(This article is compiled by the official account Yuesheng Investment Research (yslcwh), for reference only and does not constitute operational advice. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
How can investors enter the market achieve stable profits and never lose money? Remember these "four numbers": 10, 20, 50, 60
-1, 20% - the best take-profit point
20%, the best take-profit point for stock trading. There is no general who always wins in the stock market, it is inevitable to get trapped and lose money. At the same time, you must realize that it is impossible for all stocks to continue to rise. A statistical data from the company shows that 70.8% of investors are currently responsible for the word "greed", from making a profit to losing, from a small loss to a big loss. Therefore, the word "greed" in stock investment is not acceptable. It is recommended that investors set a take-profit point when buying stocks. After the stock price rises by 20%, they will resolutely sell their stocks. Now many senior investors on Wall Street are still sticking to this proportion. The other is the stop loss point, which is 7%-8% lower than the purchase price.
2. 50%— holdings golden ratio
50%, that is, stocks leave 50% of positions and funds leave 50% of positions, which facilitates investors to formulate different position control strategies based on their own operating style. The so-called position ratio is the proportion of the market value of the holding product to the total amount of funds, but this proportion is dynamic. For example, for example, if an investor's initial capital is 100,000 yuan, he will buy stocks with 50,000 yuan, and the holding ratio is 50% at this time; although as the stock price rises, the total assets and stock market value will continue to change. For example, if the stock price rises by 20%, the total assets will be 110,000 yuan, and the stock market value increases to 60,000 yuan, and the holding ratio at this time becomes 54.5%, but the 50% gold holding ratio should still be remembered when the market first enters the market.
3, 60% - Low price circle judge
60%. A judgment ratio of low price circle refers to the stock price relative to the previous high point. If the stocks have a decline of more than 60%, it can be regarded as a low price circle. When the stock price has a high increase and a high volume ratio, and the stock price is in a low price circle, it means that the main force intends to raise the stock price, and the risk of investors participating is relatively small at this time. On the contrary, if you buy those stocks in high-priced circles at this time, there will be great risks and many traps. Therefore, investors can refer to this ratio of "60%, low-price circle judgment", which can basically avoid the tragedy of being trapped by blindly chasing individual stocks, and thus improve the efficiency of capital utilization.
4. 10—The stocks should not exceed 10
10. It is best for investors who are risk-bearing to buy more than 10 stocks. Because according to expert statistics, the final returns of more than 10 stocks are not impressive, and investors are simply too busy to be busy, so it is better to allocate the above-mentioned Yisheng Yueyueyueying. If ordinary investors have the appropriate proportion of their own high-risk investment, they can refer to the formula "100-Owner's Age". Of course, it is necessary to invest according to the actual financial situation and risk preferences of each person and each family.
Of course, this is not omnipotent. The above stock market investment rules must still vary from person to person, and the investment ratio will be adjusted in a timely manner. In addition, in daily life, investors should pay more attention to the study of relevant professional investment and financial management knowledge, strive to improve their investment and financial management skills, and use various investment and financial management channels and tools to preserve and increase their wealth.
shows call bidding limit down test market. Most of the purposes are two:
First, cause panic, take the opportunity to wash the market. After the stock rises slightly, due to the large number of retail investors and many unstable chips, the main force will use the limit down to try the market to wash the market, causing panic among retail investors, and then sell the chips in their hands at the opening.
Second, after a long-term sideways or a sharp drop, the stock price will hit the limit and test the support strength of intraday selling pressure and important support levels. If the support level sells light and can support the stock price, then the main force may use this position to rebound.
For call bidding trials, you can refer to the position of the stock price to judge. Different stock price positions have different main goals.
The three major signals of the main force building positions
1. After the price fell sharply, while entering horizontal consolidation, there was a wide fluctuation intermittently
At this stage, the main force will be extremely patient and calmly collecting low-priced chips. These chips are the main force's bottom position and an important source of profit for the stock in the future. When these chips are sold, it is likely that the main force will ship.
2. The price plunged in the late trading, and opened low and closed high the next day. The price fell significantly less than the market
. Before the price rose sharply, the main force usually did not make big moves, but sent small reconnaissance troops to test the market, and washed the market sharply in the late trading, washing out the market with unstable investors, clearing obstacles for the upcoming sharp rise.
3. When the price is consolidating at a low level, small crosses often appear. Call bidding abnormal movement
can be seen from the daily K-line trend in the figure below. Before the pull-up, crosses are emerging one after another, which initially reflects the trading situation of the main force. However, the most important thing is to see whether the call auction is actively traded. The price generated by the call auction is generally higher than the previous day, indicating that the follow-up market is enthusiastic. If it is an inactive stock or an unpopular stock, the price generated by call auction is generally lower than the previous day, and the desire to buy on the same day is not strong.
Main position building reversal signal: "Inverted Hammer Line"
Inverted Hammer Line is a K-line with a long upper shadow line , and a lower shadow line does not exist or is very short. The body part is very small, it can be , or positivity.
Pattern Introduction: The inverted hammer head line (also called inverted hammer line ) appears during the decline. The K-line (positive or negative line) entity is very small, the upper shadow line is greater than or equal to twice the entity. Generally, there is no lower shadow line, and a few will have a slight lower shadow line, which is a potential bullish reversal signal. The formation of an inverted hammer line is usually caused by a rapid pull-up in the middle after opening, and then gradually falling back at the high level when it encounters selling pressure. Although the market was experiencing upward tests on the day, it still fell.
reverse hammer head line
reverse hammer head form appears at the top, which means that the attack is blocked, so it is easy to become the head; it appears at the bottom, which represents a tentative upward attack by multiple parties, which is a test-market behavior, and the purpose is to test the degree of locking chips. Once the chips are locked well, the main force may launch a round of market upward, and the bottom is established. The continued downward trend of
caused the stock price to jump downward on the opening day, and failed to rise on the day to close at a lower price, forming a long upper shadow line. The key to this pattern determines whether the trend reversal is successful or failure is the opening of the next day. If the opening of the next day is higher than the inverted hammer-shaped entity, the potential trend reversal will cause panic among the bears, which will support the further rise of the stock price and is a signal of a reversal of the stock price.
The inverted hammer line at the bottom price zone is usually considered a strong K-line and a strong signal that the exchange rate bottoms out. This signal is more reliable if the inverted hammer line and the lower shadow line passes through the original low line. The inverted hammer line appeared in the reserve price zone, indicating that the penetration pressure of the short side has declined. Although the short side still had the upper hand for a while, due to the strong presence of the low-level multi-party takeover, the short side finally lost. Investors who are willing to buy at the bottom can regard the inverted hammer line as a tentative and position-building signal, but steady investors should also observe to see if there are other buying signals
[Technical Points]
1. The longer the upper shadow of the inverted hammer line, the stronger the energy of the bulls to drive the stock price up, and the stronger the bullish signal in this pattern.
2. If the trading volume is amplified while the inverted hammer is formed, the bullish signal in this pattern will be stronger.
3. Investors can set the lowest price and stop loss point of the day when the inverted hammer line appears, and enter a large amount of funds during the fishing season when buying.
inverted hammer body line means that the market trend may reverse, so signal confirmation must be carried out. The meaning of the appearance of this K-line is that the power of the market decline weakens or stops. The physical part of the hammer line is relatively short, which means that there is a strong bullish in the market. If the physical part of the opening price is high on the second day, the inverted hammer line will be confirmed, which will bring the arrival of this rising signal.
bullish signal verification:
1. The opening price of the inverted hammer line the next day jumped upward, exceeding the entity of the inverted hammer line. The larger the distance of the upward jump, the stronger the verification signal.
2. The next day, the reverse hammer line will close, and its prices are at a relatively high level.
Operation strategy:
inverted hammer line has the meaning of stopping the decline and rebounding. It can be a positive line or a negative line; among which, the rising hints contained by the positive line are more obvious. If the trading volume on the day when the inverted hammer line signal appears is large, the possibility of an increase in the later period will also increase.
(1) If a strong upward market is the second day after the inverted hammer line appears, it means that the bulls have begun to dominate. At this time, investors can buy in time, and at the same time, they should set the low price on the day the inverted hammer line appears as the stop loss level. Once the stock price falls below this price, they should stop loss and exit in time.
(2) Judging from the process of forming the inverted hammer line, the signal strength of this pattern is not as obvious as that of the hammer line. Therefore, investors can combine it with the previous or subsequent K-lines to comprehensively analyze it to accurately judge the later trend. After the inverted hammer line pattern appears, if investors are worried about risks, they can observe for a few days and wait until the market stabilizes before buying at a low price.
Practical reference:
Figure 10 Square Round Support (002147) Daily K-line chart
As shown in Figure 10, Fangguo Support began to experience a downward trend, and the stocks closed with inverted hammer lines. Investors should pay attention to the subsequent trend of the stock.
htmlOn February 10, the stock closed a positive cross and the K-line entity was above the previous line entity, which indicates that the market will enter a rising trend in the future. Radical investors can buy the stock on this day, while stable investors can continue to wait and see and follow up with the stock when the stock breaks through the top price of the first inverted hammer line on the next trading day (February 11).Practical Analysis:
stock price began to enter the consolidation stage after bottoming out at 10.06 yuan. As shown in the figure below, the stock price closed at an inverted hammer line. Shortly after the opening of the day, the stock price was pulled up to a high level and broke through the 10-day moving average, but was then suppressed by the short side and the stock price fell, thus forming a small positive line with a long shadow line. The low-level inverted hammer line indicates that the short side has been consumed seriously and the stock price will bottom out and rebound. However, as the stock price continued to decline in the following two trading days, it reached July 19 and opened low and closed high at a large positive line, breaking through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the stock price was upward, and investors can choose stocks on the same day to buy.
The above chart is the trend chart of Huayi Group . The figure shows that the stock had an inverted hammer line on May 18. For analysis of the stock, the stock showed a pullback stage and an inverted hammer line meant that it was about to reversal. Therefore, it was bought on the same day. Of course, the name of the stock was still Shuangqian Shares! On May 18, it was held at a price of 18 yuan for three days, and sold at a price of 19.1 yuan on the 20th, making a profit of 6%!
Notes:
1. In a significant downward trend, it is better to wait and see. If you want to operate, you can only intervene in a short-term light position. It is possible that the market will rebound and then retrace again. At this time, there are signs of stabilization. You can increase your position near the low point of the hammer line.
2. If it is not in a downward trend or the decline is not large, the rebound strength will be weaker after the hammer line appears.
3. The smaller the hammer head, the longer the lower shadow line, the more obvious the effect of stopping the decline.
is for stable operators and aggressive operators, when a stock adjusts in advance and shows a significant decline, then stabilizes sideways because the market pullback hits a large negative line again, it is often a gold pit. At that time, you can refer to the time-sharing low point in the live broadcast room and intervene at a low price. Once done correctly, there will be quite good returns on the day. If you do something wrong, because you have already pulled back to a large scale and then fall again, the safety factor is much higher than chasing high! It is okay to fall below the lowest price of the day to stop loss, or wait for the market to fall again and then add positions.
Following the stock selection code formula indicator:
If you have been in the market for many years and still can’t select stocks and buy or sell, you might as well try the “Foot Follow the stock selection device”. The results of the selection are all stocks with the main force and the potential of dark horses. What we need to do next is to find the entry position, how to sell high and buy low, and how to find the peak to leave in time; copying the formula code will inevitably cause some format errors. If you cannot import successfully, you can follow the official account: Yuesheng Investment Research, get the source code for free!
A1:(VOL/C)/2, COLORCYAN,LINETHICK1;
A222:IF(A10.29 AND CLOSEREF(CLOSE,1),A1,0),COLORRED,LINETHICK1;
A2:=SUM(IF(A1100 AND CLOSEREF(CLOSE,1),A1,0),0);
A3:=SUM(IF(A1100 AND CLOSE
A4:=SUM(IF(A1100 AND CLOSEREF(CLOSE,1),A1,0),0);
A5:=SUM(IF(A1100 AND CLOSE
A4:=SUM(IF(A1100 AND CLOSEREF(CLOSE,1),A1,0),0);
A5:=SUM(IF(A1100 AND CLOSE
A6:=A2+A3+A4+A5;
main buy: (A2/A6)*100, COLORRED, LINETHICK1, NODRAW;
main sell: (A3/A6)*100, LINETHICK1, COLORCYAN, NODRAW;
single buy: (A4/A6 )*100,LINETHICK1,COLORMAGENTA,NODRAW;
Spread: (A5/A6)*60,LINETHICK1,COLORGREEN,NODRAW;
Main difference: (main buy-main sell)*60,COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK1;
IF (main difference= REF (main difference, 1),main difference, DRAWNULL),COLORLICYAN,LINETHICK1;
IF (main difference REF (main difference, 1),main difference, DRAWNULL),COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK1;
STICKLINE(main difference REF (main difference, 1),main difference, REF (A222, 1),1,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(main difference = REF (main difference, 1),main difference, REF (A222, 1),1,0),COLORCYAN;
STICKLINE(main difference = REF (main difference, 1),main difference, REF (A222, 1),1,0),COLORCYAN;
STICKLINE(main difference = REF (main difference Force difference,1),A1,REF(A222,1),0.5,0),COLORLICYAN;
{STICKLINE(main force difference REF(main force difference,1),A1,REF(A222,1),0.5,0),COLORMAGENTA;}
Stay away from these three stocks
1: Most of the market-makers who dive in the market-makers generally have the problem of capital chain breakage, and a large proportion of market-makers who dive in the market-makers are the fundamental reason for the capital chain breakage. With the deterioration of stock market conditions and macro-control, the funds in the market shrink and the existing funds become tight, and some stocks will have problems with broken capital chains.
In May 2013, the road to rise began. The price once rose from 7.53 yuan to 14.50 yuan, an increase of nearly 93%, but the trading volume was very light. The stock then entered a stage of approximately sideways. On December 2, 2013, the stock suddenly pulled out a long negative line, indicating that the market makers in the trading have given up their resistance due to capital problems and are about to short them. Sure enough, on December 3, the stock hit the limit and released a huge amount, and the market makers ended in failure. If the stockholder holds the stock and does not take it off in time, then the losses can be imagined.
2: Some market-maker stocks with huge increases can sometimes reach 200% or even more. Retail investors are easily attracted by this phenomenon, thus promoting the market. In fact, there may be huge risks hidden behind this huge profit. The dealer may cash out profits at any price at any time, especially small-scale stocks, which are extremely uncertain. Stock investors should pay attention to avoiding such individual stocks, especially resolutely avoiding stocks that have various positive news when the huge rises, because this is likely to be a circle set up by the market makers.
3: After long operation time and poor trading, the dealer cannot seize the opportunity to retire after a long and meticulous and tedious operation, which shows that the methods used by these dealers when they are in the dealer are relatively backward and are easily seen through. However, long-term positioning in the banker not only consumes a lot of time, but also consumes a lot of funds. Once an emergency occurs, diving will be an inevitable result.
After the price of the stock peaked on December 1, 2009, it fell step by step until it bottomed on June 25, 2013. After three and a half years of negative decline, the market trading was light and sporadic. The price fell from the high point of 7.38 yuan to the low point of 2.05 yuan in three and a half years, a drop of 72%, and investors who held the shares suffered heavy losses.
Assuming that only one loss occurs ten times of trading? In fact, the essence of trading is probability. The simpler the more you are, the closer you are to the essence
From the perspective of traders, trading is a prediction problem, and from the perspective of the market itself, trading is ultimately a probability problem.
From this perspective, there is never a so-called secret in the market, because all trading analysis and operation behaviors are lagging. Therefore, based on this point, under the premise that everyone has limited energy, we should tend to make transactions simple. Compared with complex trading methods, the simpler trading methods are, the easier it is to focus on the main context of the market, and the closer it is to the legitimacy of probability. It is like when there is only one watch, you know what time it is now, but when there are more than two watches and the time on the watch is different, you don’t know what time it is now. Trading is not to accurately predict the future direction of the market, but to feel its movement inertia.
The greatest charm of probability lies in "unreasonable". Sometimes an aunt selling tea eggs can also criticize a large number of fund managers for their poor trading levels and proudly posting their delivery orders. However, the market usually peaks in this case. If you make a choice, should you agree with a mother who makes money selling tea eggs or should you agree with a special fund manager who loses money?
What is really worth thinking about by traders who want to make a living by trading is , How should your trading method match the probability? The biggest probability is not in technical analysis, but in the inertia of price movement. However, technical analysis is the only way for us to analyze price inertia, or trends. Therefore, the premise for whether trading can make a profit first occurs in our attitude towards the use of trading technology. If you have always been counting on trading technology to predict, you will definitely fall into the "complex" circle. If you feel that using an indicator is inaccurate, add one more, and then add one more, and then add more.
Many times, why do things seem simple to the bystanders, but in the eyes of the on-market traders, but which one is so complicated? Which one is simple or complicated is an illusion? Is the trading market complex? Or is it simple?
has the probability of making money when there is no analysis, there is the probability of making money when there is a simple analysis, and there is also the probability of making money when there are various complex combinations. The fact is that there are big differences between these three probability. The first probability is actually equal to luck, and the complexity or simplicity depends on the different cognitive levels of the trader. The simpler it is, the closer it is to be better than there are tricks. The more complex it is, the more sensitive it is to the market trend, or it is only suitable for certain specific market conditions. The effect outside these market conditions is often too much or too much.
From a cognitive perspective, people have a tendency to be complicated, and whether they are complicated or not can directly determine the probability, it just gives you a sense of security.
From the perspective of cognitive process, the closer it is to the essence, the simpler it is often. For example, the physical phenomenon that once caused human infinite imagination can be explained by Newton's three laws.
For traders, what they need to summarize is their own market laws, rather than staying at the summary of market phenomena. Even if there are many technical indicators used, they cannot cover all the market phenomena.
The market is human nature, and people can cover themselves up, but human nature often cannot be covered up. Starting from the greed and fear of human nature, you will find that "history is really repeating itself"!
Hua Luogeng said that reading is a process of reading thin and accumulating thin. When you face the market book, you also need to read it like this.
If you want to know more about the current A-share stage operation skills and free formula codes, or if you have any doubts, you can follow the official account Yuesheng Investment Research (yslcwh) to obtain the most important investment information and original stock technical analysis methods as soon as possible, and there is a steady stream of dry goods!
(The above content is for reference only and does not constitute operation suggestions. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
Statement: This content is provided by the official account Yuesheng Investment Research (yslcwh), and does not mean that the investment news approves its investment views.
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