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1) The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has entered its 25th day, but this Ukrainian crisis has been brewing for more than four months. I discovered a very strange phenomenon a few months ago - although the United States has been hyping that Russia will "invade" Ukraine, in fact, it is the United States who really hopes to fight. Russia essentially does not want to fight. Russia's strategy has always been "fighting to promote negotiations", hoping to conduct serious and fruitful negotiations with the United States on issues such as Russia-US relations after the " Cold War ", Russia's NATO relations, and the European security pattern. It is precisely because the United States rejected Russia's negotiation demands and forced Russia to the Jedi counterattack. Of course, Europe does not want to fight, and the energy shortages and influx of refugees caused by the war have caused Europe to suffer greatly. Not to mention Ukraine, no one wants to be a chess piece or a chessboard, and it is smashed to pieces. Of course, China does not want a war. China has good relations with Russia and Ukraine. The more peaceful China can cooperate internationally and create prosperity around the world. The only one who really wants to fight is the United States. Everyone knows the "open conspiracy" of the United States - by forcing Russia to take action, "using Ukraine to control Russia", consume Russia, and then "controlling Europe due to Russia." Even now, the United States does not really hope that Russia and Ukraine will cease fire immediately. The United States continues to "arm" Ukraine, completely adding fuel to the fire. The United States hopes to drain the last drop of blood from Ukrainians , and also consume and drag down Russia as much as possible, providing an excuse for the United States to completely contain and suppress Russia. At the same time, the more turbulent Europe is, the more it can achieve the United States' goal of "controlling Europe due to Russia."
2) There are many people in China who know very little about international relations and little about world history. They often only see superficial phenomena, and then follow the American tone, thinking that the United States truly maintains peace and cares about the life and death of the Ukrainian people. This is really too childish, or it is really too stupid. The United States has built a pro-US and anti-Russian government in Ukraine through the "color revolution", and built Ukraine into an "anti-Russian fortress" and "anti-Russian front". To put it bluntly, it is to treat Ukraine as a gun. This will inevitably destiny Ukraine's tragedy today. Ukraine has a vast land area and rich resources, but political corruption, economic oligarchy prevails, and people's livelihoods are in decline. It has a good hand and has played in pieces and become the poorest country in Europe. It is famous for prostitutes and surrogacy for rich Europeans. The Ukrainian people are really pitiful. The United States took advantage of the Ukrainians' eagerness to get rid of poverty and a "free and prosperous country", and then pushed Ukraine to the forefront of anti-Russia under the guise of joining EU and joining NATO. Everyone think about it with common sense. There is a strong neighbor around you. At this time, someone came outside, desperately handing you a knife, asking you to stab the neighbor, and then constantly applauding and applauding you, saying that you are a "guardian of democracy" and a "hero who is not afraid of power." But when the neighbor gets angry and slaps you make you dizzy, the outsider runs faster than anyone else, and tells you with confidence that this is not his war and he will not participate directly. Do you think this outsider is really helping you or pushing you into the pit? I hope that more people in China can understand the true nature of the United States and better understand why China currently adopts a foreign policy of "persuading peace and promoting talks".
3) I have been thinking about the issue of "American blackening". "Blacking" was originally an online term, which refers to a positive character in a film and television drama, who finally embarked on the path of evil and violent villain due to various changes.The so-called "American blackening" is that the United States kidnapped the US's foreign policy because of domestic military-industrial complexes, Wall Street , energy giants and other interest groups, allowing the United States to create conflicts and turmoil all over the world. Then the United States is playing the "offshore balance" geopolitical trick, while selling arms, making war money and turbulent money, allowing Wall Street speculators to benefit from financial turmoil and allowing interest groups such as American energy giants to benefit. Overall, for the interest groups in the United States, the more turbulent the world is, the more they can make money, the happier they will be. Making troubles while taking advantage of the chaos and making profits has become an essential feature of US foreign policy. This is the connotation of "American blackening". This is actually a frustrating, worrying conclusion. When the world's largest power no longer cares about world peace, stability and prosperity, but always starts from the self-interest of its domestic interest groups and constantly messing up the world, the world will inevitably become more turbulent.
4) When we are talking about "American blackening", we must be clear that this is not a problem of moral corruption among one or two American politicians, nor is it a problem of ignorance and stupidity of American decision makers. This is determined by the social structure and governance system of the United States. In short, this is a structural problem. As we all know, American interest groups control American politicians, and American politicians must repay the interest groups that support them in power. In the past decade, the US presidential election has often cost billions or tens of billions of dollars. Most of this money comes from big capitalists from all walks of life. No matter what politician is ultimately elected, policies that are in line with these big capitalists must be introduced. The U.S. senator serves six years and spends two-thirds of his time busy raising funds, raising an average of $45,000 a day to ensure re-election. How can such a government and such politicians "serve the people"? The United States' own analysis shows that over the years, whether a policy can become a law in the United States has long been irrelevant to the support ratings of the American people, but highly correlated with the support ratings of the rich. The US government has completely become "working for the rich."
) The largest interest group in the United States is now, a medical insurance group in China and a military-industrial complex abroad. The former has emptied a large part of the US national income through sky-high medical insurance, medical expenses and other expenses. The latter made great money by creating unrest, selling arms around the world, and making a fortune in war. As for this conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States still has two major interest groups that hope that the war will not only last . One is a speculator on Wall Street. The more turbulent the global geopolitical situation, the more room for speculation and speculation will be for the stock market, bond market and commodity market. Today's Wall Street speculators are no longer satisfied with making money through linear market rises. They can benefit from it by frequently going long and shorting with , regardless of whether the market rises or falls. Moreover, the more turbulent the market, the more they can gain greater profits by leveraging their own information, technology and capital advantages. Another is the energy industry in the United States. After the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia did not reduce any energy exports to Europe, but the United States deliberately sanctions on Russian oil and gas, and disrupted Russia's energy trade and created panic in the global energy market by kicking some Russian financial institutions out of SWIFT. The result is that crude oil, natural gas, and other prices soar, and the US energy giants are having a smile.
6) For a long time in the future, the whole world will pay a heavy price for "America's blackening". is precisely because the United States hopes to "use Ukraine to make Russia" and "control Europe because of Russia", and precisely because of the military-industrial complexes, Wall Street speculators, energy giants, etc. in the United States hope that when the world is turbulent, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will break out and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will be delayed. Today, Ukraine is suffering from the poison of war, the country is divided, the people are leaving their hometowns, and the entire country is ruined.Today, the EU has shortage of energy supply, energy prices soar, and refugees are pouring in. The whole of Europe is facing the worst geopolitical crisis since the end of World War II . Today, because the United States provokes the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, this geopolitical turmoil is impacting world economic growth, financial stability, energy security, food security, and supply chain security. In this geopolitical crisis, no one except the interests of the United States is the winner.
7) American interest groups have led to the "American blackening", and in the end, they will definitely backfire on the United States itself. The United States went back on its word after the "Cold War", promoted NATO's five eastward expansions, carried out a "color revolution" around Russia, and carried out a "regime change" against Russian President Putin himself, which greatly stimulated Russia. Although the "Cold War" has ended, the United States has wasted such a god-given opportunity in vain, and instead forced Russia into the "new opponent" of the United States. Russia seems to have a decline in national strength, but Russia is a country and nation with a long history and tradition. This is a country that once defeated the army of Napoleon and defeated the torrent of steel in Hitler. Russia has a vast territory and abundant resources, so it is impossible for the United States to easily strangle. The more arrogant, arrogant and cruel the United States is towards Russia, the more it will arouse Russia's anti-US and anti-US sentiment, and the more it will inspire Russia's fighting spirit to fight to the death with the United States. Future historians will definitely see clearly that this is the biggest geopolitical mistake the United States has made after the Cold War. In the short term, the United States will have to invest more military and economic "aid" in Europe due to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and also have valuable strategic attention. In the long run, Russia-US relations continue to be tense and turbulent. A Russia with a strong nuclear deterrence force will make the United States even more restless.
8) How should the world deal with the fact that "America is blackened"? First of all, politicians, media and people around the world need to complete a "awakening" about American cognition as soon as possible. The United States portrays itself as a "beacon of freedom and democracy" and a "city on the top of a mountain", but within the United States, the so-called "democratic system" has become a "oligarchy" controlled by interest groups; racism is raging in the United States, and the human rights of minorities such as blacks and Chinese are constantly being trampled on; guns are rampant in the United States, and people's safety is not guaranteed. Corruption and depravity in the United States are already so obvious that you can see clearly as long as you are not blinded by others. Internationally speaking, the United States dresses itself up as a "just force to defend democracy and maintain peace", but in fact, the United States has been doing things to make trouble and make profits in the chaos. There is only one principle in the United States' foreign relations, that is, unswervingly implement the "America First" strategy. In order to "use Ukraine to make Russia" and "control Europe because of Russia", to sell arms, allow Wall Street speculators to make big money, and let energy giants make big money, the United States does not hesitate to shed the last drop of blood from the Ukrainians, and the United States does not hesitate to put the EU in a split and turbulent situation. "It is dangerous to be an enemy of the United States, and it is even more dangerous to be an ally of the United States." The United States can sell off its allies for its own interests at any time and push its allies to an irreversible place. The Ukrainian people need to awaken as soon as possible and give up their plans to be chess pieces and boards early. Russia and Ukraine have a deep historical origin. Russia is also a neighbor that Ukraine cannot move away. Ukraine must learn to live in peace with Russia. European people also need to awaken as soon as possible. The United States never wants a united, strong and prosperous Europe, which is a challenge to American hegemony. Anyone who challenges the hegemony of the United States will take action without hesitation. The United States can attack Japan at its peak or a European Union that is constantly moving towards union. Only when the EU breaks away from the control of the United States and realizes strategic autonomy as soon as possible can it have the opportunity to find its own position and defend its own interests in a multipolar world where the US hegemony declines.
9) After the "America becomes black", many people predict that the United States will provoke a conflict between Russia and Ukraine in Europe to strangle Russia and kidnap the EU. If the United States succeeds, its next goal is likely to be the so-called "Indo-Pacific region". The United States may also use the Taiwan issue as a starting point to provoke a conflict again, and then repeat the "drama" of "using Taiwan to control China" to consume and contain China. Therefore, whether it is based on China's interests or maintaining long-term stability in the Asia-Pacific region, the United States cannot succeed in Europe. Russia may underestimate Ukraine, but the United States undoubtedly underestimates Russia. Next, all parties should support Russia and Ukraine in negotiations as soon as possible and reach a ceasefire. Let the United States' "open plot" fail. If Russia successfully defends its national interests due to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the EU begins to awaken and move towards strategic autonomy, this will become a nightmare for the United States and shake the foundation of US hegemony. If the Russian-Ukraine conflict is delayed, the United States itself may also fall into it step by step. The calculations that the United States consumes Russia may also turn into Russia consumes the United States. By then, we can only say that those who play with fire in the United States will burn themselves and suffer their own consequences.
10) In order to avoid a "black" United States, it will engage in "offshore balance" in the Asia-Pacific region, make trouble while making trouble and seek profit while taking advantage of the chaos. China and countries in the Asia-Pacific region should unite more closely. With its relative decline in economic strength and the high wave of domestic anti-globalization, the United States is increasingly unable to lead the development of the Asia-Pacific region by promoting economic globalization and regional integration. The biggest tool for the United States now is to use ideology , values, security and military issues as the core, and piece together military and political alliances in the Asia-Pacific region to provoke division and confrontation between regions to achieve the goal of consuming and containment of China. As economic powers in the Asia-Pacific region, China, Japan and South Korea must remain sober. Southeast Asian countries should avoid being deceived. No matter how turbulent the world is, the Asia-Pacific region should maintain unity, focus on economic development, focus on development, and not give the United States an opportunity to take advantage of it. In this process, China's role is crucial. On the one hand, China needs to continuously develop itself and strengthen itself, and use its strong strength to curb the impulse of evil after the "American evil"; on the other hand, China also needs to do more work to expose the United States' "open conspiracy", unite more countries, make a bigger cake of mutually beneficial cooperation, use more development opportunities, and use better development prospects to attract more countries in the Asia-Pacific region to join the "circle of friends" advocated by China, and let the United States piece together the plans of political and military small circles to go bankrupt. In the Asia-Pacific region, at present, except for Australia who is devoted to following the United States, Japan and India have their own plans, and South Korea, which has just ended the election, is also exploring and has room for work.
P.S. From the perspective of world history, whenever a hegemony declines, there will be a trend of anti-globalization. As various forces re-differentiate and combine, the world will experience a period of extremely unstable and extremely uneasy. For China, only by using its own high certainty can it cope with high external uncertainty. A "black" America will sooner or later become a betrayal of relatives and will sooner or later backfire itself. In this process, we must maintain strategic patience and strategic clarity. Five or ten years later, the world situation will inevitably be very different. In the game with the United States, we must stick to our stance and dare to fight, but we must have sufficient confidence and patience, and do not fight for the day and "we should always look at the scenery."
