How difficult is it to explode an enemy aircraft carrier? Is the Chinese Navy capable of doing it?
I didn’t dare to say it before, but now it is OK.
The Taiwan Strait crisis in 1996 and the tense situation in the Taiwan Strait in 2004, the US aircraft carrier formation has repeatedly provoked South China Sea in the Taiwan Strait of China again and again, but our naval aircraft carrier development is slow and cannot form symmetric combat power.
So, around 2000, the Chinese Navy's demand for anti-aircraft carriers was more urgent than ever.
There is motivation when there is demand.
When we didn’t have enough combat power, 80 missile ships in the 022 were quickly put into service.
Given the coastal defense situation at that time, we can basically know that the 022 missile ship is a cheap and efficient high-performance weapon . It can deal with the US aircraft carrier formation without money or technology. Once the 022 missile ship was released, it was highly anticipated.
Now, with the continuous expansion of the scale and strength of the navy, 022 has almost been forgotten by us. The maneuver range of the Chinese Navy is constantly expanding. However, 022 is affected by factors such as its own range, self-sustainment, and cannot find a suitable position under the current new combat system .
022 From glory to rapid loss of position, it can be said that it has witnessed the rapid rise of the Chinese Navy.
022 missile ship
Before, someone said that the functions are not 056 comprehensive, and the firepower is not as strong as 054A. What is the use of 80 022 missile ships?
In fact, before 022, the Chinese Navy was equipped with some small combat ships, but 022 is the most special one in terms of performance and appearance. It has a full load displacement of about 250 tons. The whole is made of three parts spliced (one main hull and two V-shaped hulls), and adopts a wave-through double-body shape design.
has a strong impact visually, but this is not the point.
The key point is that this design can allow the 022 missile ship to have extremely high speed, and its maximum speed can reach 50 knots/hour. is the speed, even if it is compared with new weapons and equipment, it can be called the best. The main weapon of
022 missile ship is two 4-mounted YJ83s. is not inferior to the 051 destroyer and the 053 series frigate in anti-ship combat, and is no less than the 052 frigate. Most importantly, the number of 022 missile ships is built more than 80.
The US aircraft carrier has strong combat power, and no one is confident in qualitative strikes in , but in terms of quantitative saturated attacks, 022 can completely occupy a place.
80 missile ships, US ship is equipped with 8 YJ83 anti-ship missiles, which is equivalent to being equipped with 640 anti-ship missiles, , which is sufficient in terms of quantity to cause saturated strikes to the enemy aircraft carrier formation.
Can the 80 missile speedboats , 600 anti-ship missiles explode enemy aircraft carriers?
Given the current international situation, the enemy aircraft carrier we are talking about is still based on the Seventh Fleet that the US military may be stationed in the Taiwan Strait as a reference.
That is to say, our army's 80 022 missile speedboats carry 640 YJ83 anti-ship missiles to fight against the US Seventh Fleet.
The picture shows the US Seventh Fleet
Regarding YJ83, there are three sayings circulating in the market: subsonic , supersonic and subsonic cruise in the middle stage, and the end of then performs supersonic penetration at a speed of Mach 1.5.
Currently, according to various circulating materials, YJ83 should be a form of a combination of Asian and Super. The missile is also equipped with a specific data link . The data link ensures that the missile can receive target signals transmitted by satellites or carrier-based helicopter during flight, and conduct accurate strikes on surface ship .
According to speculation, the range of YJ83 is 200-300 kilometers, which means When the 022 missile ship is still 300 kilometers away from the US aircraft carrier formation, 022 should be prepared to launch the YJ83 anti-ship missile.
What is the US aircraft carrier formation doing at this time?
The US aircraft carrier formation has two layers of protection programs.
first layer, combat air patrol . The US aircraft carrier formation will send a fleet of 4-8 aircraft to fly within a range of about 300 kilometers from the aircraft carrier formation to provide risk warnings. Among these 8 aircraft, each is equipped with 6 air-to-air missiles .
Once any abnormal movements are found in the enemy, these 48 air-to-air missiles will play the role of the first layer of protection.
The fish that escaped the net under the first layer of protection system will then attack the aircraft carrier formation, but the aircraft carrier is also equipped with a second layer of protection device - the destroyer in the aircraft carrier formation. In addition, is the third layer of protection - the aircraft carrier's own interception device: " dense array ", "improved sea sparrow " and " ram ".
This is the protective force of the US aircraft carrier formation.
What will happen if the 640 anti-ship missiles deal with the US aircraft carrier formation?
YJ83 Anti-ship missile
We assume that the 022 missile ship fired all the YJ83s on its carrier at a position 250 kilometers away from the US aircraft carrier formation, which means that will have 640 anti-ship missiles to attack the US aircraft carrier formation at the same time.
After detecting abnormal movement, the US Navy's Seventh Fleet will quickly activate its own defense device and start ejecting F18 carrier-based aircraft and early warning aircraft equipped with anti-ship missiles.
, but this reaction time is not much (usually not too late). After our YJ83 anti-ship missile was launched, the US aircraft carrier formation did not have time to assemble more F18, which would miss the best time to attack speedboat .
The 8 F18s in the air can carry 8 air-to-air missiles, means that the US military can respond quickly is to launch 64 air-to-air missiles for interception, 64 to 640, which is simply a drop in the bucket.
F18 carries air-to-air missiles
Even if the US military's air-to-air missiles are 100% air-to-air missiles, 640 anti-ship missiles can survive at least 570 . This does not consider the situation of two air-to-air missiles against one anti-ship missile, not to mention that there are very few cases of 100% success.
Step 2, more than 570 YJ83 anti-ship missiles that escaped the net continued to fly towards the US aircraft carrier formation, and launched an attack on the aircraft carrier.
Next relies on the protection capability of the aircraft carrier formation.
In addition to the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier, the US Seventh Fleet also has Ticonderoga-class cruiser and Burke-class destroyer. The detection and interception system of the destroyer is mainly Aegis. The advantage of the Aegis system is mainly lies in the comprehensive performance of the phase array radar. It has excellent multi-target capability and relatively fast reaction time. can monitor hundreds of targets through detection devices such as radar , such as missiles, surface ships, and submarines .
The figure shows the land-based Aegis system
At the same time, will automatically identify among these targets according to the wartime situation, and finally filter out the target with the highest threat coefficient, and select the most appropriate means of attack to attack the target.
Moreover, the Aegis system can not only attack 12 aerial targets in all directions, but also attack targets with higher threats underwater. His application, , greatly shortens the time for a series of processes such as monitoring and attacking enemy targets, and improves monitoring efficiency.
Logically speaking, under the Aegis system, there should be no problem with the interception rate of Burke-class destroyers.
But what's so bad is that Burke Aegis system is very strong, but the missile uses semi-active guidance , with only 3 illuminating radars, and can only lock 6 targets at most at the same time.
The three illumination radars on Burke-class html
The US Seventh Fleet has 7 Burke-class destroyers. These 7 Burke-class ships can intercept at least five or six rounds, and a single ship can intercept 6 targets. In other words, after the interception of in this round, the remaining more than 570 YJ83s can now be left.
Theoretically, there are only more than 370 that can really hit the aircraft carrier.
aircraft carrier itself also has certain interception capabilities, but this interception capability is far inferior to the surrounding "bodyguards".
is the "intensive array" system first. "Dense Array" is a close-defense gun with a range of 1000-2000 meters, mainly used in conjunction with passive centroid interference. Before using the "intensive array", the incoming missiles had experienced the defense of various long-term, medium and short-range missiles and various naval guns, evading various interference and blockage of active noise.
straightforward point, "Dense Formation" is the last line of defense we blocked before the goal after the enemy striker dribbled the ball and broke through our formation. can be said to be a football goalkeeper.
"Dense Array" near defense system
According to relevant information, the "Dense Array" system has a very high interception success rate in intercepting typical anti-ship missiles with a subsonic speed of Mach 0.8. Even for some anti-ship missiles that use snake maneuvers or jump dive maneuvers, the interception success rate can reach more than 70%. However, due to technical limitations, the "Dense Array" can only deal with two targets of Mach 0.8 at most at the same time.
Note: It is the most.
supersonic anti-ship missiles with speeds of YJ18 or ruby missiles can reach Mach 1.5 or even Mach 2.0 supersonic anti-ship missiles . "intensive array" can only deal with one incoming target. even if it intercepts one, its interception success rate is only about 30%, and at most it can reach 60%.
After all, this kind of "intensive array" close-defense gun is just a goalkeeper. If we really want to win a football game, we must not put all our hopes on a goalkeeper.
According to speculation, the end penetration speed of YJ83 is Mach 1.5. In this case, can the "intensive array" still stop it? What is the interception success rate?
We cannot have too optimistic expectations.
is conservatively estimated to be only a few, up to about ten.
Let’s talk about the “improved sea sparrow”. RIM-162 ESSM is developed based on RIM-7P, , but from many aspects, it is a new type of missile. The focus of
RIM-162 is that there are four pits in one pit. Four missiles can be loaded in a vertical pit, which greatly increases the number of missiles reserved. At the same time, 50G is overloaded, has strong maneuverability, and can deal with end-motorized anti-ship missiles. The interception success rate of is very high. Americans do not use essm to block one, and they just need to hit and send it out with confidence.
RIM-162 ESSM
However, essm uses a semi-active radar, which requires continuous radar irradiation. The number of irradiated radars of limits the number of targets that can be attacked simultaneously, which wastes the advantage of the number of missiles reserved. Although there are many, the number of launches at a time is still limited to death.
In this case, the "improved sea sparrow" of can intercept only a dozen anti-ship missiles at most.
"Ram" system can meet the near-defense needs of all ships above 500 tons.
From the Egyptian Navy Ambassador MKIII missile boat with a capacity of about 600 tons to the Ford-class aircraft carrier with a capacity of more than 100,000 tons, all use the "Ram" close-defense system. The "Ram" system currently has two types: 11 tubes and 21 tubes.
Its maneuverability is very strong and the body is light. This characteristic makes the flight speed of "Ram" very fast. can not only intercept some subsonic targets, but also intercept some supersonic targets. At this point, "Ram" is more usable than "intensive array".
"Ram" system
At the same time, "Ram" has the ability to launch rapidly and continuously, can deal with targets from all directions at the same time, which greatly improves the interception efficiency of the aircraft carrier.
In general, "Ram" has basically no shortcomings. If you have to say it, is affected by its own positioning, and its range is relatively short, so you can only defend at close range.
The "Ram" system currently equipped on the aircraft carrier of the US Seventh Fleet is likely to be 21 tubes. According to the 3 seats, it can have about 60 rounds. Two air defense missiles intercept one anti-ship missile. If is counted as the "Ram" system can only intercept 30 YJ83s if it is dead.
Overall, the "intensive array" only intercepts a few anti-ship missiles at most, the "improved sea sparrow" is about a dozen, and the "Ram" is about 30. All three interception systems,
, are equipped with equipment, and can only intercept about 50 anti-ship missiles at most.
The remaining 320 YJ83s are completely effective in combat power.
YJ83 Anti-ship missile
Imagine what effect will it have if about 320 anti-ship missiles intensively hit the aircraft carrier without interception?
Conservatively estimates, not to mention sinking, it is entirely possible to destroy it.
Conclusion:
80 missile speedboats, 600 anti-ship missiles, can completely explode enemy aircraft carriers. Under this saturated attack, the aircraft carrier can almost be said to have no interception capabilities. or the previous interceptions are a drop in the bucket.
, but due to the constraints of the 022 missile ship and the YJ83 anti-ship missile, the saturated attack method of can only be carried out in the nearshore and is only suitable for offshore defense. is in the ocean-going war, and we do not have this certainty.
