Recently, Taiwan’s green media Liberty Times released a poll. The results of their investigations were that Taipei City is now "Chen Shizhong No. 1", followed by Jiang Wan'an and Huang Shanshan.
I looked carefully from the data they released and found that this was a fake poll.
According to the Liberty Times, this poll was made by their own poll center. When did the Liberty Times Poll Center appear? Among the Taiwanese media, TVBS, United Daily News, Foresight Magazine, and Meilidao Electronic News all have their own poll centers, and they usually conduct polls regularly on some issues. But Liberty Times is not. Usually it does not have a poll center, and once the election comes, the poll center appears.
, a poll center that only comes out once the election is in the election, even if it is done seriously, the quality of polls is relatively poor. If you conduct polls regularly regardless of whether there is an election or not, there will be a stable team. Everyone will continuously improve their methods and techniques based on the situation of each survey. Over time, the quality of polls will become higher and higher. The first question for this kind of poll center that only occurs when you encounter an election is, where do you find poll experts when you need it?
In addition to experts, there are also interviewers who call. I called to do a poll today, and the rejection rate was very high. How to reduce the rejection rate? It depends on experienced interviewers. For example, there is a type of interviewer who has a very nice voice, and his rejection rate is lower than that of others. For example, some interviewers are particularly good at grasping the rhythm, and their rejection rate is lower than others. Such interviewers are hard to come by. You must catch one when you see it and don’t let him run away. Only by conducting polls regularly can you accumulate such a group of interviewers. None of the Free Times do,
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, so in this poll, you will find it fun to see the sub-item data.
Free Times said that the results of their surveys showed that men supported Chen Shizhong by 28.1%, and women supported Chen Shizhong by 28.74%. Then Chen Shizhong's total support should be between 28.1% and 28.74%, and the result was 30.13%.
This is interesting. The support level for men and women is less than 29%. How did you calculate that the total support level exceeds 30%? Who else besides men and women? Aliens? No, aliens do not have Taipei household registration and have no right to vote. Among those with Taipei household registration, who else is besides men and women?
Jiang Wan'an and Huang Shanshan also have this problem with support. Jiang Wan'an's male support is 22.93%, female support is 23.56%, and the total support is 22.92%, which is lower than that of both men and women.
Huang Shanshan, the support level of men is 26.45%, the support level of women is 22.22%, and the total support level is 20.52%, which is also lower than that of men and women.
Speaking of this, I think the result is already very obvious. The result of this poll is not even enough. This is a fake poll.
Chen Shizhong's selection has been on the decline recently. Everyone asks, why has his team been using tricks many times recently? As a result, the list of his team was revealed. When everyone saw it, they suddenly realized that it would be difficult to have such a team without making any tricks.
Chen Shizhong's campaign team is filled with children of DPP politicians. The children of Xu Zongli, head of Taiwan's judicial institutions, Yao Jiawen, consultant of Tsai Ing-wen's office, Xu Guoyong, head of internal affairs department of Taiwan's administrative agencies, Cai Bizhong, deputy head of legal affairs department, and others are all on Chen Shizhong's campaign team.
Chen Shizhong couldn't scream these people. They come not to sweat and work hard, but to take up a seat. If Chen Shizhong is elected, they will be given a good seat in the future Taipei Municipal Government.
These calculations can be seen by young people in Taiwan. Chen Shizhong's recent series of actions, coupled with the green media's false polls, are all hoping to win the support of young people. But as soon as Chen Shizhong's team spread out, how many young people were still willing to vote for him?