At around 6 a.m. on July 10, at the first time of launching Taiwan’s Pingdong Xuhai Space Launch Center, 2 minutes after the first self-developed hybrid satellite in Taiwan crashed and failed due to a power failure. However, the official claimed that the launch had achieved a success of 99.9 and was prepared for future rocket satellite launches into orbit. That means that the rocket has clearly failed to launch, but the official claims that the rocket launch is equivalent to success, but the spacecraft has not entered orbit.
Then, in this way, in 2021, mainland Chinese , including the Long March series rocket, the Kuaizhou series rocket and the rockets developed by private aerospace enterprises, has implemented a total of 55 space launch missions throughout the year. Among them, the Long March series launch vehicle completed 48 launches in 2021, with a launch success rate of up to 100%. Among the remaining seven space launch missions, the Kuaizhou-1 A carrier rocket of Aerospace Science and Technology carried out 4 launch missions, 3 of which were successful and 1 launch failed; the private aerospace Galaxy Power Company Ceres One launch mission successfully carried out 1 launch mission, and the Interstellar Glory Company Hyperbola 1 launch vehicle failed in two launches.
That is to say, in 2021, my country completed 55 launch missions throughout the year, but only 52 launches were successful, and two launches failed, with an actual launch success rate of 95%. However, the reason for the failure of Kuaizhou-1 A launch was not that the rocket crashed after launching, but that the rocket's last-stage flight abnormality caused the satellite to fail to enter the predetermined orbit and failed to launch. Hyperbola No. 1 failed to launch twice in a row because the rocket exploded abnormally during the first launch; the second time was because fairing failed to separate. If is calculated according to Taiwan's statement, the launch failures of Kuaizhou-1A and Hyperbola-1 can no longer be considered any problem. It can even be said that China will launch 55 times in 2021, with a 100% launch success rate.
Anyone who is familiar with aerospace development knows that the aerospace industry itself is a high-risk industry with high investment and low returns. Even countries like the United States and Russia with strong aerospace capabilities cannot guarantee that their upcoming rockets will be launched before launching, and will definitely be 100% successful in as they did before launch. Therefore, as a new industry, Taiwan’s development of the aerospace industry with its own technological strength will definitely be of great help to the lives of people in Taiwan. However, it is actually normal to fail to launch just after entering this industry. On the contrary, if a newly developed launch vehicle, , succeeds in two or three consecutive launches, there will be greater risks behind it.
Because the launch vehicle itself is composed of different components, during the actual launch process, these components must not only face the huge low-frequency vibration during the rocket launch and the impact of resonance , but also face the invasion of low-temperature fuel inside the rocket and the low-temperature and high-speed airflow from the rocket. Therefore, whether it is an old space power or a new aerospace enterprise, it cannot guarantee 100% success when implementing a space launch. After all, within the few dozen minutes from the rocket's ignition to the spacecraft entering orbit, any abnormality of any component or equipment on the rocket itself or the spacecraft it is equipped with will become the fuse for the rocket's failure to launch.
Like Tesla boss Elon Musk , the mainstream Falcon 9 and the currently under development of the "Starship" launch vehicle, both of which frequently failed and exploded in the first place. For example, although the Falcon 1 before Falcon 9 and the early V1 and V2 versions of the Falcon 9 have strong carrying capacity, the rockets have exploded directly on the launch pad, exploded in the middle of flight, failed to separate the stages, and failed to open the fairings.
, especially the super heavy carrier rocket that is highly expected by humans to land on Mars. It has frequently built different versions to conduct various launch tests since 2020. However, two years have passed, and the flight altitude of starship has not exceeded 20 kilometers so far. It is still unknown when it will be truly launched.
But whether it is the early Falcon 9 launch vehicle or the current starship, it actually has not stopped SpaceX and Musk's exploration of space, so we see that the early Falcon 9 launch failure rate has remained high from the beginning, especially when adding first-stage recycling or changing the recycling method, it will basically start with failure. But what about now? The Falcon 9 rocket launch success rate is getting higher and higher and more stable, and its first-stage recycling and reuse mode has also made the Falcon 9 rocket a "hot commodity" in the global aerospace launch market.
Also for China, which is already a major aerospace power and an old aerospace country, when we first started developing a launch vehicle, we didn’t even know how the rocket entered orbit, how to distinguish different orbits, etc., and our space launch failure rate in the early days was also very high. For example, the Long March 3 launch vehicle launched by main commercial or mainstream medium and high-orbit spacecraft, when the Long March 3B launch vehicle was first undertook a commercial communication satellite launch mission in 1996, if it was successfully launched, it would not only allow my country to quickly gain a foothold in the commercial aerospace market and win more commercial aerospace launch orders, but it would also make China’s reputation and status in the global aerospace market higher.
However, when Long March 3B was launched, the rocket had abnormal flight attitude as soon as it was ignited. The rocket directly deviated from the predetermined flight route. In the end, the rocket and the commercial communication satellite equipped with the mountain exploded together. Afterwards, we should compensate for compensation, find problems, and improve improvements. The result is that the current Long March 3 A and B carrier rocket has become the mainstream choice and gold medal rocket for many spacecraft launches in my country, including Beidou , Chang'e, Fengyun, Gaosong, Commercial and other spacecraft. For example, the 55 satellites of different orbits of the Beidou-3 global satellite navigation system were all launched by the Long March 3 series launch vehicles.
So in summary, the aerospace industry itself is a high-risk industry, and it is normal for the launch failure when it first entered. This is "equal" for any country, region and enterprise in the world that wants to develop aerospace. But if the launch fails, he will admit it openly and no one will make fun of it. On the contrary, the launch failed, and instead argued that the launch was 99.9% successful. The rocket's first explosion and failure to enter the predetermined orbit were both failed to launch, but the difficulty of the two was still "world-sized".
But whether it is the early Falcon 9 launch vehicle or the current starship, it actually has not stopped SpaceX and Musk's exploration of space, so we see that the early Falcon 9 launch failure rate has remained high from the beginning, especially when adding first-stage recycling or changing the recycling method, it will basically start with failure. But what about now? The Falcon 9 rocket launch success rate is getting higher and higher and more stable, and its first-stage recycling and reuse mode has also made the Falcon 9 rocket a "hot commodity" in the global aerospace launch market.
Also for China, which is already a major aerospace power and an old aerospace country, when we first started developing a launch vehicle, we didn’t even know how the rocket entered orbit, how to distinguish different orbits, etc., and our space launch failure rate in the early days was also very high. For example, the Long March 3 launch vehicle launched by main commercial or mainstream medium and high-orbit spacecraft, when the Long March 3B launch vehicle was first undertook a commercial communication satellite launch mission in 1996, if it was successfully launched, it would not only allow my country to quickly gain a foothold in the commercial aerospace market and win more commercial aerospace launch orders, but it would also make China’s reputation and status in the global aerospace market higher.
However, when Long March 3B was launched, the rocket had abnormal flight attitude as soon as it was ignited. The rocket directly deviated from the predetermined flight route. In the end, the rocket and the commercial communication satellite equipped with the mountain exploded together. Afterwards, we should compensate for compensation, find problems, and improve improvements. The result is that the current Long March 3 A and B carrier rocket has become the mainstream choice and gold medal rocket for many spacecraft launches in my country, including Beidou , Chang'e, Fengyun, Gaosong, Commercial and other spacecraft. For example, the 55 satellites of different orbits of the Beidou-3 global satellite navigation system were all launched by the Long March 3 series launch vehicles.
So in summary, the aerospace industry itself is a high-risk industry, and it is normal for the launch failure when it first entered. This is "equal" for any country, region and enterprise in the world that wants to develop aerospace. But if the launch fails, he will admit it openly and no one will make fun of it. On the contrary, the launch failed, and instead argued that the launch was 99.9% successful. The rocket's first explosion and failure to enter the predetermined orbit were both failed to launch, but the difficulty of the two was still "world-sized".
