Four days after the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the second China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo was held in our city. The time is from September 26 to 29, and guests arrived one after another on the 25th and 26th, and the 26th is working days. During the Mid-Autumn Festival holi

021 Mid-Autumn Festival will be held from September 19 to 21st for a total of 3 days. Work will be held on Saturday on the 18th, and the Mid-Autumn Festival will be held on the 21st. Four days after the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the second China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo (hereinafter referred to as the "Economic and Trade Fair") was held in our city. time is from September 26 to 29, and guests arrive on the 25th and 26th one after another. 26th (Sunday) is the working day .

The expressway is not free during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday. The demand for travel for citizens to return home to reunite, short-distance travel, visit relatives and friends has increased, and road traffic pressure is high. This report analyzes and judges the characteristics of road traffic conditions in urban Changsha City during the Dragon Boat Festival this year and has been analyzed and judged during the Mid-Autumn Festival. According to analysis, the road traffic pressure in Changsha will be higher during the Mid-Autumn Festival than during the Dragon Boat Festival holiday. It is expected that traffic will be busy from the afternoon before the holiday to the morning of the first day of the holiday, and traffic will be relatively smooth from the afternoon of the first day of the holiday to the morning of the third day of the holiday. The flow of people and traffic will be mainly concentrated in popular attractions and business districts. The peak return journey will be from the afternoon to the evening of the holiday.

In terms of the second economic and trade fair, compared with the first economic and trade fair, the number of hotels at this economic and trade fair is small, the locations of major events are concentrated, and the distance from the main urban area, the convoy routes are relatively simple, and the control area is small. It is expected that the impact on urban traffic during the event will be small, and the overall traffic pressure will be smaller.

Note: Mid-Autumn Festival in 2020 is October 1, which overlaps with the National Day holiday, so it is not for reference.

. Tourism popularity

As the epidemic prevention and control situation improves, many places across the country have resumed cross-provincial group tours, many scenic spots have launched ticket discounts, and provinces have attracted tourists by issuing consumption coupons. The depressed travel demand in the summer has been released, and it is expected that the Mid-Autumn Festival will usher in a small peak in tourism. The "2021 Mid-Autumn Festival Holiday Tourism Trend Report" released by Tongcheng is expected to exceed 80 million domestic tourists, close to the number of tourists on the Dragon Boat Festival. Short-distance surrounding tours are the mainstream. Although Changsha has not been among the top ten most popular destinations on the list, it has been shortlisted as the top ten popular cities for surrounding tours, and the popularity of "Internet celebrity Changsha" is still there. It is worth noting that the traditional cultural custom of the Mid-Autumn Festival will drive the night tour market, and the night tour market is expected to be very prosperous during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday.

At the same time, since the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday is shorter and only 3 days off, and the 9 days after the holiday is the National Day Golden Week, short-distance surrounding tours are still the mainstream of the Mid-Autumn Festival travel market, and long-term tourism is backlogged.

2. Meteorological forecast (data source: Municipal Meteorological Bureau Updated date: September 15)

According to the forecast of the Municipal Meteorological Observatory, the weather in Changsha urban area during the Mid-Autumn Festival was sunny and rainy, and the temperature was higher than the same period last year. Judging from the weather forecast, the meteorological situation during holidays has little impact on transportation. However, this season is prone to heavy rainfall weather in a short period of time. We must avoid the adverse effects of water accumulation on traffic travel caused by sudden rainfall and local short-term heavy rainfall, thunderstorms and strong winds. The specific weather forecast is as follows:

Chapter 1 Before the festival (September 18)

Mid-Autumn Festival is a traditional reunion festival in my country. The expressways are not free during the holidays, and citizens have a strong desire to return home to reunite before the festival. It is expected that the number of active cars in the urban area before the festival will reach 1.42 million cars the day before the Dragon Boat Festival holiday. From 14 to 21, the congestion index rose and was in a slow state. The number of vehicles leaving the city increased significantly, especially from 16:30 to 20, the urban area was in a severe congestion state. Until 22:00, most road traffic in the urban area basically returned to normal.

1. Congestion index

Judging from the trend of the congestion index the day before the Dragon Boat Festival holiday this year and combined with the recent traffic flow characteristics, it is expected that the congestion index before the Mid-Autumn Festival this year is higher than that of the Dragon Boat Festival. Before the holiday, not only did the "double peaks" of working days remained, but the traffic busyness increased significantly from 14:00 to 21:00 and 21:00, and the congestion index was between 1.6 and 2.8, which was the most concentrated period of traffic.Among them, the traffic flow of the main roads of the urban area will increase significantly before the evening of the festival. The congestion index will reach its peak at 17:00-19:00, and the minute-level congestion index will exceed 2.6. The traffic busyness is higher than the day before this year's Dragon Boat Festival. The overall traffic in urban areas is expected to return to normal around 20:00, and some roads entering and leaving the city will continue to slow down until 22:00.

2. Number of active cars

Before the festival, various traffic demands such as after-hours flow, after-school flow, out-of-town flow and into the city flow are superimposed. The busyness of road traffic in urban areas is significantly higher than usual. It is expected that the number of active cars throughout the day before the Mid-Autumn Festival this year will be about 1.42 million. The high-level operating time span has increased, and the busyness of traffic is showing a significant upward trend compared with the peak of the working day.

III. Road traffic conditions

(I) Expressway traffic conditions

Corps predicts that the total traffic flow of highway entrances and exits in the province during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday will be 8.512 million vehicles, with an average of 2.838 million vehicles per day, an increase of 26.31% year-on-year from 2019.

is expected to be the peak of congestion from the city from 16 to 23 before the festival. The highways that are prone to congestion and slow traffic when leaving the city in Changsha are mainly part of the expressways such as G5513 Changzhang Expressway, S50 Changzhi Expressway, and G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Expressway .

(II) Traffic conditions of the incoming and exiting the city

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000 pm on the day before the festival, the traffic of vehicles leaving the city was slow at around 13:00 pm; at 14:00 pm, the traffic flow in and out of the city began to queule with two-way vehicles entering and leaving the city by Yunqi Road and Xiangfu Road Bridge. After that, the traffic flow in Yuelu Avenue, Xiangfu Road Elevated, Changsha Avenue, Fenglin Third Road and other roads leaving the city gradually increased; from 17 to 19:00, the peak of travel was reached; at 20:00, the traffic in Yuelu Avenue left the city was the first to drop, because the highway implemented the policy of not free for small vehicles below 7 seats, and all traffic in and out of the city basically returned to normal at 23:00 pm.

(III) Traffic conditions of other main roads in the urban area

Starting from 13:00 pm on September 18, the traffic flow in the urban area has gradually increased. From 16:30 to 20:00 is the busiest period of traffic. The traffic flow in the urban area, especially the cross-river passages, the main roads within the Second Ring Road, and the inlet and exit passages has increased dramatically. After the evening rush hour, the traffic slowly dissipated from the north, west to the east and south of the city until 22:00 pm.

. Major Events

The first Beidou scale application international summit will be held at Hunan International Convention and Exhibition Center from September 15 to 18. There will still be results exhibition activities on .

18 results exhibition activities and the peak of leaving the city before the festival is expected to be under great pressure from Sany Avenue. Kaifu Brigade should, on the basis of focusing on strengthening traffic command and guidance on Sany Avenue, Huancheng Road, Confession Road, Xingguang Road and other roads around the Convention and Exhibition Center, strengthen daily patrol and control efforts, promptly deal with traffic accidents, traffic congestion and other emergencies, ensure the traffic safety, smoothness and order of the roads around the event site, and speed up the release of traffic flow from Sany Avenue out of the city. Changsha County Brigade must set up pre-truck diversion points at Kaiyuan Interchange. When the pressure on the meeting site and Sany Avenue is too high, the command center will coordinate with Kaifu Brigade to conduct truck diversion.

Chapter 2 During the festival (September 19-20)

Section Central urban area Traffic is relatively smooth, and there are no "double peaks" on working days. From 7:00 to 12:00 am on the first day of the holiday, the road traffic in the urban area was generally smooth. Affected by the highway toll policy, the traffic from the city connecting the major toll stations is busy, and there is still a large amount of traffic out of the city. Until 12 o'clock, the traffic in and out of the city will return to normal; from the afternoon of the first day of the holiday to the second day of the holiday, traffic and people in the business districts in the urban area are relatively concentrated, especially the Yuelu Mountain-Juzizhou Scenic Area and the May Day business district surrounding the axis of Yiqiao and Wuyi Road .

1. Congestion index

Highways are not free to pass during the holidays. It is expected that the peak of congestion from 9:00 to 12:00 on September 19 will be the peak of congestion from the city. The exit channel connecting the expressway is in a slow state, and other sections are open. The overall traffic conditions of the urban road network are in a smooth state. From 9:00 to 10:00 am and 14:00 pm are the peak travel times, and people and cars gather on the roads around the business districts of popular attractions.

The first day of the holiday (September 19) is the peak congestion from the expressway out of the city. From 14 to 20 pm, citizens go to the business district attractions to visit, and the road traffic conditions are slightly busy.

On the second day of the holiday, the number of active cars in the urban area dropped significantly compared with usual, and was at the lowest point of the holiday. The traffic conditions of the urban road network were in a smooth state throughout the day.

2. Number of active cars

It is expected that the average daily active cars for the two days before the holiday is lower than usual weekends. On the first day of the holiday, traffic is concentrated in the entrance and exit passages, scenic spots and business districts around the business district. On the second day of the holiday, vehicles are relatively concentrated on roads around the business district attractions, and the number of active cars is reduced to the lowest.

. Congested sections

(I) Traffic conditions in the entrance and exit passages

At around 7 am on the first day of the holiday, traffic flows in the direction of the roads such as Yunqi Road, Changsha Avenue, Yuelu Avenue, Xiangfu Road Elevated Road, Leifeng Avenue, Fenglin Third Road, Sany Avenue and the western section of the ring expressway increased in turn. At 12 o'clock, except for Yunqi Road, traffic on other major roads leaving the city was basically restored.

(II) Popular business districts, attractions

Scenic areas and business districts, in the morning, tourists in the scenic spots and business districts around Yiqiao in the urban area, Hunan Radio and Television and Hunan Provincial Museum and other attractions and business districts increased first, and in the afternoon, Xie Zilong -Li Zijian Art Museum, Yanghu Wetland Park and Meixihu Bubu Hi-Tech World (Construction Stage of Metro Line 6) gradually increased; at night, the May Day business district, Hunan Radio and Television, Sifangping Night Market, Wanjiali International MALL and Yangfan Community Night Market are relatively high.

At the same time, due to the popularity of the TV series " Anti-Black Storm ", Martyrs Park, Meixi Lake Jinmao Twin Towers, Chaozong Street and other places have become popular check-in places. In addition, Furong in the jurisdiction of Wanjiali International Shopping Plaza, Tianxin in the jurisdiction of ecological zoo, Yuelu in the jurisdiction of Xiangjiang Happy City , Yanghu Wetland Park, IKEA, Kaifu in the jurisdiction of World Window , Underwater World, Yuhua in the jurisdiction of Provincial Botanical Garden, Desiqin Business District, Meixihu in the jurisdiction of hi-tech, Tongguan Kiln in the jurisdiction of Wangcheng District, Fantastic Oriental Myth of Ningxiang City , etc. will usher in a wave of passenger flow peak, and the relevant jurisdictions must strengthen the guidance of surrounding roads.

(III) Other congested sections of urban area

It is expected that other busy roads in the urban area are mainly: Monkey Stone Bridge , Yunqi Road, Yinpenling Bridge , Yuelu Avenue, Changsha Avenue, Second Ring Road, Xiangfu Road Elevated and Wanjiali Elevated Road crossings and other roads with fewer signal light intersections.

Chapter 3 (September 21)

Since the Mid-Autumn Festival is the last day of the holiday, short-distance citizens generally choose to go back to long after lunch or dinner. In addition, the Mid-Autumn Festival has a custom of watching the moon on the night, so traffic flows are intertwined from the evening rush hour to the night. It is expected that traffic flows into the city will increase from 15 to 22, and the peak will reach from 20 to 21, and the passageways and some elevated and ring lines in the urban area will be in a slow state.

1. Congestion index

At the end of the period, the traffic flow into the city gradually increased at 15 pm, and the urban congestion index rose slowly, reaching a peak from 20:00 to 21, and it was in a slow state. After that, as the traffic flow into the city gradually decreased, the traffic conditions in the urban area fell to a smooth state.

2. The number of active cars

is the peak of return at the end of the festival. The number of active cars in the urban area has increased significantly compared with the festival, close to the daily weekend traffic. It is expected that the last day of the holiday will be 1.26 million.

3. Traffic conditions of expressways and inlet and exit passages

The brigade predicted that the peak of expressways would occur on September 21, with a peak traffic of about 3.05 million vehicles, which is 1.5 times the daily traffic, and the peak value increased by 25.23% compared with 2019.

predicts that the highways that are prone to congestion and slow traveling back are some sections of the highway such as G5513 Changzhang Expressway and S50 Changzhi Expressway.

Because the last day of the holiday is the Mid-Autumn Festival, starting at 15 pm that day, traffic flows into the city of Yuelu Avenue, Jinzhou Avenue and Changsha Avenue will be the first to rise; 20:00 to 21:00 are the peak of return; the next day, the traffic on Yunqi Road and Yuelu Avenue finally returned to normal.

Chapter 4 Analysis of road traffic accidents during festivals

. Basic characteristics of Mid-Autumn Festival accidents

(I) Space characteristics. During the Mid-Autumn Festival and Dragon Boat Festival holidays in 2019, the risk of deaths in Ningxiang City and Liuyang City is high, with the number of deaths in the accident accounting for 55.56% and 22.22% of the city's deaths respectively, accounting for 77.78% of the city's deaths.

(II) Time characteristics. Since the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday is short, there is no big difference in the risk of daily accidents. On the first and second day of the holidays, we focus on preventing insufficient preparation of the car and route before returning home, and driving in drunkenly after partying; on the third day of the return journey, we focus on preventing fatigue driving, etc.

(III) Cause of the accident. The main causes of the death accident include not giving in accordance with regulations, meeting in a car, reversing in a car, driving drunk, driving with both hands when driving a non-motor vehicle, crossing the road without giving in when encountering pedestrians, speeding, etc.

2. Mid-Autumn Festival accident prevention suggestions

Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the climate is pleasant, and the number of people going out for tourism, visiting relatives, shopping, etc. is increasing. The rising traffic flow between different places and urban and rural areas has increased the risk of traffic accidents caused by factors such as traffic congestion, road changes, and drivers' fatigue driving, drunk driving, failure to give in as required, driving without a license, and not wearing helmets.

Urban Area: 12:00 on September 18th to 12:00 on September 19th . Strengthen road traffic diversion and illegal investigation and punishment of road sections leaving the city, and quickly deal with scratch accidents caused by traffic congestion from the city. In the remaining periods, we will focus on controlling the traffic order around scenic spots and commercial circles based on the weather conditions. During the festival, the focus is on drunk driving inspections.

Rural Areas: Before September 18, carried out road hazard inspections and control to ensure the level of road safety guarantee, publish information on frequent accidents, prone, and dangerous points through the media, and set signs such as "autonomous accidents" and "dangerous road sections" on the corresponding road sections. During holidays, traffic safety publicity such as "fatigue driving, drunk driving, speeding, driving without a license, and not wearing a helmet" was carried out, and illegal investigations were carried out; combined with the road chief system, personnel were sent to provide safety guidance and persuasion at major intersections and entrances and exits.