On the same day, Russian President Putin made a public response to the Ukrainian counterattack for the first time when attending the SCO summit. "Let's wait and see how it will develop and how it will end." Putin said that there is no plan to adjust the special military action, and the operation decision is underway.
As the lowest temperature in many parts of Ukraine has dropped to single digits, a cold winter is coming. What will Russia do next after being counterattacked by the Ukrainian army? Will the Ukrainian army have the possibility of "victory"?
In addition, it is reported that Hungarian Prime Minister Orban recently stated that with the continuous "help" of the United States and EU and other countries, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may continue until 2030.
↑A Russian soldier is on duty in front of Lugansk power plant
Can the Ukrainian army take advantage of the victory and pursue it?
NATO Officials: It is impossible to imagine that the same thing will happen for the second time
After the Ukrainian army successfully launched a counterattack, discussions about whether Ukraine could take advantage of the victory and pursue it eventually became the winning side began to continue. However, some observers are doubtful about this.
Some analysts said that despite the successful counterattack, Ukraine's losses in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict were still considerable, including many elite troops deployed in the Donbas region. A NATO military official said that although Ukraine's "sweep attack" since this month has greatly boosted morale, "I can't imagine that the same thing will happen for the second time."
htmlOn 18, Italian general Fabio Mini said in an interview that after launching a counterattack, the Ukrainian armed forces will encounter difficulties in fighting the Russian army. He analyzed that for Ukraine, although promoting the "chaos" during the redeployment of the Russian army would boost morale, the actual situation did not change much. "(Next) Ukrainian won't be easier, everything is the opposite. After the counterattack, the Ukrainian army could not hide in the air raid shelter, and they now have to resist Russian artillery fire in the open space." He pointed out.In addition, some analysts also pointed out that Ukraine's ultimate "success or failure" on the battlefield will depend on whether Western weapons aid is lasting. However, inventory in several major Ukraine arms suppliers is decreasing.
It is reported that Ukrainian President Zelensky is putting pressure on the United States to provide the Ukrainian army with the army's tactical missile system (ATACMS). This long-range missile with a range of up to 300 kilometers has the ability to attack Russian territory. He declared that the Ukrainian army may launch a "wider counterattack" early next year, and that obtaining US long-range missiles is "critical" for the Ukrainian army to launch an offensive.
However, according to US officials, US President Biden is still "hesitant" about this request because he does not want the situation to escalate further. Biden believes that he has "successfully sent a signal to Putin" that the United States "only wants to see Russia withdraw from Ukraine" and does not want a broader war with Russia. U.S. officials are also worried that "Ukraine may overestimate its strength."
↑On September 14, a Ukrainian soldier was inspecting Russian artillery shells seized in a counterattack
According to a report by the Reference News Network on the 19th, Zelensky also proposed that he hoped that the United States could provide Ukraine with modern tank and set an "example" for the German government with practical actions.
Not long ago, Germany refused to provide "Minky" infantry fighting chariots and "Leopard" main battle tanks, which aroused strong dissatisfaction from the Ukrainian government.On the 13th, Ukrainian Presidential Advisor Mikhailo Podoliak also put pressure on Germany in an interview, saying that whether Ukraine can repel the Russian army as soon as possible depends mainly on Germany's position and whether Germany is willing to provide the armored vehicle that Ukraine urgently needs.
Under pressure from all parties, the German government had to make concessions and agreed to provide Ukraine with 18 RCH-155 howitzer systems worth 216 million euros. However, German weapons manufacturer said that the first batch of RCH-155 self-propelled howitzers will not be delivered until 30 months at the earliest.
Some analysts said that in addition to the United States still making large-scale military assistance to Ukraine, European countries have fallen into an energy crisis and inflation , and the aid seems to be weak in the future. Multiple institutions pessimistically predict that Europe may have the worst winter since World War II. How long Ukraine can last depends on how long the aid to Ukraine can last; how long the aid can last, in fact, depends on how long the West can persist in the energy game with Russia.
↑The highest general of the United States and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milih
The Russian army assembled more than 800 military aircraft around Ukraine
The highest general of the United States: Beware of the next move of the Russian army
So far, the signals sent by Russia and Ukraine indicate that they are preparing for the long winter rather than exploring the prospect of solving the problem.
According to CCTV reports, Russian President Putin said when meeting with Indian Prime Minister Modi on the 16th that Russia will make every effort to end the conflict in Ukraine as soon as possible. But he also pointed out that Ukraine has announced that it has abandoned the negotiation process and declared that it will achieve its goals through military means. "What they said themselves, on the battlefield."
analysts pointed out that given the current battlefield situation, Ukraine has almost no motivation to seek a truce. It is reported that about 40% of the areas in Donetsk are still under Ukraine's control, and the Russian army is still "far away" from completing its "special military operation". Another analysis pointed out that with the advent of Ukrainian winter, the Russian army's mission in Donetsk will be even more arduous. The seven-month war has exposed Russia's lack of logistics, and logistical supplies still "will not become easy" in wet and cold weather.
In response to this, Putin said on the 16th that the Russian army's offensive operations in Donbas have not stopped, but Russia is not in a hurry to achieve success, and the Russian army has not used all its strength, and the goals of the special military operations have not changed, and these will be achieved. At the same time, he warned, "So far, our response is restrained, but only now. If the situation continues like this, our response will be more serious."
On September 17, local time, Ukrainian Air Force spokesman Ignath said that intelligence showed that the Russian army had assembled 800 various fighter jets, and helicopters around Ukraine. He revealed that in Russia, the Russian army deployed a total of 430 aircraft and 340 helicopters in military airports with Belarus .
On the 18th local time, Mark Mili, the highest general of the United States and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said that how Russia will respond to the current situation in Russia and Ukraine remains unclear, and he urged to remain vigilant about Russia's next actions. He said that given the recent counterattack of Ukraine, it is not clear what "reaction" Russia may make, and called on the US military stationed in Europe to be in a state of high combat readiness. It is reported that Mili 's remarks once again remind the outside world that with the long-distance assistance of the United States and its NATO allies to Ukraine, the risk of escalating conflict is very high.
In addition, it is reported that Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said at a recent closed-door event that with the continuous "help" of the United States and the European Union, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine may continue until 2030. He also pointed out that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict was initially just a local conflict, but Western intervention has turned it into a global event.
↑Putin expressed his opinion CCTV4 report screenshot
Red Star News reporter Xu Yan
Editor Yu Dongmei Wang He
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