After the Russian army suffered a military defeat, Putin has made several adjustments to the unfavorable situation of the Russian army, including the two most influential measures. One is that Putin has accelerated its progress and allowed the four conquered states of Ukraine to hold a referendum on entering Russia; the other is that Putin has issued a partial mobilization order, which will recruit 300,000 reserve troops to be sent to the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield. Faced with Putin's series of measures, Western countries began to speak out collectively and target Russia together. Putin is obviously not to be outdone. In his TV speech on September 21, he said he would "fight to the end" with Western countries. He even said such ruthless words as "Russia will take all existing measures." The outside world generally believes that this is obviously Putin's nuclear hint to the entire Western world.
So if the situation is very critical and Putin is really forced to use nuclear weapons, who will be the target of Russian nuclear weapons, the United States and Ukraine? If analyzed according to common sense, Russia may choose Ukraine as its target of attack for its nuclear weapons, for two reasons.
One of them, Ukraine is currently the party to the direct military conflict with Russia, and can also be called "party". Now that the Russian army has suffered a certain degree of military defeat on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, Putin has taken a number of measures to deal with it. Not long ago, four states that had been conquered in Ukraine were preparing to hold a referendum to Russia. Once the referendum on entering Russia is successful, Russia will legally confirm that these four states are its own territory. If Ukraine launches a counterattack again, it will be in line with what Putin calls the principle of nuclear weapons use that "national security is seriously threatened". At that time, Putin's use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine will make legal sense. This is actually one of the deep-seated reasons why the Western world collectively boycotted the four Ukrainian states' referendum to Russia.
. Compared with Ukraine, although the United States has been constantly raising trouble in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not participated directly so far. It is not the direct military conflict party. Russia has no sufficient reason to launch an nuclear strike against the United States.
Secondly, Ukraine announced that it had abandoned its nuclear weapons many years ago, so Ukraine currently has no nuclear counterattack capability. If Putin chooses to target the attack target of nuclear weapons as Ukraine, then Ukraine will only have one-way passive attacks, and there is basically no way to do this.
, while the United States is different. The United States and Russia are both major nuclear weapons powers. The nuclear warheads between the two sides have exceeded 6,000, far exceeding third-party countries. Just the US nuclear warhead reserves can destroy the entire earth's creatures dozens of times. Once Russia lists the United States as a target of nuclear weapons, there is no doubt that the United States will also launch a nuclear counterattack. At that time, Russia's homeland will also be subject to nuclear strikes, and even the entire world will start an unprecedented nuclear war, bringing deep disasters to people around the world. For Putin, such serious consequences are something he needs to consider carefully.
Therefore, if according to common sense analysis, if Putin really wants to use nuclear weapons, putting Ukraine as the target of attack is undoubtedly the best choice for Russia.
But recently, Russian scholars have given completely different opinions on this.
Recently, US President Biden repeatedly spoke out to put pressure on Russia and once warned Putin not to go too far and not to try to reverse the current adverse situation on the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine by using nuclear weapons. Biden said that if Putin dares to use nuclear weapons in the world, the whole world will closely unite to fight Russia.
In response to Biden's tough remarks against Russia, Russian scholars also warned Biden that Russia's nuclear weapons are aimed at Washington of the United States, not Ukraine's Kiev . Russia will never succumb to the United States' hegemony and will use all means to protect its territorial integrity without hesitation.
The statement of Russian scholars has unexpectedly surprised many people, because if analyzed from a realistic perspective, Russia's use of nuclear weapons against the United States is indeed not Putin's best choice. So Putin should be very cautious when it comes to using nuclear weapons.