The trading experience of professional experts
The most important means of stock price arbitrage is technical analysis. Of course, subject analysis, basic analysis and main analysis also have an indispensable auxiliary role. Technical analysis is a comprehensive practical technology. To become a real technical expert, you must be able to flexibly mix and operate various purposeful concepts and have sufficient practical experience to accumulate. The following concept combinations are effective experiences summarized by some technical experts over the years, and are even regarded as a practical iron rule by some professional traders, from which they can understand the true meaning of technical analysis.
1. Continuous volume accumulation and interval volume attack The most important basis and premise of technical analysis is to study volume changes. Only a market with continuous volume accumulation is a market where multiple parties have opportunities. The long-term shortage of trading volume energy is an important signal of unlucky luck to multiple parties. Following the changes in volume energy is to follow the trend. If you arbitrage in the stock market, you will prosper, and if you go against the trend, you will die. The instant volume of stocks indicates the life and death of the target stock at that time. The continuous accumulation of volume and the continuous volume attacks with a short interval are the symbols of active stocks. Only active stocks can succeed in arbitrage. Inactive stocks without volume bring people not only losses but also frustration.
2. The abnormal movement of stocks. The abnormal movement of stocks. The centralized stocks are an important embryo of the big dark horse. The stock price fluctuations caused by their abnormal movement are often continuity and broad. Too much indifference to stocks with concentrated chips in the stock market is simply a crime of increasing capital value. The most common way for stocks to move abnormally is that opens jumps, fights back in the trading session, swallows big orders, and first hits big positive line , in line with the strength of the theme. Research on the research on the centralized chip stocks pay attention to the energy tide, chip distribution, and moving average aggregation, and pay attention to the trend of buying and selling in the short-term tracking. For the concentrated chip stocks that have already moved, you undoubtedly need to buy heavily or clear the positions decisively.
3. The specific meaning of the aggressive moving average of the moving average is also very important. The 10-day moving average is a signal of short-term acceleration. If the stock price touches the 10-day moving average, it will respond, which is an important statement that it is extremely strong and weak. The 30-day moving average, 60-day moving average and the half-year line have strong support and pressure on the stock price, and its importance in a one-sided market cannot be ignored. , which runs above the annual line, is called a bull market, and markets that run below the annual line are called a bear market. When a stock breaks above the annual line and stands firm, the mid-line potential of this stock is something experienced professional arbitrageurs will not give up.
4. The importance of the counterattack pattern. Whether the counterattack is a touchstone for judging the short-term quality of an individual stock. When encountering market decline or other negative impacts, a stock that is performing strong will also fluctuate in the short term. However, when this negative factor stabilizes, the individual stock will immediately rise. The short-term opportunity of this individual stock is obvious and cannot be missed. On the contrary, when encountering market rise or other positive effects, a stock that is deducing weakness will also perform in the short term. However, when this positive factor stabilizes, the individual stock will immediately fall. The risks of this individual stock are obvious, and selling is the only choice.
Six major rules
Rule 1: Before buying stocks, conduct general trend analysis and judgment
1. Whether the market is in the early stage of an upward cycle. 2. Which sector is beneficial to macroeconomic policies and public opinion orientation, which are the representative stocks in this sector, and whether the trading volume is significantly greater than that of other sectors. Determine 5-10 target stocks. 3. Collect all information about the target stocks, including company territory, circulation , business trends, annual reports, interim reports, shareholders' meeting (board of directors) announcements, market comments and other related reports. Excluding varieties that have too large circulating markets, sluggish stocks or major problems in the operation, and no hope for restructuring.
Rule 2: The rule of mid-line ground volume
1. Select (10, 20, 30) MA stocks that have stable upward 6 months, and the market declines all show resistance to declines, and generally only briefly fall below 30MA. 2. OBV has been stably upward and continuously hit new highs. 3. When the market bottoms out, the volume appears, with a daily transaction of 100,000 shares in circulating trading of 30 million.4. The land volume appears and intervenes in batches 10 minutes before the closing of the day. 5. In the short term, 5%-10% is the profit-taking point. 6. The midline takes 50% as the shipping point. 7. Take 10MA as the stop loss point .
Rule 3: Short-term day-to-day rule
1. Select stocks that release day-to-day at the bottom recently, and the turnover rate is more than 5%-10%, track and observe. 2. (5, 10, 20) MA appears in long arrangement. 3. After the MACD high dead cross in 60 minutes, the volume was pulled back, and the OBV rose steadily in 15 minutes, and the stock price steadily above 20MA. 4. In 60 minutes, MACD will enter the market in batches on the second hour of golden cross . 5. Short-term profits of more than 5% will be paid in a hurry. 6. Once the market changes suddenly, you will immediately get out of the capital to facilitate another battle.
Rule 4: Rule of Strong New Stocks
1. Observe new stocks with good fundamentals, growth potential, and circulation market with less than 60 million. 2. More than 70% of the turnover on the first day of listing. Or the market plummeted on the same day, and the decline slowed down the next day and immediately closed with a larger positive line, recovering more than 2/3 of the negative line on the first day. 3. Buy at a new high or choose the buying point to intervene. 4. Get 5%-10% out of the game. 5. Set the stop loss as the guaranteed price.
Rule 5: Trading Volume Rule
1. Trading Volume helps to judge when the trend will reverse: high volume and long negative lines are signs at the top, while extremely shrinking trading volume indicates that the selling pressure has disappeared, which is often a signal at the bottom. The formula: The bottom is the stable price and the shrinking volume. 2. The trading volume of individual stocks continues to exceed 5%, which is an obvious sign of the activeness of the main force. Short-term trading volume is large and the stock price has good elasticity, so you can seek short-term trading opportunities. 3. After a large volume rise and sideways consolidation, individual stocks rise infinitely, which is a sign that the main chips are highly concentrated and the market is controlled and the market is rising. At this time, the transaction is extremely rare, which is a good opportunity to buy in the middle line of . 4. If there is a sudden high-level, huge long negative line and the situation is unclear, you must be eliminated immediately to prevent major negative factors from causing a collapsed decline. For example, (000508) Qiongminyuan , suspended trading fell sharply the day before, and was suspended the next day for three years.
Rule 6: Don’t buy stocks in the downward channel
1. Guess the bottom of the downward channel stock is dangerous because it may not have a bottom at all. 2. What exists is reasonable. Decline stocks must have reasons to fall. Don’t touch them, although many people may think they are too cheap.
Three ways to deal with being trapped
trapped may be a helpless thing that every investor is extremely reluctant but encounters. Once trapped, not only will you suffer financial losses, but you will also be worried and suffer all day long. Therefore, two common practices have been formed: "cutting the flesh" and "holding the stocks". In fact, both methods are too simplistic. The author has some experience in dealing with traps, so I will share with my friends.
1. Treat trapped with the right attitude. I think the reason for the trap is a question worth our deep consideration. In addition to the market factors, it is actually largely due to investors themselves not fully researched and fighting unprepared battles, and it is also due to problems with investors' investment philosophy. It is not easy to do stocks well. In addition to studying and thinking more, it is more important to adjust your mentality. An emotional person is destined to lose money in the stock market. So don’t be upset if you are trapped. If you think that the stock is no longer necessary to hold it after analysis, then it will undoubtedly put a heavy psychological burden to settle it as soon as possible.
2. Recognize the current stage of the market and take the initiative to seek solutions after being trapped, because the timing of entering and leaving the market in the stock market is very important, and following the trend is always a prerequisite for success. At present, the market is insufficient in the future market, so for individual stocks that were fully speculated in the early stage, it is practical to choose the current point as the opportunity to leave the market.
3. Understand the stage where individual stocks are in and adopt different strategies for individual stocks trapped. We should try our best to avoid individual stocks sold and buy individual stocks with upward trend. Since we have already bought stocks that have been sold, we must show the courage to cut off our arm and put it aside with one blow; instead of stocks that have not been sold, we must not hold them up.
Hidden several ways to judge shipment are:
1. If the stock price is already at a high level, there are 1-2 waves of main upward wave in the early stage. After the stock price hits a new high, the volume shrinks more severely. Then use the high-level sideways and slowly distribute. When the stock price breaks downward, you should be alert. If the distance between the 20-day, 40-day and 60-day moving averages is close, you can decisively leave the market when breaking through the 40-day moving average
2. After the stock price reaches a high level ex-weight , use visual illusion to induce followers to achieve the purpose of shipment. The K-line is generally manifested as a phenomenon of large-volume filling or large-volume stagflation.
3. Individual stocks with increased amplitude indicate that the main force uses the large amplitude to attract to follow the trend of .
4. Individual stocks with abnormally amplified trading volume. Such individual stocks are most likely to trap investors who have just entered the market, and the huge amount gives people the illusion of exchanging the dealer, thus hiding the true intention of the main force to ship.
How to discover dealer chip lock
The biggest feature of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is: whether the stock price rises or not, the key is whether the market makers are speculating. When is the dealer the most passion for hype? The dealer is most passionate when eating a lot of cheap chips. Therefore, if retail investors can accurately judge the holdings of of the holdings of with retail investors, and keep a close eye on a maker's stock that has been built, and intervene when it is about to rise, they will definitely gain a surprise of the fission of wealth appreciation. The key here is how to find out that the dealer has locked the chips. Generally, if you have one of the following characteristics, you can initially judge that the dealer’s chips are locked, and the position building has come to an end:
First, by putting a very small amount, you can pull out the Changyang or block the daily limit. After the new stock is listed, the market makers who like new stocks enter the market to attract goods. After a period of time, if the market makers can easily pull out the daily limit with very little funds, it means that the market makers' chip collection work is coming to an end, and they have the ability to control the market and can control the market as they wish.
Second, the K-line trend will do its own thing, ignore the market and move out of an independent market. Some stocks, if the market rises, it will not rise, and if the market falls, it will not fall. This situation usually indicates that most of the chips have fallen into the market makers' pockets: when the general trend is downward and there are floating chips to smash the market, the market makers will hold the chips and block the decline space to prevent the cheap chips from being snatched away; the general trend may stabilize, and there are hot money grabs the market, but the market makers still do not want to launch the market due to various reasons, so they will smash the market fiercely, blocking the rising space of the stock price and preventing short-term hot money from disrupting the speculation plan. The K-line pattern of the stock will be horizontally consolidated, or it may fluctuate slightly along the moving average and rise.
Third, the K-line trend is fluctuating, while the time-sharing trend chart fluctuates violently, and the trading volume shrinks extremely. When the dealer reached the end of the collection, in order to wash away the short-term profit-making market and to consume the confidence of retail investors in holding shares, he used a small amount of chips to make a chart. Judging from the -day K-line , the stock price fluctuates, sometimes it reaches the top of the wave and sometimes it reaches the bottom, but the stock price always cannot break through the top of the box or the bottom of the box. The trend chart of the day fluctuated significantly. The price gap between commission buying and commission selling is also very large. Sometimes there is a few points in the difference, and sometimes there is a few cents in the difference, giving people a feeling of inexplicable and erratic. The trading volume is also extremely irregular. Sometimes it takes only one transaction in a few minutes, and sometimes it takes only one transaction in a dozen minutes. The time-sharing trend chart draws horizontal or vertical lines to form a rectangle, and the trading volume also shrinks extremely. The upper-level sell pressure is extremely light, the lower-level support is strong, and there are very few floating chips.
Fourth, when negative, the stock price rises instead of falling, or although there was a slight correction on the same day, it closed with a big positive the next day, and the stock price quickly returned to its original price. A sudden negative attack came, and the dealer caught off guard. Retail investors could throw away the chips, but the dealer could only take advantage of the dealer. So the market can see that negative news hit the market on the same day. After the opening, there were many selling and more taking over. Soon the selling price decreased and the stock price stabilized. Because of fear of retail investors picking up cheap chips, the stock price was pushed to its original level by the dealer on the second day.
Make good use of financial management budgets and avoid using necessary funds for life as capital Make good use of stop loss orders to reduce risks Four major taboos: full time, full profit, full position, complacent The most taboo for stock trading is that the so-called full time refers to investors who always operate all year round. The most important thing in stock trading is to analyze the general trend. When the general trend is improving, you should actively go long; when the general trend is weak, you should take a short position and rest. Some investors do not do this. They work hard regardless of the stock market, like hardworking bees, busy for small profits. They will not only work hard but also encounter more risks. Investors should learn to judge the situation in the stock market, take a break according to trend changes, so that they can accurately grasp the opportunities they should participate in in the stock market. Only by resting can you make money, otherwise the profit you get will be handed over in the end. Even after stopping the loss, you have to take a break for a while, because you need to use the stop loss trick, which proves that your mind is confused at that time and you must rest at this time, otherwise you will only lose more and more as you stop. Another taboo in Summary: The stock market has risks. Be cautious when entering the market. Continuous growth and continuous improvement of cognition. Always understand in one sentence, what you can earn is always
Do not use your living funds as capital for trading. Too much financial pressure will mislead your investment strategy, increase trading risks, and lead to greater mistakes.
Forex trading cannot rely solely on luck and intuition
If you do not have a fixed trading method, then your profits may be very random, that is, on luck. This kind of profit cannot last long. Or if you are not lucky one day, you will suffer the same losses.Trading intuition is very important, but relying on intuition to trade is a risky act. It is the most important to understand the reasons for profit and develop your personal profit-making operation methods.
When you make a transaction, you should establish a tolerant loss range and make good use of stop loss transactions so as not to cause huge losses. The loss range depends on the account funds. If you stop loss, don’t tactfully, because you have removed the risk of continued market failure and the loss will expand infinitely.
Measure the transaction volume based on the account amount and do not over-trade. Generally speaking, the risk of each transaction should not exceed 10% of the account funds. According to this rule, the risk can be effectively controlled. It is unwise to have too many transactions, and it is easy to cause out-of-control losses.
Learn to implement trading strategies thoroughly, do not make excuses to overturn the original decision
In order to avoid the occurrence of this fatal error, you must remember a simple rule - do not let the risk exceed the tolerable range set. Once the loss has reached the original set limit, do not hesitate and close the position immediately!
Trading funds should be sufficient
The less the account amount, the greater the trading risk. Therefore, you should avoid making the trading account only enough for a 50-point fluctuation level. Such an account amount does not allow a mistake, but even experienced foreign exchange traders have times when they make mistakes.
Errors are inevitable, remember lessons, and never repeat the same mistakes
Errors and losses are inevitable, don’t blame yourself. The important thing is to remember lessons from them and avoid making the same mistakes again. The sooner you learn to accept losses and remember lessons, the faster the days of profit will come. In addition, learn to control your emotions, don’t be proud of making money, and don’t be frustrated by losing. In trading, the less personal emotions you are, the more you can see the market situation and make the right decisions. You should face gains and losses with a calm attitude, and understand that the trader does not learn from profits, but grows from losses. When you understand the reasons for each loss, it means that you are taking a step further towards the profit path because you have found the right direction.
Own biggest enemy
The biggest enemy of a trader is himself - greed, irritable, out-of-control emotions, lack of defense, excessive self-self, etc. It is easy for you to ignore market trends and lead to wrong trading decisions. Don’t trade simply for a long time or be bored. There are no certain standards here to specify how much volume you must trade within a certain period.
stock trading is full profit. Full profit means that investors always want to buy at the lowest price and sell at the highest price, blindly pursuing profit maximization. Some investors like to pursue huge profits and always want to take down all the profits of a stock, but the result is that they often make elevators back and forth. Since October last year, the market has experienced three waves of 1,700 points, but many investors have lost money instead of winning. The reason is that in order to make more profits, they did not make timely profits, and as a result, they lost the profits they received. The fundamental principle for investors to maintain long-term and stable profits is: don’t strive for maximum profits, but strive for the most likely profits. Steady growth is the right way to make money. The third taboo in
stock trading is full position.Among the first generation of major investors in the Chinese stock market, most of them were broken through because of excessive full position (overdraft), and eventually ended up being forced to close the position by the exchange. Stock trading is like being a human being. You must leave room for maneuver in everything so that you can move forward and retreat freely. For retail investors, if the money invested in the stock market is all the money to support their lives, once they are trapped in full position, the worries caused by huge psychological pressure will definitely affect the analysis and judgment of the future market, and the final result is self-evident. Even if you march and fight, you must have a reserve team and the stock market must also have reserve funds. In fact, long positions in full position is a concrete manifestation of greed. The operation intention of not letting go of any opportunities or profits is often more opportunities that are forced to give up. The fourth taboo in
stock trading is complacency. Some investors often make some achievements when they first entered the stock market. After becoming old investors, they have made some money, learned some indicators, and read a few books. They gradually became blindly confident. chased the rise and fell , and quickly entered and exited. As a result, they lost more than they won and lost more, and suffered serious losses. Pride and complacency will hinder investors from improving their operating levels and cause investors to have a deviation in their understanding of the stock market. The development of the stock market is changing with each passing day. If anyone is proud and complacent, he will stagnate and will eventually be eliminated by the stock market.