After a few days ago, after Putin signed the agreement with leaders of four places including Kremlin , things have changed again. The Russian Constitutional Court, the State Duma (Slower House of Parliament), and the Russian Federal Council (Super House of Parliament) successively approved the agreement.
This means that Moscow has officially completed the process of integrating the four eastern Ukrainian territory into the country. If the Ukrainian army launches attacks on Donbass , Kelsson and other places in the future, the Russian army will regard it as an "invasion" and has the right to declare war on Kiev .
Therefore, the above operations have at least three major impacts. First, the form and scale of the war will change. Second, the Russian army can no longer give up the occupied land, which is equivalent to cutting off its own retreat. Third, Russia and Ukraine basically lose the possibility of negotiations unless one side completely fails in the war.
In other words, when things have come to this point, neither Kiev nor Russia have any other choices, and they can only continue to fight to the end. The next big war is inevitable, and the international community must also prepare for the long-term Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
However, in his recent speech, Putin still appealed to Ukraine, demanding that the other party stop resisting and return to the negotiating table as soon as possible. But everyone can see that Putin is just a routine, because even if Kiev is , it is impossible for Western countries to support the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations at present.
After all, the land in the four states has just been incorporated into Russia, and concessions will greatly damage morale if they are given up. Sure enough, Ukrainian President Zelensky immediately approved the decision to refuse negotiations with Putin on the 4th local time. Before that, he also signed an application to join NATO .
This shows that Zelensky's attitude is very firm. It is worth mentioning that he also emphasized that as long as Putin is still the president, Ukraine will not have any dialogue with Russia. This statement directly targets Putin, not Moscow itself, and implies the demand to step down Putin, and has a very big appetite.
Although Zelensky had no political experience before becoming president, judging from his actions over the past six months, he did have many outstanding performances. For example, at the beginning of the war, he gave speeches all over the world and successfully used "political correctness" to kidnap Western countries, allowing the latter to provide continuous assistance.
Now, Zelensky has made such an announcement, and there are actually considerations to differentiate Russia. Putin announced some mobilization and recruited at least 300,000 reserves, a lot of noise began to appear within Russia.
Some foreign media revealed that during this period, a large number of Russian people went to foreign countries to hide in order to avoid being mobilized. To be honest, the Russian people are war-weary, so Zelensky seized the opportunity and directly challenged Putin.
In fact, there is no reason why Zelensky is so tough. Now that the Ukrainian counterattack has achieved successive gains, the Russian army has been forced to withdraw from the Hongliman area, an important town in eastern Ukraine. The military success has given Kiev the confidence to say no to Moscow politically.
Therefore, from another perspective, even if Russia officially took over the four places in the east of Wu and Dong at the legal level, it is strategically in danger of being passive. If the Ukrainian army cannot be defeated on the battlefield, Zelensky will definitely not bow his head easily. In this way, the war will only be long-term, which will be of no benefit to anyone.
can quickly solve the problem, so Russia naturally does not want to delay it. What's more, now it has taken the four places in the east of Wu and east. If a ceasefire agreement cannot be reached, the Russian army must always deploy heavy troops to guard the situation, which will undoubtedly put a lot of pressure on the economy.
In short, whether Western countries and the Secretary-General of the United Nations recognize the result of referendum to Russia is not important. In the end, some things are still based on strength. The key is whether the Russian army is powerful enough and whether it can take the initiative for Moscow politically.
At present, the Russian army performed relatively poorly. Even the leader of Chechnya , Kadyrov , bluntly stated that the Russian army "made mistakes". He even suggested using low-equivalent nuclear weapons to reverse the situation.But as winter approaches, Russia's advantages begin to show. We can wait and see if we can launch a beautiful offensive next.
