, US stocks and Chinese stocks trend
Last Friday night trading, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed down collectively, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.91%, and the cumulative decline of 2.77% this week; S&P 500 fell 0.74%, and the cumulative decline of 3.37% this week; Nasdaq fell 0.7%, and the cumulative decline of 3.99% this week.
Popular Chinese stocks rose and fell mixed, Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.21%, "Wei Xiaoli" fell together, Ideal Auto fell more than 12%, Xiaopeng Motors fell more than 7%, and Weilai fell nearly 6%. The rise and fall of other Chinese stocks, Bilibili rose by more than 8%, Tencent Music and Weibo rose by more than 2%, and the rise of 1% by more than 1%. Zhihu , Vipshop , and iQiyi rose slightly. JD.com fell more than 3%, Alibaba fell more than 2%, Futu Holdings, NetEase, and Pinduoduo fell more than 1%, and Baidu fell slightly.
2. A50 futures index
As of press time, the A50 futures index fell 0.87%, closing 13177
3. US dollar index
overnight, the US dollar index rose 0.02%, closing 104.95. The US dollar index is at a high level, fluctuating at at , and has rebounded recently. In the long run, it has entered a downward trend.
4. US dollar offshore RMB
As of press time, US dollar offshore RMB fell slightly by 0.07%, closing at 6.9669. recently broke 7. It is technically at a high level. The RMB fluctuates at a short-term high. There is a downward appreciation trend in the medium and long term.
USD index and RMB exchange rate relationship:
USD index rises, the USD offshore RMB rises, the RMB depreciates, and foreign investment usually flows out.
The US dollar index fell, the offshore RMB fell, the RMB appreciated, and foreign investment usually flowed in, which was good for the market.
5. NYMEX crude oil
As of press time, NYMEX crude oil rose 0.18% to close 71.59. crude oil continues to decline .
6, COMEX gold
As of press time, COMEX gold rose 0.44%, closing 1809.4. In the short term, high levels fluctuate and fall. In the medium and long term, as the US dollar index falls, gold continues to rise.
7. US dollar cycle
is currently in the mid-to-late of interest rate hike cycle . In October, the US CPI rose slightly beyond expectations. The next rate hike meeting time: December 13-December 14- Federal Reserve FOMC holds a two-day interest rate meeting and publishes a summary of the economic forecast. Pay attention to the performance of the US stock market before and after the interest rate hike. Powell confirmed the pace of the dollar's interest rate hikes has slowed.
8, Trend Analysis of the Market
After technical review, the market future market views are as follows:
(I) Shanghai Index
(1) KDJ indicator . D value: 83.76, J value: 89.77, (In the early stage, the high KDJ KDJ dead cross was adjusted for 7 days, and a total of 9 days was adjusted. The adjustment ended and the rise began) KDJ KDJ low golden cross rose on the 9th day. Overall increase on the 9th day. The rise time period has not ended. The short-term fluctuation continues to rise after consolidation.
2. Short, medium and long-term trend
Short-term trend: up. Medium-term trend: up. Long-term trend: Next.
The market is opening a new wave of rising trends.
(II) GEM index
1. Daily line See
(1) KDJ indicator. D value: 76.44, J value: 103.05, KDJ Golden cross rose on the 8th day, and the previous period was adjusted for 9 consecutive days. The rise time period has not ended.
2.Short-term Trend
Close 5-day online, 13-day offline, and 21-day offline. The 5-day line crosses the 13-day line and the 21-day line, with a downward trend, the 13-day line crosses the 21-day line, and the 21-day line downward trend. 5 daily line is upward, and it is flat on the 13th and 21st.
Short-term trend: up. Medium-term trend: Next. Long-term trend: Next.
GEM will start a new round of upward trend after the fluctuation and consolidation of the GEM .
Judging from the above technical analysis results, a new round of mid-term market has begun. Currently, is a good strategy to invest in batches at low purchases and fixed investments in the middle line layout at .
9. Today's operation plan
continues to invest in Nasdaq 100 index . Liquor, medical care, and ChiNext indexes continue to buy low.
10. Market forecast and operation strategies for this week
This week, the market fell first and then rose. Buy on the middle line layout when the decline is low.
1. Focus on sectors
big consumption (liquid, food and beverage), big finance ( securities , banks), resources (gold, non-ferrous metals ), medical medicine, GEM index (mainly growth stocks, including new energy, medical care, biomedicine , semiconductors and other stocks )
12. currently affects the market several important factors
1. The strength of the US dollar interest rate hike. The impact of US dollar interest rate hikes on foreign investment. The relationship between the US dollar index and the RMB exchange rate: the US dollar index rises, the US dollar rises offshore RMB, the RMB depreciates, and foreign investment usually flows out. The US dollar index fell, the dollar fell offshore RMB, the RMB appreciated, and foreign investment usually flowed in. Recently, the US dollar has shown a downward trend, which is beneficial to foreign capital inflows.
2. Mask problem. 's liberalization policy is becoming more and more clear, so pay attention to taking personal protection.
needs to pay attention to the progress of the above factors and adjust the investment strategy .
Investors need to continue to pay attention to the progress of the above factors and adjust their investment strategies.
3. Trading principles
1. Position building: The 5-day trend line starts to turn upward at the low level, crosses the 13-day trend line, the low level golden cross, and the 13-day trend line starts to flatten upward at the low level, and begins to try and error small position position near the 5-day trend line.
2. Add positions : The 5-day trend line is upward, the 13-day trend line is flattened at a low level, the 21-day trend line is flattened at a low level, and the bulls are arranged, and the retracement does not break through the 13-day trend line and the 21-day trend line. You can choose the opportunity to increase positions to 50%-80% in batches near the 13-day trend line and the 21-day trend line.
3. Reduce positions: The 5-day trend line starts to turn downward at a high level, and closes to break the 5-day trend line, and begins to reduce positions.
4. Clearance: The 5-day trend line starts to turn downward at a high level, and crosses the 13-day trend line, with a dead cross at a high level, and reduces positions or clears positions in large quantities. The trend line on the 13th day turns flat and downward at the high level, and the trend line on the 21th day turns flat and downward at the high level, so clear the position decisively.
3. Holding time: 1. Short-term, holding for 5-10 days. 2. Midline: Hold for 1-3 months. 3. Long-term: Hold for 3 months to 1 year or more.
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