Russia-Ukraine conflict lasted for nearly eight months, and the script development exceeded everyone's expectations. Especially in the past month, the Slavic brothers of Russia and Ukraine have really fought and made a real fuss. The Ukrainian army's September counterattack forced Russia to expel the nuclear weapon , the first mobilization order in 70 years. Then the Crimea Bridge was bombed again, and the signal of escalation of war became stronger and stronger. The two protagonists of this drama: Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky are both facing difficult choices.
■On October 8, 2022, the bombing of the Miya Bridge on Kerry is likely to be a landmark event in the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
"The Art of War" begins by saying that war is a major event of the country, a place of life and death, and a way of survival and death. Although modern war has long been separated from the strong man mode of the Napoleon era, it is no longer a genius commander who can control the outcome of the war.
However, as the supreme leader of a country and the supreme commander of the armed forces, the influence of the head of state on war cannot be ignored. A leader with a broad vision and firm will inevitably increase the chances of victory in his own camp, while a leader with short-sighted and power-hungry leader may lead the country and nation to destruction.
■Putin and ZePhoto taken in Paris during a multilateral meeting with the French and German heads in December 2019.
In the current Russian-Ukrainian war, Putin, who was a secret agent, and Zelensky, who was an actor, can be said to be a sharp contrast, but in terms of military command, they are both lay leaders and experts, so who is better at the level? We might as well make a brief comparison from aspects such as educational background, career, and political experience.
Super Academic Top VS Mediocre Academic Lamb
Since the presidents of Russia and Ukraine are not professionals from military backgrounds, we have to compete with the learning ability of both sides. Whoever has a strong ability to learn military command will eventually have a higher level of military command.
In this regard, Putin is a true academic master, enough to crush Zelensky, a poor student.
■1724, founded by Peter the Great , University of St. Petersburg has a long history and is a top prestigious university in Russia.
■Kiev University of Economics founded was founded in 1906. Although it is also a century-old university, its history is far from that of the University of St. Petersburg.
Putin's father was a disabled soldier in the World War II and his rank was not high. His mother was a female factory worker. Such an ordinary family background was impossible in the former Soviet era to send his son to a prestigious school by building relationships and taking back doors.
Zellensky's father is a professor at Kiev University of Economics, and his mother is an engineer. His family background is better than Putin. But please note that Zelensky happened to be admitted to his father's school. Who believes that there is no element of care here?
It is said that Zelens basically wanted to apply for the International Relations major at Moscow University, but after weighing his grades, he went to his father's school honestly.
It can be said that Putin was admitted to the top prestigious university in the former Soviet Union with his absolute strength, while Zelensky was a lot worse. Coincidentally, the two future presidents' college majors are surprisingly consistent - law.
■Putin took a photo with his parents when he was young. His family background was quite ordinary in the Soviet era.
■ Zelensky is with his parents, and in terms of family background, he is better than Putin.
Academic master not only means getting high scores in the exam, but more powerful lies in his terrible learning ability, especially theoretical knowledge, which has no threshold for academic masters.
Although Putin did not graduate from a military academy and did not come from the grassroots of the Soviet army, his strong learning ability allowed him to learn everything quickly and understand everything he saw. Military knowledge and skills were not difficult for him. In terms of learning ability, Putin defeated Zelensky.
Military and Political Connections VS Entertainment Group
■ Putin and his mentor Sobuchak were together. It was under the support of the latter that Putin showed his talents in the political arena.
■ As a fellow villager and alumnus, Medvedev has been Putin's most loyal ally and political partner for many years.
■Zelensky's team when he was an actor, many people followed him into politics, and it was really a one-man who achieved enlightenment.
Zelensky's political connections are far inferior to Putin. It can only be said that he lacks talents and basically relies on the grass-roots team he met in the entertainment industry back then to support the scene. This is also a solution. Who made him have little experience, few connections and no strong alumni group to help him?
After these entertainment industry people switched to politics, they did not have Zelensky's talent. Most of them acted unacceptable and had a simple life. For example, the Attorney General Venetitktova, who was dismissed by Zelensky for dereliction of duty after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and Bakanov, the director of the National Security Administration of . The former was his legal counsel when he was an actor, and the latter was his childhood friend and studio partner when he was an actor.
In terms of connections, Putin beat Zelensky again.
■ Attorney General Venetitktova (left) and Director of the National Security Agency Bakanov (right).
Complete set of military training VS Military Novice
In the former Soviet Union, there were complete military training from elementary school to university, so Putin naturally participated in all the first level. Although the military training in the school is at most a queue, shooting live ammunition, and then achieving the level of survival in the wild, this is much better than Zelensky, who grew up in the era of Ukrainian civil and military play after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the collapse of .
Not to mention, after Putin joined KGB , he received systematic individual combat and team combat training. Moreover, the KGB implemented militarized management as an intelligence agency and awarded military ranks, which made Putin very familiar with the daily management and organizational structure of the army.
■ Playing with guns is the secret skill of saving lives in the past for Agent Putin.
To be honest, Putin received military command capabilities training at most in the KGB, which is the level of field platoon leader. After all, it is basically impossible for agents to dispatch hundreds of people at the same time for missions.
Looking through Zelensky's resume, there is almost no intersection with military life or military training. If there is any, it is probably limited to the guidance of military consultants during filming. Putin won again in terms of military education and basic military skills!
■ Playing with guns is just a POSS for actor Zelensky.
Facial battlefieldVSPolitical Amateur
In the past 20 years since entering the highest center of Russia's power, Putin has personally experienced many military operations. His military experience is the richest among the leaders of all countries in the world today: Second Chechnya War, Georgia War, Annexation of Crimea , Ukraine's Eastern Military Conflict, Syrian Civil War , Ukraine's Special Military Operation.
Putin used troops more than the leaders of the Soviet Union during his tenure, and could even be comparable to some of the Tsars in the era of Tsarist Russia and , so the title of "New Tsar" is well deserved.
Even the US president who loves to fight the most is indifferent. After all, the US president has worked for at most 8 years, but Putin has been in the position of president and prime minister for 22 years!
In comparison, Zelensky's presidential throne has not yet been heated up. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is probably the first and last war he experienced as president.
■ During the Second Chechen War, Putin, then acting president, flew the Su-27 fighter jet and went to the battlefield to boost morale at the risk of being hit by mistake. This courage is extremely rare among the political leaders of various countries.
■ Before the war between Russia and Ukraine, Zelensky occasionally went to the front line in eastern Ukraine, so he could leave him to learn the war too short .
Agent President VS Actor President
From the previous comparison, we can see that Putin completely crushed Zelensky in all aspects. So why is Russia so embarrassed in this special military operation? This issue can actually be interpreted from two aspects.
First of all, empiricism kills people. Putin's rich military command experience is not suitable for the current Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The Second Chechen War in 1999 was a civil war in which the Russian army suppressed the rebellion. The external forces provided extremely limited support for the Chechen rebels. Although the Russian army was clumsy, they still won the battle with great force contrast.
In the Georgian War in 2008, the Russian army ended the war in eight days with absolute advantage. During the Crimean crisis in 2014, the Russian army transformed into a small green soldier and occupied Crimea without bloodshed. The subsequent conflict in Ukraine and Eastern Europe made local militias stand in front, and it turned out to be an eight-year tug-of-war.
In 2015, the Russian army began to intervene in the Syrian civil war, but strictly controlled the scale of participation in the war, tried to avoid directly participating in ground operations, and mainly provided air support, fire support, and intelligence support to the Syrian government forces. To sum up, the Russian army has not performed well in the past few wars, but relying on its strength advantages or special battlefield environment, it has remained unbeaten overall.
■ In January 2000, Putin, who served as acting president, went to the front line of Chechnya to visit the troops.
According to Putin's vision, this special military operation will be as smooth as sending the Little Green Man in Crimea in 2014. As long as the Russian royal division goes, the Ukrainian people will definitely eat a pot of slurry to welcome it.
Things went against my expectations, and Putin suffered a loss from empiricism. The current Russian-Ukrainian conflict is completely different from previous military operations. The Russian army's opponents are not only the Ukrainian army, but also the Western countries led by NATO who hide behind the Ukrainian army to send people, money, weapons and intelligence. The power balance between the two sides is not huge, and the Ukrainian army is even stronger and stronger as they fight. This is a new situation for Putin. Old experience is useless. Past successful experiences have led to rigid thinking.
■ In special military operations, welcoming the Russian army was not just fine wine and flowers, but guns and bullets and bazooka .
In Soviet history, another commander who made empirical mistakes was Stalin . Before Soviet-German War , Stalin's military command experience came entirely from Soviet-Russian Civil War . The military generals he valued Voloshilov and Budoni were also old antiques with outdated military ideas.
Hitler's Blitzkar directly stunned Stalin. He had to pay countless blood tuition fees in three years to learn how to command mechanized wars. He also discovered famous generals like Zhukov and Huasilevsky from actual combat, and finally won the victory of Patriotic War .
■ In the early days of the Soviet-German War, Stalin paid a high price for his empirical mistakes.
Secondly, Putin's opponent is not Zelensky . The international community recognizes that President Zelensky should be in name but not real. What prestige is there for a political amateur who has no political experience and no political team to come to power by winning an election? In this regard, Trump may have to deeply agree with this.
Because even in the democratic beacon country that claims to be separated from and has been in power for more than 200 years, Trump, who has no foundation in the army, has no temper at all against the US military.
In June 2020, because the police knelt down and killed black people, a large-scale protest march broke out in Washington . Trump tried to mobilize the US military to suppress the marchers in the name of counter-insurgency, but was firmly opposed by Secretary of Defense Espar and General Mili, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Millie was criticized by her colleagues, Democrats and the media for accompanying Trump in military uniform and had to write a letter of resignation.
■U.S. Joint Joint Conference Chairman General Millie wore military uniform to accompany Trump on a trip. This move has caused great criticism in the United States.
Back to Ukraine, Zelensky, who wants money but no money and no one, can be elected. This is the result of the behind-the-scenes manipulation of Western countries and Ukrainian oligarchs. Zelensky's job is still to be an actor rather than a president.
Ukrainian Army Commander-in-Chief Zaluzine publicly stated that Zelensky had never served in the army, so he would not teach him complicated tactics. To Zaluxhini's surprise, Zelensky seemed to agree with him. Obviously, Zelensky is very self-aware and leaves professional matters to professionals, so there is no need to learn from Principal Jiang to teach him blindly.
■ Ukrainian Army Commander-in-Chief Zaluzine (right) and President Zelensky were in a disagreement, and there have been rumors that the conflict between the two has intensified.
What's more, Ukraine has no money or weapons, and it can survive until now depends on blood transfusions in Western countries. It is soft-hearted in people's mouths, short-handed in people's hands, and can't help but not obey.
Americans are famous for their arrogance. Stilwell almost ran Chairman Chiang off the throne with the right to allocate materials to China. To a certain extent, generals, even staff members in an office in the Pentagon, have greater power than Zelensky when commanding the Ukrainian army.
■Stilwell's relationship with Chiang Kai-shek is definitely not as harmonious as in the photo. Principal Jiang dares to confront Stilwell. Does President Ozawa dare to turn against Americans?
The United States and the United Kingdom did not hide it at all. Mark Warner, chairman of the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee, said in an interview with CNN (CNN) on September 12: "Ukraine's large-scale counterattack cannot be separated from the strong support of NATO , especially the United States and the United Kingdom." According to the United Kingdom and the United States' usual face of "winning, competing for success, and losing, punishing crime", the time of losing is the problem of Ukrainians themselves.
According to Russian media reports, in the Battle of Snake Island, the Ukrainian General Staff originally opposed the Ukrainian commando taking helicopters to land directly on , Snake Island , but Zelensky forced the Ukrainian army to counterattack under the pressure of British advisers, which resulted in a disastrous defeat. Three helicopters were shot down and 27 people were killed in vain.
South Korean President Yoon Seo-yeol must call Zelensky a confidant about his experience of losing military power. The Ukrainian government has no nominal command over its own military, and the Koreans do not even have no name.
■ According to the US-South Korea agreement, South Korean President Yoon Seo-yeol did not have the command of the South Korean army during the war because this power belongs to the commander of the US military stationed in South Korea.
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will not end in a short period of time. Let us wait and see whether the experienced academic agents can eventually defeat the poor actors who are learning and selling with the support of the West.
