is nothing to look at alone, but it would be interesting to look at the reactions of the Taiwanese people during the exercise.
Starting from the 4th, the People's Liberation Army started an unprecedented Taiwan Strait exercise. As a result, the Taiwanese people were not afraid, they should eat and drink, and even went to the exercise site to get close to the people's hearts, which made the green camp climax. "Look, Taiwanese people are not afraid." On the other hand, the Taiwanese people began to discuss where to hide once the war really started. Are you saying this is not a contradiction? Are the Taiwanese people afraid?
I think it is most appropriate to use the "pretending to sleep theory" to explain the public opinion of the Taiwanese people.
We have seen such scenes more than once in the news, when the cadre of the camera implements double regulations on a certain carbon tube. The carbon tube was very calm and did not have the panic and fear that it should have. Instead, he breathed a sigh of relief and said that he had finally waited for this day. Why does this happen? When you expect something bad will happen, but you are powerless to stop it and cannot deal with it. Instead of panicing and scaring yourself to death, it is better to wait for this to happen, and even hope that it will happen soon. This is called the boots landing.
So since the carbon tube knows that it will find him, why don’t you take the initiative to surrender yourself to seek leniency? Because they always have a little unrealistic fantasy, what if they can’t find me? For the sake of that hope, they would rather treat bad things as non-existent, but they know whether they exist or not.
A rational thing you know is likely to happen, but you emotionally think it won’t happen. This kind of rational and emotional contradiction is like pretending to be asleep. He was obviously awake, but he still looked like he was sleeping.
In this way, once you are woken up while pretending to be asleep, you will not have the suddenness and emotional fluctuations of being woken up when you are really asleep, because they are just awake. That's why corrupt officials face it calmly.
Is this the case in Taiwan? On the one hand, they are very clear that the Taiwan military has no ability to fight against the mainland, and the United States cannot go to war with the mainland for Taiwan. On the one hand, we always have a hint of unrealistic fantasy. What if the United States really takes advantage of Taiwan? After all, we have TSMC.
Once things really happen, they will naturally not panic because they are just pretending to be asleep. Taiwanese people who pretend to be asleep are very clear about their mentality. Once the mainland attacks Taiwan, it will be because the mainland is a relative. As long as you surrender immediately, take out the red flag that has been embroidered at home for a long time and you will never be hurt. Of course I won't be afraid.
You see that the same missile flew over. flew over Taipei, and Taiwanese people didn't take it seriously at all. The missile hit Japan's exclusive economic zone and made the Japanese jump three feet high. It is because Taiwanese people who pretend to be asleep have long thought about what to do on the day they wake up, just like the carbon tube has long thought about what to do after finding him at the camera, so naturally they are not afraid. But the Japanese are not mentally prepared, so they are naturally afraid of death and have a big emotional outburst.
. When discussing where the safest place after the war begins, the reason is that once the battle starts, there is a process after all. If you have no eyes, you can't be killed before you surrender. Of course, we have to find the safest place to wait for surrender. Therefore, seemingly contradictory behavior is essentially unified.
This mainland military exercise is of great significance:
1, first of all, tests the bottom line of the United States. This bottom line is that the United States will never go to war with the mainland for Taiwan. The mainland closed the communication pipeline between China and the United States while high-intensity military exercises, which is to test whether the US aircraft carrier dares to risk the risk of fire to support Taiwan. The test result is not daring. Once the communication pipeline is closed, US aircraft carriers will only dare to wander in the safety areas outside the exercise area and will never dare to enter the Taiwan Strait.
What is the Reagan doing? Is it drunk driving? The mainland military exercises are in full swing here, and the Reagan uses the trajectory that can only appear in drunk driving. Is this called overlord?
2, followed by testing the hearts of the Taiwanese people. Such a high-intensity military exercise, such a military exercise that broke through the middle line of the strait. The Taiwanese people have a peaceful and calm mind and are not afraid at all.This shows that no matter how fierce the Green Camp shouts, the Taiwanese people have already prepared their mentality as soon as the mainland will surrender immediately and be safe. It's just a whisper, thinking about how to surrender, pretending to be asleep. What's there to be afraid of in this situation?
In the past, we also believed that Taiwanese people could not have the will to confront the People's Liberation Army, but analysis is analysis after all, not empirical. Just like Conan Kazuna's reasoning is not proof. This wave of reflections from the Taiwanese people can be used as evidence to evaluate Taiwan’s public opinion to some extent.
