: Red Starry Sky ▲A comic describing Iranian President Rouhani blockade of the Strait of Hormuz Recently, many senior officials in Iran have made noises. If Iran's oil exports are completely restricted, Iran will raise international oil prices to $400.

[Military Martial Plane]: Red Starry Sky

▲Describing the Iranian President Rouhani Comics blocking the Strait of Hormuz

Recently, many senior officials of Iran Iran have made rumors that if Iran's oil exports are completely restricted, Iran will raise the international oil price to US$400. Currently, oil prices are hovering around US$70 per barrel. US$400 is probably more than 5 times the current oil price. Even the United States dares not say that it can exert such a great impact on international oil prices. Why is Iran so confident? Or is it just Iran saying harshly? In the editor's opinion, it is very simple for Iran to make oil prices rise. As long as you declare war on Saudi Arabia, oil prices will immediately rise exponentially, but now attacking Saudi Arabia is equivalent to attacking the United States. Once Iran takes action, the United States will declare war directly on Iran. That way I will fall into a zero-sum game and Iran cannot afford it.

▲The nearest place of the Hormuz Sea Hero is only 50 kilometers, and it can be covered with thunder in two hours

In addition to provoking war, Iran has only one option left, that is, blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is the only outlet of Persian Gulf , and its other feature is its very narrowness. As you can see from the map, the Strait of Hormuz extends a tip from the Arabian Peninsula to Iran, making it surrounded by Iran, so Iran only needs a speedboat to stop the oil tanker passing by from then on. But the key to the problem is that the aircraft carrier is not an oil tanker. The key to Iran's blockade of the strait is whether its anti-ship missile can be restricted to US aircraft carriers. If the blockade really begins and Iran's anti-ship missiles can force US aircraft carriers to not approach, even if it is only one week or five days, oil prices will quickly turn twice, and the United States will have to choose to start a full war or withdraw its troops. Iran is not Iraq , and it is unrealistic to fight. The United States has to give in. At this time, Iran's goal has been achieved.

▲The Iranian navy is only a gunboat for the United States. Its land-based anti-ship missile is the only concern of the United States

The last time it was reported that Iran wanted to block the Persian Gulf, the United States immediately sent an aircraft carrier to "navigate". In the end, both sides calmed down. Why would blockade the Persian Gulf hit the weak spot of the United States? In fact, this practice is not original to Iran. During the Fourth Middle East War, the entire Arab world united against Israel unprecedentedly. At that time, in order to combat Israel's Western supporters, the Arab countries decided to regain their oil pricing power and raise the oil price from US$3.011 per barrel to US$10.651, more than tripled. This price increase directly triggered the most serious economic crisis in the world since World War II, causing Western countries to have to make concessions on the Israel issue.

The second oil price increase occurred in 1978 and is related to Iran. This year, the Islamic revolution broke out in Iran, and the Pahlavi dynasty was overthrown, and Iraq took this opportunity to attack Iran, which was later called the Iran-Iran-Iran War. The Iran-Iraq War seriously damaged the industrial facilities of the two countries, and other countries in the Gulf region were also affected, with production cuts to varying degrees and the waterways were unable to navigate normally many times. This war caused oil prices to rise from $13 to $34 in two years, and many Western countries have thus fallen into stagnation of economic growth or even regression. In the early stages of the war, Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, but soon protested globally, and the United States and the Soviet Union intervened strongly, so Iran had to give up the blockade. The blockade even triggered a conflict between the United States and Iran, when Iran blocked the Persian Gulf of mines injured the frigate sent by the United States to escort the Kuwait tanker. So the United States sent Enterprises to retaliate, sinking an Iranian frigate and several gunboats, destroying two drilling platforms, and losing a helicopter.

The subsequent Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the United States' attack on Iraq have led to an increase in international oil prices, among which the United States' attack on Iraq happened to hit Japan's bubble. From China's perspective, Iran's blockade of the Persian Gulf in the short term will have little impact on China, and the oil from Russia and Central Asia can meet China's use in the short term. But if oil prices triple or even double again, China's economy will suffer a severe blow. Of course, no country in the world can be exceptional, including the United States.Now, the United States and Iran seem to be angry to see who is giving in. The problem now is that the US military has shrunk and there are more concerns. However, Iran has anti-ship missiles. Which military competition is higher or lower will become an avalanche, affecting the situation in the Middle East in the next ten or even twenty years.

More interesting and fun military articles, videos, pictures, movies, games, follow the WeChat official account of "Military Martial Arts"