This is the 42nd issue of "Taiwan Week"
Taiwan is already "green is far greater than blue"
The poll released by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, which has a green position, showed that in the survey of "Agree or disagree with Tsai Ing-wen's governance performance, including important personnel arrangements and policies?", it was found that 17.6% of the people agreed very much, 40.8% agreed quite, 17% did not agree, 10.1% did not agree at all, and the other 14.5% had no objection, did not know or refused to answer. This shows that the approval of Tsai Ing-wen has reached 58%. Compared with the previous poll, Tsai Ing-wen rose by 7 percentage points. Compared with two months ago, there are 31.3 percentage points more people who agree with it than those who disagree with it. The survey result of
is still very confusing. In the past two months, Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP have not only performed in the voting of algae reefs, but also the serious lack of personal morality of the three spokespersons and the private representative Wang Dingyu, as well as the outrageous scheming in the process of introducing vaccines, and even the previous import of "lapid pigs" and other issues, which seem to have not affected Tsai Ing-wen's polls.
Although the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation's position is a green camp and has a certain institutional effect, Chairman You Yinglong and Tsai Ing-wen have a bad relationship. In addition, the institution has been conducting long-term polls (it is easy to make fraud in the short term, but it is relatively difficult to make fraud in the long term), so there is credibility. So the question is, why can Tsai Ing-wen be so popular? According to You Yinglong, it is like "Wonder Woman".
And another data worthy of alertness reveals the latest party identity tendencies of Taiwanese people. The question targets the two major political parties on the island, the Kuomintang and the Democratic Progressive Party. People over 20 years old agreed with the party's ideas and propositions. It turned out that 13.1% of the people were very close to the Democratic Progressive Party, 30% were still close to the Democratic Progressive Party, 13.5% were still close to the Kuomintang, 5.5% were very close to the Kuomintang, and 35.1% considered neutral voters, and the remaining 1.6% did not know and refused to answer.
It can be seen from the poll results that 43% of Taiwan are green camps and 19% are blue camps. In other words, the supporters of green camps are 2.26 times that of the supporters of blue camps. You Yinglong pointed out that the blue-green support ratio this time is 1:2.27, which can be regarded as the latest and most accurate blue-green basic market.
DPP relies on advocating that it is "bullied by the mainland" to rule
Tsai Ing-wen, who has a lot of problems, can maintain her reputation. In addition to the growing green camp's basic foundation, the most important thing is that she incited and exploited the hostility of the mainland on the island. Hostility makes people no longer focus on the reality and details of the problem, but instead speaks to straight-line thinking until they lose their judgment. This has also caused the green camp to expand its basic base. For example, this time, Tsai Ing-wen's poll hit seven points. You Yinglong thinks that the mainland bans Taiwan's pineapple import incident caused by the rebound of Taiwan's private sector.
Taiwan's pineapples were banned because of the appearance of pests. The supplier should have felt ashamed of their products being unqualified. However, this incident was distorted by the DPP authorities as a "suppression" of Taiwan by the mainland. For many years, the mainland has always opened a door to convenience in introducing agricultural products in order to help farmers on the island, based on the kindness of cross-strait exchanges and communications. However, this kindness has not received corresponding feedback. First of all, we cannot strictly control the products. Recently, the so-called "Pineapple Prince" on the island has even made a big fuss on TV, saying that the ones sold to the mainland are only secondary products, and as long as they look like pineapples, they can be sold to the mainland with a carrot.
Scale worms were found in the pineapple imported from Taiwan. The mainland has reported it many times, but Taiwan cannot improve it. Moreover, not only does it not improve, it also incites hostility to the mainland, and its own problems continue to be covered up. Now, pineapples in Taiwan are sold for Singapore . As a result, the enthusiastic Taiwanese businessmen in Singapore who bought pineapples said that Taiwan’s pineapples are indeed poor in quality control and many problems have occurred.But a green-campus media person immediately wrote an article to fight back, saying that this Taiwanese businessman in Singapore was not in a bad mood.
Another example is that two military aircraft collided recently, causing the pilot to die and disappear. This is the seventh plane crash in six years by the Tsai Ing-wen authorities. During peacetime, such a high-frequency military plane crash, the loss of more than a dozen lives, even senior generals like Shen Yiming. Such a serious problem has not been well investigated by the ruling authorities on the island so far. In the end, I can only talk about the bounce device on the plane. The crashed aircraft was originally a model that was ready to be eliminated, but there was no need to replace the accessories. But under the circumstances, the DPP authorities quickly added a budget to replace the bounce device. Treating headaches and pains, and just getting through it. Then, he pushed the problem to the People's Liberation Army military aircraft around Taiwan, causing the Taiwan army to run around and lead to repeated misfortunes.
The DPP used to blame Ma Ying-jeou, but now it was to the mainland. The island's columnist Xia Zhen wrote an article saying that the same model has been repeated in the past two years since Tsai Ing-wen's re-election, and the operation has gradually become "mature". The "mainland factor" has become an indispensable formula for the Tsai administration in the DPP. "Mainland" has become the best weapon used by the Tsai administration. If the governance is not effective and the policies are not smooth, the mainland is the best excuse. The DPP may not be scared by the mainland. In the past ten thousand, Tsai Ing-wen's polls were scared by the DPP using the mainland.
The new generation of historical sensation
pushed all problems to the mainland, and actually became the armed force of the DPP authorities. From the outside, it is a joke, but from the inside analysis, there are actually big problems in this society.
Scholar Wu Yushan, said that Taiwan’s democratization has also affected the “identity” transformation. "Chinese tendency" is a political science characteristic of the past. Researchers will emphasize the influence of the historical traditions and political thoughts of the Chinese nation. The current political science has been completely transformed into the so-called "Taiwan orientation", focusing on empirical investigations after the 1990s, grassroots, localization, and lack of interest and understanding of the historical connection between Taiwan and the mainland. So we are trapped in "self-determination" and only focus on the current and current issues. Therefore, the limitations of method, lack of data, and the exclusion of talking about authoritarian history have made the academic community lack interest in the past, and Taiwan's political development seems to have only begun after "democratization". As a result, it is difficult to construct a deep understanding of systems, culture, characters and events. Our discussions on current political phenomena naturally become shallow, narrow and thin, without the depth of history.
This is a worry from the academic community. In order to cut off the connection with the mainland, the Green Camp simply went to Lamma Island to "seek relatives". What happened at the same time was the superficialization of this society. Especially young people did not seek much understanding of the problem, and were too lazy to think too much, and took everything for granted. The "toxic" education not only makes them lack recognition of China, but also falls into a blind eye to self-awareness. Everything actually has a price, but they are like children rolling on the ground, shouting, "I want it, I don't care." They enjoy the convenience of mainland agricultural product policies, but oppose necessary supervision. They are lazy in military training and look for accessories after military aircraft crashes. They oppose nuclear power, thermal power, and gas, but they are even more opposed to the increase in water and electricity prices.
Populism eventually led to anti-intellectualism, so these politicians know how to incite and shirk, which makes the DPP clearly incompetent, but can survive like a fish in water. This is indeed unsolvable.
Korean Party is still fighting in the middle
Because the election of the party chairman requires one year of party membership, Zhao Shaokang seemed to be a little impressed about the election of the party chairman, so he was too lazy to get the letter of appointment given by Jiang Qichen to the "Central Judges". He told reporters that if he could not elect the party chairman, it would be meaningless to take this letter of appointment. On the other hand, the media regulator on the island has previously threatened Zhao Shaokang that if he accepts the appointment, he will intervene in the media as a party official and punish him.It is understandable that Zhao Shaokang will not accept the Kuomintang's appointment before he gained the benefits.
However, because people in the "Central Standing Committee" of the Kuomintang questioned Zhao Shaokang's qualifications from time to time, and they had a lot of opinions about Zhao Shaokang's desire to elect the party chairman, Zhao Shaokang was not happy and said that the Kuomintang's "Central Standing Committee" needed reform, saying that it did not have public opinion at present. In this way, there were signs of internal strife for a while. Zhao Shaokang, who has energy, is not allowed to choose, and Zhang Yazhong, who has discussion, simply doesn’t even have a stage. But on the other hand, Han Kuo-yu is about to come out, Zhu Lilun is unique, Lian Shengwen is fired everywhere, and the dispute between the chairman of the Kuomintang is a bit like "stricken plays and drags on the shelter".
Zhao Shaokang
poll shows that the Kuomintang is about to collapse now, so it is rare that a big shot like Zhao Shaokang is willing to return to the Kuomintang, but the result is that it uses rigid mechanisms and the selfishness of some people to prevent Zhao Shaokang from being blocked. It really makes people feel that this party is already very stupid. Although Zhao Shaokang may not necessarily be able to make the Kuomintang "Shaokang revival", when the Kuomintang was at its end, it still rejected talents indiscriminately. What is blocking Zhao Shaokang personally may have made more blue camp elites feel heartbroken and made bystanders laugh at.
poll also shows that more than 50% of the voting topics are currently supported by more than 50%, which is basically a vote of distrust for the Tsai Ing-wen authorities. But the Kuomintang, which participated in and even launched the voting, did not benefit. Instead, many voters feel that the Kuomintang is riding on the popularity. This also shows that Jiang Qichen's strategy of shelving the Kuomintang's core discourse and launching a struggle on various minor issues has actually failed. Even when the chairman of his party was on both sides of the "1992 Consensus", the Kuomintang and the Democratic Progressive Party were not different, and the protests launched were nothing more than opposition. Therefore, the decline of the Blue Camp is also conceivable.
Author: Xu Yi, special editor of Shenzhen Satellite TV Direct News.
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