In mid-September 2022, US Secretary of State Blinken (Antony Blinken) announced with a high profile that the United States plans to continue to provide Ukraine with US$600 million in military aid. Since September 2021, this is the 21st time that the United States has transferred military aid from its armed warehouse to Ukraine.
U.S. Secretary of State Blinken
Outsiders generally believe that the new round of US military aid will continue the conflict between Russia and Ukraine that lasted for seven months. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has now shown an extremely strange situation: Russia, the United States and Ukraine , no one wants to "end the conflict" as soon as possible.
United States: A lot of money
If you ask which force has the most profits in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it is indeed the United States at present. Before the outbreak of , the United States itself was in a state of turmoil.
Since 2020, the United States has experienced extremely weak economic recovery due to the loss of industrial capacity and the impact of the epidemic. Coupled with the all-round retreat of the US military in Middle East in the past decade, it proves that the of the East strategy has completely failed . As a superpower that establishes a hegemony system with economic and military power, these two areas have suffered a heavy blow to the United States due to Waterloo.
evacuated the US military from the Middle East
However, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has given the United States hope for "ZTE". First, as Europe follows the United States and imposes severe sanctions on Russia, Europe has faced the strongest retaliatory sanctions from Russia in 10 years - Russia cuts off energy trade with Europe. Therefore, the industrial energy costs in European countries have risen sharply, and many companies and factories have been forced to flee Europe and go to the United States to take refuge. The trend of hollowing out of the United States has been curbed.
Secondly, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has caused great panic among capital in Europe. Driven by the nature of capital seeking profits and avoiding harm , a large amount of European capital flows into the United States, giving the US economy a good recovery momentum in 2022.
US financial center Wall Street
Finally, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine also allowed the United States to see a weak Russian . At present, the Russian military's military operations in Ukraine were not going smoothly, and even had a strategic turning point, and were forced to enter a defensive situation. The United States only needs to assist some of the medium-performance weapons in the armament library to Ukraine to achieve the effect of weakening Russia, which is undoubtedly an important reason why the United States is unwilling to end the conflict quickly.
US "Jaberlin" missile arrives in Ukraine
Among the three forces, the United States is the only country that can earn a fortune .
Russia: Hard to ride a tiger
On September 16, 2022, Putin attended the SCO summit held in Samarkand and met with Indian Prime Minister Modi . Faced with Modi's implicit criticism that "the current era is not suitable for war", Putin's attitude has changed some details compared to the beginning of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict : "I understand your position on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and this conflict will end as soon as possible."
Putin and Modi
Five months ago, the situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict was still in a situation where Russia and Ukrainian conflict was still in a situation where Russia attacked Ukrainian defended . At that time, Russia was indeed not in a hurry to end the conflict quickly. At that time, the Russian army relied on the advantages of heavy firepower equipment to continuously advance towards Kiev for the camp step by step. Large cities such as Kherson and Odessa in Ukraine have fallen one after another, and the capital Kiev is also facing the dilemma of Russian troops coming to the city.
. Faced with severe economic sanctions from European and American countries, Russia's played the energy card , which caused considerable differences within Europe. Judging from the strategic situation, Russia in the early stages of the conflict not only did not show its decline, but instead demonstrated its strength in this competition that was sufficient to compete with Ukraine and the countries behind it.
Russian "Northern Stream" pipeline
But the problem of Russia's weak economic foundation, has dragged down the development of military strength .When the Russian army had exhausted the small stock of high-tech weapons in the early stages of the conflict, the Russian army could only use old Cold War weapons, resulting in an embarrassing situation where the Su-35 dropped "iron bombs" at a low altitude. When the Ukrainian army entered a strategic counter-offensive situation in September, the Russian army's performance was completely different from five months ago.
In the current situation, Russia's mentality may have undergone some subtle changes. Before September, Russia can calmly wait for Europe to be unable to tolerate the dilemma of energy tension and take the initiative to ease the situation. Putin does not need to rush to achieve success.
Russian President Putin
And after the Ukrainian army entered a strategic counter-offensive situation, Russia could only grit its teeth to resist the dual dilemma of military and economics, and was in a situation of difficulty, so Putin had to announce on September 21 that Russia had entered the partial mobilization state of . This is a manifestation of Russia's increasing its bets, and it is also a manifestation of Russia's hope to maintain its own military achievements in the winter.
Ukraine: The eyes are red
As one of the protagonists of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in 2022, Ukraine has attracted too much attention from the world this year. At the beginning of the conflict, the outside world generally predicted that Ukraine would fall completely in the short term. However, Ukraine magically resisted the attack of the Russian army and dragged the war to the situation where strategic stalemate .
Ukrainian soldiers
Among the three sides of Russia, the United States and Ukraine, Ukraine's demand for delaying conflict is probably not less than that of the United States. If the final battle is fast, Ukraine will not be a rival to in any case.
Ukrainian army's tenacious resistance at the Azov Steel Plant is a proof. A small number of Ukrainian troops built solid fortifications based on the steel plant and resisted the Russian army for a month. Although more than 2,500 Ukrainian troops surrendered in the end, they did play a role in delaying the Russian offensive. After the Russian army captured the Azov Steel Plant, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict basically entered a strategic stalemate, and both Russia and Ukrainian sides were in a stalemate.
Astron Steel Plant Recent Information
As a new batch of arms aided by the United States arrived in Ukraine in the summer, including long-range tactical weapons such as the "Haimas" rocket launch system, the Ukrainian army has the opportunity to severely damage the Russian army's logistics supply channel. When the "Haimas" rocket launcher is equipped with an integrated drone for reconnaissance and strike, it can implement precise strikes on targets within 70 kilometers. After the Russian army suffered a heavy logistical blow, it has laid the groundwork for the tactical retreat at the end of September.
American weapon "Haimas" rocket launcher
Ukrainian army launched a fierce counterattack since September, and successively recovered important cities such as Baraklya, Ijum, and Kupiansk. Kharkov and most areas of Khlsson have also returned to the hands of the Ukrainian army.
For the Ukrainian army, which is currently in an offensive situation, they are indeed the side of "eyed red" - some of Russia's mobilization forces are still in the rear training, which is a rare strategic offensive window. Therefore, it is impossible for Ukraine to have the idea of ending the conflict as soon as possible.
