, especially in the "old nest" of Azov Camp , Mariupol , which is basically under the control of the Russian army, this military parade is more like announcing the victory of the Russian army's "de-Nazization" in Ukrainian military operations.
However, as a disadvantaged side on the battlefield, Ukraine must be so angry that it is too angry, and it will more or less move.
According to Global Times citing TASS and Russian News Agency 7, Latvian Armed Forces official Janis Sladins revealed in an interview with his own TV station that Ukraine plans to bomb the Crimea Bridge on May 9th.
If this is true, then Ukraine's action will be too big. Once implemented, it will inevitably escalate the battlefield situation quickly.
Sladins believes that after provided weapons and equipment in the West, Ukraine already had the ability to carry out such attacks, and the destruction of this important bridge will have a very important impact on Russia .
What's scary is that Slaidins' words are not without basis.
As early as late April, Secretary of the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Commission , Alexei Danilov once said: As long as Ukraine has such capabilities, it will definitely bomb the Crimean Bridge.
However, Danilov did not explain at that time whether Kiev had the weapons and capabilities to carry out attacks.
Until now, Sladins gave a positive answer to it .
At that time, Russia had given a harsh response. Russian President’s press secretary Peskov immediately classified the matter as a “terrorist attack”, which was unacceptable to Russia.
Vice Chairman of the Russian Federal Security Council Medvedev suggested that Danilov consider the consequences of doing so. He directly sent a dangerous hint to Kiev, saying that hopes Danilov knows what the Russian counterattack target will be .
It is obvious that after the news that the Ukrainian army might bomb the Crimea Bridge leaked, Russia has also become serious and cautious. Sladins is right, this bridge is indeed very important to Russia.
On the one hand, the Crimea Bridge is the only bridge from the Taman Peninsula of Russia to Crimea . It is known as Russia's "Century Project" and was built by Russia for a huge investment of US$7 billion, which has important strategic significance for Russia.
Crimea Bridge is 19 kilometers long and is the longest bridge in Russia and even Europe. It was built in 2016 until it was completed in 2019. At that time, Russian President Putin personally attended the opening ceremony, showing his importance to the bridge.
This bridge is an important dual-use military-civilian facility in Russia. Before this, it was inconvenient for the Russians to transport supplies to Crimea. After the bridge was built, the efficiency of the Russian army has been greatly improved, whether it wants to deploy military weapons to Crimea or realize logistics transportation. This also makes Ukraine not dare to act rashly, because the Russian army can arrive in minutes.
On the other hand, the Crimea Bridge is not only important to Russia, but also to European countries . Because there are many pipelines bound to this bridge that transports natural gas from Russia to European countries. Once the Crimea Bridge is blown up, there is no need for Russia to actively cut off the natural gas supply to Europe. As long as Ukraine comes this way, Europe will be "drained".
So, does Ukraine dare to blow up this bridge? In fact, it is not necessarily a dare to
First, Ukraine bombed this bridge, which will inevitably anger Russia and cause a disastrous counterattack
As early as when the bridge was just built, the American media published an article claiming that it should blow up this "undemocratic and unfree" bridge. It was just a verbal shout. Russia was very unhappy and directly issued a warning: freedom of speech does not mean that it can create "terrifying remarks", which shows how much Russia attaches importance to this bridge.
May 9 is another grand festival for the Red Square military parade. According to Global Network citing Reuters , information shows that Russia's " Doomsday Aircraft " will also participate in the military parade.
In addition, the three bombers, such as -160, -95 and tu-22M3, are all involved. Including the intercontinental missile " Salmat ", which Russia had just tested successfully some time ago, may also appear in Red Square to deter the West.
Ukraine provoked Russia on the 9th, which is definitely not a wise choice.
Second, the Crimea Bridge was destroyed, Europe will be unhappy
Europe is now in the energy crisis . Ukraine blows up the Crimea Bridge, forcing Russia to be unable to supply natural gas to Europe. Wouldn't it be a "grinding" to the European economy? Ukraine should not want to lose European support, so it is not wise enough to do so.
Third, due to the Ukrainian army's successive defeats on the battlefield, Zelensky still wants to find a third party to mediate, rescue the soldiers in the Azov Iron and Steel Plant, and rashly blow up the bridge, so he can only stay alive without death.
Although Zelensky was very tough most of the time, he seemed to be competing with the Russian army to the end, when it came to Azov Steel Plant, Zelensky called for negotiations and demanded a ceasefire from the Russian army.
He even threatened that the Russian army would permanently stop negotiations if it attacked Azov Steel Plant. But this also proved that Zelensky attached great importance to Azov Steel Plant. Now in order to rescue Ukrainian troops in the factory, Zelensky bowed his head and sought mediation from it. If he still angered Russia at this time, isn’t it contradicting Ukrainian’s purpose?
What's more, even if the Ukrainian army ignores and insists on bombing the Crimean Bridge, they will encounter many difficulties when taking action. It is definitely not so easy to succeed .
First of all, the Crimea Bridge is in Russia's absolute control area. If Ukraine wants to launch an attack, it must pass under the noses of the Russian army. It is not easy to penetrate or succeed.
Secondly, since the intelligence has been leaked, Russia must be prepared and must have arranged countermeasures long ago. At that time, if Ukraine fails to successfully attack, it will still lead to a counterattack from the Russian army, which will be worth the loss.
Finally, as an important transportation and military facility and key channel for Russia, the Russian army must have a tight defense. It is difficult for the Ukrainian army to take action. It is very likely that the Ukrainian army had failed before it even took action.
In view of this, even if Ukraine has the corresponding weapons, it may not necessarily launch an attack on the Crimean Bridge. The small move Ukraine can do is nothing more than inviting German Chancellor Scholz to visit Ukraine on Russian Victory Day, so that he can't go to Russia and can't support Putin.
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