shows that about 2,000 nuclear warheads are in combat readiness, and almost all of these warheads belong to the United States and Russia. One possible situation is that Putin may be forced to launch a nuclear counterattack, and NATO 's attitude has finally undergone dramatic changes.
According to Global Times June 14, according to data released by the Stockholm International Peace Institute in Sweden on June 13, the total number of nuclear warheads worldwide is 12,705, a slight decrease from last year. , and the total number of nuclear warheads in deployment is about 3,700, of which about 2,000 are on high alert, and almost all of these warheads come from the United States and Russia. Stockholm Peace Institute officials said that all countries with nuclear weapons are increasing or upgrading nuclear weapons stocks, and most countries are strengthening nuclear speech or the role of nuclear weapons in their strategies, and they are very worried about this. All parties probably had expected the disturbing prospects revealed by this report, and the direct driving force for amplifying this concern is undoubtedly the current Ukrainian crisis.
This round of Ukraine war has lasted for more than three months. Although Russia has successfully stopped NATO's pace of eastward expansion of , Russian President Putin has obviously not achieved his strategic goals. Judging from the information released by Russia, Russia will next take over Ukraine in the northeast of Kharkov Prefecture , and Odessa Prefecture and Nikolayev Prefecture in the south. Its plan is ambitious. Judging from the slow progress of the Russian army's offensive in the second phase and the signs that the West has continuously strengthened its military aid to Ukraine, it is quite worrying whether the Russian army's goals in the third phase can be achieved. , and more and more analysts are warning of the possibility that when the Russian army is at a decisive disadvantage or finds that the situation is difficult to resolve, Putin may use nuclear weapons to quickly settle the situation.
According to previous estimates by foreign media, a considerable number of Russian military nuclear warheads are tactical nuclear warheads deployed on the ground-to-ground missile , and these nuclear warheads have basically been deployed to the European direction. Therefore, Russia not only has the ability to launch a tactical nuclear strike, but also has a low threshold for the use of nuclear weapons. Because Russia may believe that carrying out a tactical nuclear strike may not necessarily trigger a strategic nuclear conflict. Putin had repeatedly warned the West that Russia had a strong nuclear arsenal, pointing out that Western provocations may trigger the escalation of the Ukrainian war. There is every reason to think that if the Western intervention is too strong, Putin may really use the option of nuclear weapons. Although the probability of Russia using nuclear weapons is still very low at present, as the Ukrainian crisis has prolonged and the West continues to provoke Putin's strategic bottom line, the probability of nuclear conflict in Europe is indeed increasing. Against this background, NATO's attitude has changed meaningfully.
On the 12th local time, NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg said, "Peace in Ukraine is possible, the question is what price people are willing to pay for it." It seems that he feels that what he said is not clear enough. Stoltenberg also explained the "price" he said, that is, "For peace, how much territory, how much independence, how much sovereignty they are willing to sacrifice..." has all said this. Stoltenberg's meaning is already very obvious, that is, he is advising the Ukrainian authorities to be prepared to make some sacrifices, including paying territory for peace. Finally, Stoltenberg also made a meaningful statement, that is, "NATO's responsibility is to make Ukraine's position on the peace talks table as strong as possible." Such a statement implies a layer of meaning, that is, NATO has no responsibility to help Ukraine win, and NATO just tries to give Ukraine more say at the negotiating table.
In fact, Stoltenberg's statement shows that NATO's attitude on the Ukraine issue has changed significantly. Just two months ago, when Europe talked about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it continued to describe its goal as helping Ukraine win a comprehensive victory. The documents previously released by NATO repeatedly mentioned that it would completely defeat Russia. Now, in the mouth of the NATO Secretary-General, this goal has become to make Ukraine as strong as possible at the negotiating table, and even the more absolute words dare not use. It can be seen that the NATO group's attitude on the Ukraine issue has softened significantly. They no longer focus on completely thwarting Russia, but have begun to downgrade their goals and persuade the Ukrainian authorities to accept a peace that needs to be made. The NATO group's change in attitude is already a major victory for Putin, which shows that NATO has shown signs of retreat under Putin's strategic deterrence . As NATO's confidence shakes, Ukraine will lose an important reliance, and Putin will have greater hope to achieve his strategic goals in Ukraine.
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