On September 14, the U.S. Senate Foreign Affairs Committee passed the Taiwan Policy Act at a ratio of 17:5. The bill includes the United States' billions of dollars in military aid to Taiwan within four years, and a substantial "recognition" to a certain degree of diplomacy - whe

Contributor: Qian Weiding

On September 14, the U.S. Senate Foreign Affairs Committee passed the Taiwan Policy Act at a ratio of 17:5. The bill includes the United States' billions of dollars in military aid to Taiwan within four years, and a substantial "recognition" to a certain degree of diplomacy - whether this is just the action of the legislative branch in the so-called "three groups of separation", which is essentially hollowing out One China Principle . Before the bill was submitted for trial, the Chinese ambassador to the United States had already stated that if the bill was passed, Sino-US relations would face a breakdown.

01

What is important is interests. Even the worst American politicians know that

In fact, the logical core of the Taiwan Policy Law, including setting up this law, is not complicated. From the perspective of the United States, things that are not profitable will not be done. So what is the benefit of the United States to enact such a bill that is destined to anger China? Moreover, whether it is a Democratic or Republican government, it is not in the interests of the United States to directly fight against China.

After World War II , the United States was actually very cautious when choosing war opponents - if it were not pinched with a hand, it would not take action by itself, especially after Korean War and Vietnam War , this tendency is more obvious. There is no need to take action for a country like Taiwan and China that can threaten your (US) second island chain at any time.

Is that just to disgust China? No, at least not just. It is actually useless to disgust your opponent in terms of words and attitudes. After all, no opponent will be at a disadvantage just because you are rude. International relations are not about children swearing each other. For the United States, the US interests reflected in the Taiwan Policy Act are actually two main ones - one long-term and the other short-term. Or an outside and an inside.

02

External long-term: Taiwan is the next Ukraine

Next, let's start from the perspective of the United States to see if such interests are attractive enough. From a long-term perspective, turning Taiwan into the next ukraine is actually very cost-effective for the United States.

Then switch the angle to Russia and Ukraine. No matter what Ukraine is beaten by Russia, for the United States, this business is cost-effective. Although the aid may change from billions to hundreds of billions, it is still very worthwhile compared to dying from one's own war to death. This is mainly because Ukraine has indeed played a role in consuming Russia. Although it is still difficult to completely drag it down, at least it should be no problem to trap Russia there for a year or two.

Since we support Ukraine, we can continue to consume Russia at a low cost, does China, as my main opponent (US), also have such weaknesses? Well, it must be Taiwan, that's good. And it's actually easier to get nails in the Taiwan Strait than in Eastern Europe. After all, both Eastern European countries are not easy to do. The east is too severely affected by Russia, and there is still an EU across the west.

But Taiwan is still very obedient and richer than Ukraine. The United States buys whatever it wants to sell in Taiwan. If the money is not enough, they will also make up a "special budget". For aircraft like F16, which is almost not enough to change the letters, they would rather pay the price of other countries to buy F35, and they would not even dare to object to pork with ractopamine . So why not bully it?

So, arms sales, give it! Sanctions for mainland officials, give it! Non- NATO ally status, give it! Have you seen Ukraine? I (the United States) have given all the things it wants, and you all have a bright future.

If Taiwan can be turned into the next Ukraine and copy the current operations in Eastern Europe, if China doesn’t fight, then I (the United States) will be a killer every day.The Taiwan Policy Act renamed the Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States to the "Taiwan Representative Office" and elevating the appointment procedure of the "Director of the Taipei Office of the American Association in Taiwan" to the level of the US ambassador to foreign countries are just the first step. Next, I (the United States) will translate and translate what UNGA resolution 2758 is - a China, right? I (the United States) admit it, but your resolution 2758 did not talk about Taiwan, but just expelled " Chiang Kai-shek's representative ".

This made some "old green" in Taiwan sit up in a dying state - they may not have expected until their death that the "ancient Taiwan independence thought" of "one China, one Taiwan" would be magically resurrected in the hands of Americans who "adhered to the one China principle".

However, this is actually hollowing out the "one China principle" and UN General Assembly resolution 2758, and attempts to subtly bring "the status of Taiwan is undecided" to the top by changing concepts, and create a so-called "established fact" - I (the United States) do not oppose the one China principle, but I (the United States) do not recognize that Taiwan is part of you.

If you can make up for this by resolving resolution 2758, then is it the turn of , the three joint communiqués of China and the United States, ?

03

Short-term internal: Adults don’t make choices, I want money or tickets!

From the review process, it is still early to put this so-called bill on the desktop of Biden . The Senate Foreign Affairs Committee has passed this bill. Whether a bill can be passed in the end must be voted in both houses, and the text must be consistent.

Even if it gained the so-called 17:5 advantage in the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, the House of Representatives currently has no bill with the same text. But this does not mean that the House of Representatives will not pass it. It can be said that the House of Representatives will not only pass this bill, but may even be a more overwhelming proportion.

But this is not because the two parties in the United States have achieved unprecedented unity. On the contrary, this is more likely to be a precursor to the soon-to-be-development of the country's domestic political struggle. From the perspective of Republican , whatever is anti-China can bring votes. Although I (Republican) oppose the Democratic Party, I (Republican) love votes more. Anyway, the bill was sent to the president for signature in the end, and we (Republican) are the legislative body.

If this bill really angers China, I will not blame the blame for the comprehensive confrontation between China and the United States. According to the US Constitution, your president has the right to reject my proposal. You were not unwilling to sign it. Besides, who told you that Biden belongs to the Democratic Party? The money, I got the votes, I got the votes, I got the United States, whether this country is tearing apart is not my (US) business, after all, the “Taiwan lobby” gives too much.

Biden:...

04

He hit him, I hit my

Whether it is long-term or short-term, manipulating Taiwan issues is beneficial to the United States, regardless of party color. On the other hand, for ourselves, it will become the norm for the Taiwan Strait issue to be manipulated. There is no need to be polite when the United States already treats us as its opponents.

is just that since it is an opponent, let’s analyze its weaknesses carefully and deal with them well. Taiwan is not Ukraine, not only because Taiwan does not have the sovereignty of Ukraine, but also because Taiwan is our core interest, which is not what Ukraine means to Russia.

The author believes that for the US leadership, especially the next term, instead of manipulating the Taiwan issue to get votes, it may be more important to pay attention to those unemployed people and the flood of guns. It’s really too much money, so why not look at the Middle East and North African countries that are still starving. The world's number one big brother should look like a big brother.

As for Taiwan, let’s forget it. You are not qualified to speak at all, and there will be no future. To call you a compatriot means "Stand up and be a human being for me." You can think clearly about this sentence.