Starting from the end of last month, in order to show the combat effectiveness of Western financial owners, the Ukrainian authorities gathered a large number of troops to launch the largest counterattack against the Russian army since the outbreak of the war. According to news from Ukraine, the Ukrainian army's counterattack operation in the past month has regained thousands of square kilometers of land.
However, in the huge gap in strength between Russia and Ukraine, the Ukrainian army, which relies on Western blood transfusion, has no ability to launch a continuous offensive action against the Russian army, let alone reverse the unfavorable situation on the battlefield. After the Ukrainian army paid a huge price for casualties to achieve local victory on the battlefield, the Ukrainian army's offensive has slowed down recently and was forced to turn into a defensive position.
After the Ukrainian army paid a heavy price for local victory on the battlefield, it is now the Russian army's turn to continue the counterattack. According to the " Global Times ", after the passive defense and retreat on the northern front for many consecutive days, the Russian army launched a fierce counterattack on the southern front, aiming at Nikolayev .
According to the information released by the Russian army, the Russian army has recently begun to attack Nikolayev from Khlsong , and eliminated part of the 28th Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Army at 70 kilometers away from Khlsong, and successfully occupied a bridgehead with an area of about 7 square kilometers. The victory of the Russian army's control operation opened the way to attack Nikolayev. All signs indicate that the Russian army's next target of capture has already locked in Nikolayev.
Russian "Opinion" claimed in the report that if the Russian army captured Nikolayev, it would open the channel for the Russian army to Odessa . Some experts believe that Nikolayev is an area that the Russian army is determined to win, because as long as this area is controlled, it will be possible to remove the Ukrainian military threat to Khlsong and Zaporo Thermal Power Plant , while ensuring that the Crimea region is protected from the continued threat of Ukrainian attacks.
Russian army pointed at Nikolayev at this sensitive moment. It was not a decision made by Putin for a moment, but was related to the current referendums in the four regions of Khlsson, Zaporoze, Lugansk , and Donetsk . After all, there is almost no suspense that the above four regions will eventually be incorporated into the Russian territory. It can be seen that the Russian army will target Nikolayev at this time, in order to establish a buffer zone between these areas and the Ukrainian controlled area and relieve the Ukrainian army's continued threat to the above-mentioned areas.
Since the Russian army decided to set the next target of capture on Nikolayev, it means that Russia is already very sure to achieve its strategic intentions. Recently, Russian President Putin announced a national mobilization order, planning to recruit 300,000 reserve personnel to solve the problem of serious shortage of troops on the battlefield. According to Russian media reports, after the mobilization order was issued, Russian people enthusiastically signed up, and the plan to recruit 300,000 reserve personnel will be completed soon.
In contrast, the Ukrainian army has been forced to turn into defense due to heavy losses in the offensive operation in the past nearly a month. Although the authorities in Kiev said that the Ukrainian army was "initiating a strike against Russian troops in manpower and concentrated areas", many signs indicate that the Ukrainian army is strengthening defense measures in Nikolayev. They built fortifications next to apartment buildings and even set them in residential buildings, which made the residents here very worried. There is also a piece of news that disturbs Ukraine, that is, the arsenals of the EU countries have almost been emptied, and new weapons have been added but funds are lacking.
Given the importance of Nikolayev to Russia's controlled area in Ukraine, the Russian army must take this place. With the issuance of Russia's mobilization order, it will effectively make up for the shortcomings of the Russian army's lack of military strength on the Ukrainian battlefield. However, the weakening of Western military aid to Ukraine and the changes in the Ukrainian battlefield situation will further increase the chances of the Russian army in the battle to capture Nikolaev.