As we all know, the earth we live in is an extremely lucky existence. Looking at the universe for 200 years, humans have not discovered a planet suitable for human survival. Humans are lucky in this regard, and the probability of the Blue Star being born. Living on the planet, people often feel that this is inevitable.
Blue Star
But once an accident occurs, we will think this is too accidental. From 2006 to 2010, the rate of major accidents in civil aviation in my country was: the flight hours of millions are less than 0.3, what a slight chance. A small CPU chip integrates tens of billions of transistors, but the probability of calculation errors is almost negligible.
This makes us feel that an accident is actually an extremely low probability event. This creates an inertial thinking, believing that many unexpected things are coincidental, just like a person walking down a high building, and a can on the upper floor fell down, and just hit the head. It was so coincidental, impartial. Some people say that if that person walks for one second less, he will not be able to hit it, or if a gust of wind blows slightly, it will be avoided, but is this really the case?
is actually a lower probability of an incident than an accident. There is no accident at all, but there is no such probability at all. Therefore, the probability of not having any accident is far lower than the probability of something happening.
Probability Distribution-Normal Distribution
In order to prevent accidents, designers and engineers rack their brains to prevent coincidences. But by chance, it continues to test the bottom line of security defense.
Take the air crash as an example. Air molecules move freely in space, which is a high probability event. However, according to the aerodynamic theory, the laws of mastering the fluid characteristics of air molecules can still allow the aircraft to take off. Making complex and reliable aircraft is a lower probability event, so the regularity of the air and good fuselage materials and design can well ensure the low probability stability of the aircraft. But the aircraft is still very dangerous, that is, if an accident occurs, the consequences are very serious. The safety factor to be maintained is very high. It is necessary to continuously repair safety design.
The same goes for the earth, which has extremely high and low probability. The same requirement is also very high. The sun protects the existence of the earth, and Jupiter also protects the earth from being hit by asteroids. The earth is a miracle, and our daily safe life is also a miracle itself, because maintaining a normal and unsurprising life is more difficult than imagined. The reason why we feel this is normal is actually because of our strong consciousness. This consciousness is often ignored by people. Often, we forget to turn off the gas valve when cooking, and a fire occurs. Sometimes when driving is inattentive, causing consequences, or accidentally forgetting the keys at home at home, we can feel the strong consciousness that prevents accidents.
All things that work normally and stably are a miracle, which itself is a lower probability than an accident. The lower the probability event, the higher the coefficient of collapse to a higher probability event. Even if there is a one-in-a-million probability to form, there are also a billion chances to collapse and destruction.
Take human growth as an example. Before everyone is born, they need to compete with tens of millions of tadpoles. After birth, they face various diseases and various safety hazards. They finally grew up to be a high-quality human individual with a low probability of being knowledgeable and strong. Dangers and accidents are everywhere, but lurking under normal appearances. Therefore, accidents are by no means accidental. The lower the probability of an event, the lower the safety factor. In other words, the more advanced and more complex the existence, the lower the security of its existence.
Accidents always come too suddenly, but we can use natural laws to maintain our own high safety factor. At the same time, we have also discovered that low-probability events can also ensure the safety of lower-probability events. This is a metaphor for our thinking and consciousness. The consciousness produced by humans itself is extremely low, which requires continuous evolution on the earth for hundreds of millions of years to produce high and advanced consciousness. The same stability of the sun maintains the stability of the earth and the stability of the Milky Way, ensuring the safety of the sun.
The so-called miracles must be protected by miracles, and miracles must also be maintained by miracles. So miracles maintain a higher level miracle existence. This is the value of existence and the high security of existence.
Conclusion: The above views are not just accidents. We can further analyze the security of the industrial civilization we live in, and also think about some of the troubles and worries in our modern life. Warm tips: Improve safety awareness in life!
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