilities cannot fully convince the public. An America like
is simply not enough to take on the responsibility of "world leader".
In the past few years, the national image of the United States has been hit hard one after another.
Trump came to power, ruining the United States' politeness and showing the ugliest and selfish side of the United States.
The epidemic has hit and become the "Waterloo" of the United States and the West. The division and anti-intellectuality of American society have been fully revealed.
For a long time, American society still faced three serious contradictions:
—class contradiction caused by the huge gap between the rich and the poor;
—racial contradiction between whites and blacks, etc. racial contradiction between people of color;
—ideological contradiction between liberals and conservatives.
In the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine, American society is still arguing over whether transgender people can participate in women's sports competitions.
Diplomacy is a continuation of internal affairs.
As long as the United States cannot solve its internal governance problems, its influence in the international community will be on a downward trend.
More importantly, the 2024 US presidential election is approaching day by day, and the shadow of Trump's comeback is lingering. Whether it is the United States' allies or the United States' enemies, they are waiting for the arrival of this day, because no one knows what will happen to the United States in 2024.
8) The United States has launched a comprehensive sanction on Russia, which violates the long-standing concepts of "private property is sacred and inviolable", "sports are irrelevant to politics", and "academic neutrality" that the United States has long promoted, and will accelerate the bankruptcy of the United States' "myth".
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, anti-Russia became the political correctness of the United States and the Western world. Various sanctions against Russia came one after another, and even Russian cats, Russian dogs, and Russian trees were not spared. The absurdity of American and Western societies can be seen.
After this incident, the whole world has seen it clearly. The various ideas that the United States has always emphasized are just big sticks to attack others. When it is the United States itself, it began to pursue " American exceptionalism ", which is essentially a double standard and hypocritical approach.
After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the US's self-proclaim is accelerating its destruction.
9) The US sanctions on Russia will accelerate the decline of US dollar hegemony.
The United States first privately divided the $7 billion assets of the Afghan central bank in the United States, and now it has frozen Russia's foreign exchange reserve assets and used the SWIFT system to sanction Russia.
All this the United States has done is not only to see the "enemy" of the United States, but also to China, India, Brazil , South Africa, and all countries in the world that are not die-hard allies of the United States. Everyone knows that if the " dollar-based " is not implemented, and if the "dependence" on the United States is not reduced, the United States can impose sanctions on these countries at any time.
After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, central banks around the world will definitely find ways to disperse foreign exchange reserve assets and will definitely find ways to reduce trust and dependence on the United States.
The United States repeatedly "weaponized" the hegemony of the US dollar, and the final result will be to accelerate the world's escape from the hegemony of the US dollar, which will be a slow and fatal blow to the hegemony of the US dollar.
The United States is determined to contain China and is accelerating its evacuation from other parts of the world, which is particularly evident in the Middle East.
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the global energy market fluctuated violently. The United States wanted to call Saudi and the UAE for help, hoping that these two countries would increase production to alleviate the urgent need, but both countries actually refused to answer Biden's call. What's more, the US Secretary of State Blinken wanted to visit, but was directly rejected.
But at the same time, before the Russian-Ukraine conflict broke out, there was news that the UAE was purchasing Chinese military aircraft. After the Russian-Ukraine conflict broke out, it was reported that Saudi Arabia would use RMB to settle part of the oil exported to China.
When the United States was addicted to inciting allies to join the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, China's State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited Pakistan , Afghanistan and India.
In the entire international relations, the United States has been constantly "blackening" because of domestic interest groups kidnapped its foreign policy, and is becoming a source of chaos in the world; while China holds high the banner of mutual benefit and win-win results, sincerely hopes for world peace, and strives to seek mutually beneficial cooperation with other countries and common development. China has become a positive force in maintaining world peace and promoting world development.
Get the best and have many helps, but lose the way but have few helps.
The United States has a kind of honey confidence that often treats Western Christian white countries as the whole world.
But in fact, how could the real world be without China, India, and Brazil? How could it be that the vast number of developing countries in Southeast Asia, Central Asia, , Middle East , Africa, Latin America, and South Pacific are missing?
China has long been the largest trading partner of most countries in the world, and China truly represents the wish of most people in the international community to seek peace and development.
At this moment, the United States is enjoying an illusory "Feast of Unity and Glory".
However, the "building" of American hegemony is ventilating and its foundation is unstable.
The United States wants to blackmail China at this moment and fantasize about forcing China to join the United States in strangling Russia. This is really a delusion.
time will prove everything.
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