** "Telly III" is coming! Typhoon No. 18 this year, Typhoon Telly, was generated on the Pacific Ocean near Guam at 20:00 on the 9th, and today is midnight.

has been generated! Generated!

"Telli III" is coming!

, the widely-watched Typhoon "Telli"

, was generated at 8 pm on September 9.

may be located around the 15th

on the coast of Fujian and Guangdong

It will be the "real big typhoon" of 2017!

Torrential rain, heavy rain, strong wind... is brewing! ! !

Typhoon latest

@Fujian Meteorological : Typhoon No. 18 this year (tropical storm level, Talim; source of name: Philippines; meaning of name: obvious edge) was in the Pacific Ocean near Guam at 20:00 on the 9th The ocean surface was generated. At 8:00 today, the center is located on the ocean surface about 2,100 kilometers eastward in the Philippines (16.0 degrees north latitude and 140.5 degrees east longitude). The maximum wind force near the center is 8 (18 meters/sec), and the central air pressure is 1,000. Hamppa.

It is expected that "Telli" will move northwestward at a speed of about 20 kilometers per hour, and its intensity will gradually increase. The strongest can reach strong typhoon level or super typhoon level (level 14-16, 45-52 meters .

"Telli" entered the 48-hour warning area on the morning of the 12th, entered the 24-hour warning area on the morning of the 13th, gradually approaching Taiwan Island , and may land on the coast of Fujian and Guangdong around the 15th, which will cause serious storms to our province Influence.

Typhoon real-time path

▼

How strong is "Telli"?

If you don’t make a sound, you’ll make a splash.

was born in Telli in the center of the warm pool, and

has almost inexhaustible energy.

Central Meteorological Observatory reminds,

At present, the probability of

typhoon "Telli"

18 landing on the coast of southern China is very high,

and the intensity is not low

@Fuzhou meteorological forecast,

"Telli" is coming in full force,

is expected to develop this year Since

has the strongest typhoon ( super typhoon has a high probability).

plus cold air assist in front,

will be the 19th Typhoon " Dusurui " (not officially numbered yet), protecting the law.

is expected to affect our city for a long time (12-16 days),

will cause serious consequences to Fuzhou. Influence.

@Chinese meteorological enthusiasts analyzed that

Telli reached

or exceeded the intensity of the Tiange Typhoon. There is no big doubt about this.

Where will Telly go?

Where will the typhoon go, basically listen to the navigation of the secondary high school.

@Fuzhou meteorological analysis, the current sub-high form is relatively stable, and there is no big suspense about "Telli" traveling westward to Taiwan before the 13th. However, when "Telli" approaches Bay, the sub-high pattern will undergo a major adjustment.

▲The "Telli" infrared cloud map simulated by the United States Hurricane Mode (HWRF)

Chinese meteorological enthusiasts analyze that there are two possibilities for Taili path:

1, the secondary high strength is a little stronger, it passes through Bashi Channel and enters South China Sea , and goes westward Racing to Guangdong;

2, the secondary high and weaker, it will go north to Taiwan and Fujian! The chances of 's current turnover will not affect our country's economy.

Supercomputer's path integration simulation for Taili

@weatherman_Xinxin: is expected to be expected to numerical forecast for "Telli" in the future, the path may continue to sway after the 13th. If it is approaching Taiwan, the westerly trough in the northeast is very strong, and the sub-high weakens eastward. The withdrawal is obvious, and the typhoon is increasing northward. may land or pass through Taiwan before going to Fujian, similar to "Moranti".

What impact does it have on Fujian

Fujian Meteorological Department predicted:

5-18th , affected by the typhoon,

High to heavy rain to heavy rain in coastal cities in Fujian,

Partial heavy rain ;

Inland cities have showers.

Affected by the combined influence of cold air and typhoons, there will be continuous strong winds along the coast for 5 to 6 days starting from

13.

10, our province was still controlled by south wind, but the convection conditions in the afternoon were significantly weakened. The whole province was mainly cloudy, with showers or thunderstorms in the northern part and other parts.

htmlOn 11, the westerly trough moved eastward, the lower shear slowly moved eastward, there were showers or thunderstorms in the northwest, Nanping northwest, with moderate rain, and local heavy rain to heavy rain.

htmlOn 12, the high altitude trough entered the sea, and the sub-high height continued to be strengthened. Line 592 extends west to control the northern part of our province. However, in the afternoon, there is a convergence line near the central mountain range of our province, and the convection conditions in the province are relatively good. Most counties and cities have showers or Thunderstorms, heavy to heavy rain in some parts.

htmlOn 13, the westerly trough moved eastward, and our province is still under the control of the secondary high school. The whole province is mainly cloudy, and there will be showers or thunderstorms in the coastal areas of the north and central areas from afternoon to night.

htmlOn 14, the sub-high weakened and broke into two highs. The typhoon on the east side of the Philippines moved northwest toward Taiwan Island, gradually moving towards Taiwan Island. Our province is in the saddle field. The province is mainly cloudy, with moderate rain and some heavy rain in the coastal areas in the north and central areas.

15-18, due to the impact of typhoons, there will be heavy to heavy rain in coastal cities, and local heavy rainstorms; there will be showers in inland cities. is affected by the combined influence of cold air and typhoons. From the 13th, there will be continuous strong winds along the coast for 5 to 6 days. From the 14th to the 18th, the coastal winds in the province will increase to level 8 to 10, and the gusts will reach level 11 to 12.

@Fuzhou Meteorology Today I also answered three questions that readers are generally concerned about

1. Is it possible that Taili will strengthen it to become a super typhoon?

is currently expected to reach the strongest typhoon level or super typhoon level (level 14-16, 45-52 meters/second);

2. What will Fuzhou be affected by it from next week? Starting from

2, the winds on the coast of our city began to increase;

3. Will this typhoon cause schools to suspend classes?

If the frontal attack on Fujian, especially near Fuzhou, is likely to suspend classes.

Fuzhou future weather

circle focus

Tailid will not be able to go to the Bay,

To flirt with Guangdong or Fujian,

Whether traffic will be suspended

These problems still depend on the later development of taili

But it is certain that

will produce Fujian Serious impact‼ ️

"Telli"'s Three Life Three Life

Fujian and "Telli" have a lot of fate

Don't believe it, let's take a look at "Telli"'s Three Life Three Life Three Life!

"Telli" I

@Fuzhou Meteorological: On the day of school opening on September 1, 2005, Typhoon 13, "Telli" landed in Shapu Town, Fuqing City. The super typhoon "Telli" with its name is like a sharp blade, which has brought serious storms to Fujian, causing 2.545 million people to be affected by the province and direct economic losses of about 3.7 billion yuan.

Telli II

@Chinese meteorological enthusiasts: In June 2012, "Telli" II returned to the Taiwan Strait with an unprecedented route in June, bringing heavy storms to Taiwan and Fujian.

Memories about "Telly"

@Photo Cucumber 007: Both remember very well, one gave me a day of typhoon vacation, and the other canceled my vacation!

@Xay396996: That year (2005), most of the house was flooded, and it was a typhoon black warning!

@Qingleiw: Wow I don’t seem to have seen black

@Fuzhou Meteorological: At that time in 2005, the highest level of the typhoon warning signal was indeed black, and it was later changed to red.

Telli III

Now "Telli" III is once again aiming at the southeast coast,

I want to be obsessed with Taiwan and Fujian

One sentence summary:

The big typhoon is coming!

Quickly inform the people around you to be alert! !

and pay more attention to the weather trends!

Comprehensive: Fujian Meteorological, Fuzhou Meteorological, Central Meteorological Observatory, Chinese Meteorological enthusiasts, etc.

Straits Metropolis Daily New Media Life Department Produced by Duty Editor: Xiuqin

Editor: Maomao