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The Russian-Ukrainian war showed a roller coaster-like reversal. Under the strong counterattack of the Ukrainian army, the Russian army retreated step by step. Many people have therefore predicted that Russia's war may be useless. Thinking of this way underestimates the tenacity of the fighting nation. The Russian army has been known for its tenacious will to win the game since the Napoleon period, and it is by no means a Russian character to easily admit defeat.
The biggest constraint on the Russian-Ukrainian war in this Russian-Ukrainian war is that Russia is subject to the constitution. Conscripts, which account for the vast majority of the Russian army, are not allowed to participate in this war. Only a small number of contract soldiers, , are the main force of sending troops, so the Russian army has been fighting so hard.
Therefore, what Emperor Putin most desires is that there is a reason for the Russian army to be the "watching on the wall" conscripts, which will also be turned around.
Now, with the Ukrainian army pressing forward step by step, this opportunity has come.
Recently, Vice Chairman of the Russian Federation Security Conference Medvedev announced that Luhansk , Donetsk in the Donbass region of Ukraine, as well as Khelsson and Zaporoge close to Crimea , will hold a referendum on whether to be incorporated into the Russian territory from September 23 to 27 to resolve whether to be incorporated into the Russian territory.
The above four states are all areas with huge pro-Russian forces and are also under the control of the Russian army. A "referendum" was held in such a war-torn context. The most likely result is that it will be unanimously passed without any suspense and officially become the territory of Russia.
At that time, if the Ukrainian army, which had a large counterattack, dared to get involved in these Russian territory, it would immediately change from "recovering lost territory" to "invading Russia."
The sacred territory was invaded, and Russia can legitimately announce that countries will mobilize . Not only will 1.01 million Russian active-duty soldiers be able to immediately enter the war, but even more than 2 million reserve troops can be mobilized (as long as it is necessary).
, the Russian army can really fight like a decent move. Perhaps people will see the thunderous style of the Soviet army in the past, and will no longer act like they are now, squeezing their hands and feet and squeezing toothpaste.
As expected, just after the four states announced the referendum date, Russia then announced a partial mobilization of the country, to mobilize 300,000 soldiers to join the battle.
Since the outbreak of the war, people will find it strange that what happened to the Russian army, which once attacked violently like millions of troops, was now? The battle was so strong that it was too late. Not only was the scene where the people imagined that the three armed forces of the army, navy and air force were crushed and swept the entire Ukraine, but they were even short of troops. This was actually the Russian army was bound by laws and regulations and so-called real national conditions.
First, after the collapse of the former Soviet Union, Russia's political system was in a state of contradiction with both Soviet Union's remains and clumsy imitation of the West. The president had the right to far surpass the heads of European and American countries, but he was constrained everywhere when he implemented it. Putin wanted to launch a war against Ukraine, but he could not promote propaganda openly and with great fanfare like the former Soviet Union, and was almost sneaky. This time, the Russian army was able to send troops to Ukraine, and the troops were only selected from the already very limited 200,000 contract soldiers, and they were not prepared, so they received the order between Kurato. In this case, how could the morale of the people rise? How can we share the same hatred of the enemy? Therefore, it is reasonable to be a coward.
Now, Putin, who is good at judo , finally has a chance, and also leverages the law, and finally has the opportunity to give the Russian army the opportunity to "liberate combat effectiveness".As if to make the law more helpful, now Russian State Duma has urgently passed a major bill, announcing that Russia will severely punish some criminal acts that only occur during wartime under national mobilization and wartime conditions. Among them, there are those who are guilty of being voluntarily captured (that is, surrender) during the war and will be sentenced to less than 10 years in prison. If there are treasons such as leaking secrets and cooperating with the enemy during the period of being captured, the punishment will be heavier... The country's criminal law also includes explanations of related concepts such as national mobilization and wartime status. The introduction of the bill full of the former Soviet Union,
, reminds people of Stalin's related iron-blooded laws in the Patriotic War. I can't help but believe that Russia is going to take serious action this time to escalate the war.
has such a sudden change, and the typical Russian counterattack of "changing passive to active" can be said to be a beautiful fight. The world may not have time to experience the hidden crisis. In this way, wouldn't Ukraine's victorious counterattack become a stupid move to "hand the knife"?
If the referendum results of these four states show that they will be incorporated into Russia, whether Ukraine and the West recognize it or not, Russia has a reason to admit it anyway.
After the referendum on the four Ukrainian states, Putin had a legal basis. The Russian army can send a large number of conscripts to the four states to serve as public security or fill in trenches, and fully enrich the defense of the four states. At this time, the Russian army's 200,000 contract soldiers could be freed up and launched an attack in two directions together with Wagner mercenaries, Chechen armed forces and Luton militia, launching a counterattack towards Kharkov and Sumei in the north, and launching a counterattack towards Nikolayev and Odessa in the south. In the future, the number of Russian troops in Ukraine will exceed 500,000. At present, after several mobilizations, Ukraine has also reached 500,000. The military conflict between the two sides in Ukraine will reach the level of one million, and the scale and intensity of the war will become unprecedentedly fierce.
The war will surely be fully upgraded at this point. Can Ukraine survive for several months and put in a great counterattack to launch?
If the Russian army, which has lost its legal provisions, launches a comprehensive attack like a steel torrent of the Soviet Red Army, how long can Ukraine last? Of course, Ukraine's performance is actually irrelevant. The key is whether NATO behind Ukraine can withstand it, how much military expenditure and equipment can be consumed by the EU and the United States, and how many strong men can go to the front line to be cannon fodder. If you have any interesting insights, please leave a message below to discuss! (This article is the World Series of Uncle Yi. If you are interested, please use WeChat to search for the official account: The Emperor of Situation, and watch all original articles of Uncle Yi’s World Series)
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