The Russian-Ukraine War is actually a war between the United States and Russia. The battlefield is not only in Ukraine, but also in various directions such as finance, economy, energy, and transportation. On the battlefield, Americans paid money, guns, intelligence, and command. Ukraine goes out of the battlefield and people come out.
Americans have long known that the Ukrainian regular army has weak combat effectiveness. Moreover, it is expensive to arm the entire Ukrainian army and it will also stimulate Russia. Therefore, since the United States began to assist Ukraine in 2015, it has never given Ukraine a fighter jet, a medium missile, an tank, and an artillery.
The United States gave Ukraine special guerrilla warfare weapons, various javelins, stinger missiles and satellite phones , sniper rifle , night vision system, etc. The Americans are very clear that the Ukrainian army cannot defeat Russia, and it is only a matter of time before the Russian army controls the area east of the Dnieper River.
Therefore, in the United States' positioning, the Ukrainian battlefield is a long-term large-scale guerrilla warfare battlefield. Through the western border of Ukraine, the West will continue to transfusion blood to Ukraine to maintain Ukraine's ability to launch large-scale guerrilla warfare.
If the United States can invest $100 billion a year, it will drag Russia into a huge guerrilla war zone, which is a huge profit for the United States. Moreover, the United States can also use the Russian threat theory to increase the military expenditure ratio of various countries. For example, Germany will increase the military expenditure to 100 billion euros.
NATO allies reorganized their forces in Europe and liberated the US Army and the Air Force from Europe and devoted them to Asia. The Ukraine that the Americans want is Afghanization, and guerrillas are everywhere.
Because, on the battlefield, the failure of the Ukrainian army is only a matter of time. The Russian army will not attack Kiev yet, because Kyiv spans the Dnieper River. Backed by the western region of Ukraine, with the support of NATO. In Kiev, where many buildings are military defensive in this city with a large population of 3 million, it is easy for both sides to fight a tug-of-war in Kiev.
The Russian army will not attack all the Ukrainian defending positions. The Russian army more often cut off the contact between various clusters of the Ukrainian army through continuous interweaving. Finally, all Ukrainian troops were cut off from the ties and logistics system.
Finally, after the various clusters of the Ukrainian army exhausted their reserves, they would start to break through. At this time, under the attack of the Russian powerful mechanized troops, the Ukrainian troops will eventually be defeated in the mobile warfare and the entire front will be shaken. And now, all the Ukrainian troops are defending the city positions to the death and do not come out at all.
It will take some time until the Ukrainian army runs out of its materials to break through. After all, without support, you can't last too long if you stick to your position and be a hedgehog. The Russian army's goal is now to control the entire area east of the Dnieper River and the coastal areas of Ukraine. Clear out all main forces and main military facilities of the Ukrainian army.
only left the Ukrainian armed forces and the inner guard forces as regional maintenance, while the main force of the Russian army will withdraw from the country. If the situation needs it, then strike the Ukrainian army that has been disarmed.
However, whether it is the United States' plan or the Russian military's strategy, it will be very difficult to achieve it in the end. Especially for the Russian army, it is unrealistic to rely solely on the eastern Ukrainian armed forces and the inner guard forces to control the east of the Dnieper River. If a large number of Russian troops were stationed for a long time, it would create a goal for Ukrainian special guerrilla warfare.
Especially for Russia, the most difficult thing is that Ukraine's logistics base is not in Ukraine's mainland. Ukraine relies on European and American support in terms of funding, training, command, communications, weapons and logistics. It is difficult for the Russian army to cut off all this through military operations. It is also difficult for the Russian army to truly evacuate Ukraine, so it only relies on the eastern Ukrainian armed forces to maintain the controlled area.
Moreover, once the main force of the Russian army evacuates the battlefield and the pressure is lifted, the Ukrainian special guerrilla warfare will be more active. Taking Europe and the United States as the rear and western Ukraine as the base, we launched a continuous attack on the eastern Ukraine.
This was the case in the Ukrainian war from 2014 to 2015. With the support of the Russian army, the Ukrainian armed forces controlled the entire Kharkov , Donetzk, Luhansk and Mariupol and other places. However, after several years of encroachment by the Ukrainian army, by the start of war in February 2022, the area of the eastern Wugang armed forces controlled only one-third to one-quarter of the area of Donbas .
