Although both Russia and Ukraine still spoke ill of each other and did not relax and forcefully attack for a moment, some subtle signs are being revealed, as if the war is not as pessimistic as the outside world has seen in the past.

This international comment, Uncle Mu will analyze some new trends in the recent situation in Ukraine.

Although both Russia and Ukraine still spoke ill of each other and did not relax and attack force for a moment, some subtle signs are being revealed, as if the war is not as pessimistic as the outside world has seen in the past.

The so-called pessimism refers to the fact that many analysts predict that it may last for several years, forming a protracted war like the Afghanistan War or Iraq War ;

There are even Western media predicting that Ukraine will be divided into two countries, and current government officials such as Zelensky will withdraw to Lviv in the west to continue the war of resistance, while the other part will be controlled by a puppet regime under Russia's control and become a buffer zone for Russia.

Of course, everyone has the right to analyze and judge based on the development of the situation, but some important signs need to be paid attention to, and evidence should be continuously added to the analysis and judgment.

Uncle Mu believes that the situation may be in a fight and stop in the future, but it will not be delayed for a few years, right?

mainly sees the following three points:

first, Russia's attitude towards the war situation has changed.

1: On March 6, Putin publicly stated that the so-called special military operation was very smooth and the task of cracking down on military infrastructure in Ukraine is coming to an end.

If this is not the problem of Russian officials denying military intervention in Ukraine before the war, then it can be considered that the Russian top leaders are actually considering the issue of phased changes in the war and entering the next mode.

second is Turkey Foreign Minister said on March 7 that Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kureba both agreed to hold a Three Kingdoms summit in Türkiye on March 10.

Even the outside world is still discussing Putin is likely to agree to the first meeting with Ukrainian President Zelensky. This is what Zelensky has asked for over the past few years, but Putin has refused.

The current attitude of Russia may indicate that there have been new changes in their judgment of the situation of the war.

Second, Israel began to intervene in mediation.

Israeli Prime Minister Bennett paid a whirlwind visit to Russia and Germany on March 6, and had telephone exchanges with Ukraine, France, the United Kingdom, the United States and other aspects.

This sudden shuttle diplomacy made the outside world unable to understand. What happened in the Russian-Ukrainian war?

You should know that Putin has been unwilling to let the outside world mediate in the past, but this time the Israeli Prime Minister said he wanted to mediate, but he did not say no.

This may mean that Putin is willing to find a way out and does not want to stretch the front too long. After all, the longer the battlefield situation is dragged down, the more unfavorable it will be for Russia.

However, if Putin cannot see a major profit, Russia will definitely not stop easily, that is, what conditions can each other have at the negotiating table.

Third, Ukrainian discovered the difference in Russia.

On March 7, Russia and Ukraine will hold the third round of negotiations. This is the third time we have met in a week.

If Russia insists on putting Ukraine to death, it will not be so frequent to talk to them. Therefore, frequent negotiations itself means that the possibility of a change in the situation is increasing. More importantly, the Ukrainian presidential adviser who participated in the two rounds of negotiations told the media that he noticed that as the West intensified sanctions and the increase in aid to Ukraine, Russia began to understand the actual cost of the war. So Russia's approach changed.

This is one of the reasons why Ukraine believes that Russia has never attached importance to negotiations and is perfunctory, and is now willing to accept and even wants to reach an agreement.

Uncle Mu believes that the above three points show that Russia or Putin may not necessarily have to fight and seize Ukraine quickly or completely control the country's diplomacy. As long as there is a proper face turn around, it is possible for the Russian army to withdraw from some areas after they achieve some of the demilitarization goals they promote.

This shows that Russia may be willing to maintain a high-intensity and long-term military deployment against Ukraine to accumulate strength for various possibilities in the future, and it does not necessarily have to make a contribution to the entire battle.

So the argument that the war must last for several years may be a bit too pessimistic!

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