text | Chen Jingsheng
"nine-in-one" election in Taiwan has entered the "closure" stage of polls. The publication of various polls will be prohibited 10 days in advance before the election. Violators may face severe punishment of the heaviest 5 million NT$ .
It is worth noting that during the polls "closed", the Kuomintang Taipei Mayor Candidate Jiang Wanan still maintained the lead and left the considerable gap between the Democratic Progressive Party Taipei Mayor Candidate Chen Shizhong. In the polls of another important city, Taoyuan City, the gap between the Kuomintang mayor candidate Zhang Shanzheng and the Democratic Progressive Party mayor candidate Zheng Yunpeng is only about 1%, which can be said to be very stalemate!
Taiwan has entered the "closure" stage of polling
The so-called "counter-closure" means that no one or organization can publish new polls from the 10th day before the election until the end of the voting. The release of the regulation is to allow the public to have time to think independently and calm down, and to prevent being led by polls and public opinion.
From the DPP leader Tsai Ing-wen runs the auxiliary election wildly, you can see the importance of this election to her and the DPP. However, the election situation this time is not optimistic for the DPP!
Taipei Jiang Wan'an leads, Taoyuan blue and green stalemate
The release of this "closed count" shows that the Kuomintang will have a high chance of winning 4 of the six cities, and the Democratic Progressive Party may only protect Kaohsiung and Tainan. Many media people on the island have previously predicted that the Kuomintang will "sit all over the place" this time. Among them, the mayorship of Taipei City and Taoyuan City, two cities that are crucial to Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP authorities, may all fall into the Kuomintang.
According to multiple polls, the Kuomintang Taipei Mayor Candidate Jiang Wanan has been ahead of the Democratic Progressive Party Taipei Mayor Candidate Chen Shizhong many times, and the gap in some polls is still double digits. The emergence of this result is inseparable from Chen Shizhong's own deeds. His misconduct and scandals not only affected his election situation, but also had a negative effect on the election situation of the DPP city councillor. Even though Tsai Ing-wen ran and built momentum for Chen Shizhong, his polls still did not catch up with Jiang Wan'an.
And in the battle for the mayor of Taoyuan, the DPP candidate Zheng Yunpeng and the Kuomintang candidate Zhang Shanzheng were very small, and in many poll results, the two were each ahead. However, Zhang Shanzheng is still very popular among voters when it comes to the election of the mayor of Taoyuan.
The polls in Taipei City and Taoyuan City are quite unfavorable to the DPP authorities. Once the DPP really loses these two important cities, Tsai Ing-wen, who dominates the list of candidates within the DPP, will face huge controversy within the party, and even the position of the party chairman may not be firmly in the position. And she will also face many obstacles if she wants to promote her "British member" to participate in the competition for Taiwan leaders in 2024.
This "nine-in-one" election deeply exposed the political chaos on the island. Candidates from various factions no longer compete with each other on political views and issues. Instead, they are persistent in exploring scandals of competitors and desperately labeling their opponents. These politicians seem to care about the tangible needs of the people on the island and the urgently solved people's livelihood issues. This unrestrained election is really sad and lamentable!
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