According to Taiwan media reports, the mayors of counties and counties in Taiwan will be re-elected by the end of the year. Who will be the mayor of Taipei is eye-catching? Senior media person Huang Weihan analyzed on the 21st that this is the closest time that the Democratic Progressive Party has won the election after Chen Shui-bian in 28 years. Chen Shizhong can win the election by grasping a key.
Huang Weihan posted on Facebook that a poll from the China Times two days ago showed that Chen Shizhong had surpassed Jiang Wan'an. He said bluntly, "This is the closest victory for the DPP to be elected as mayor of Taipei in 28 years after Chen Shui-bian. The key to victory or defeat is that will Ah Zhong be Ah Bian ? Or Ah Zhi (Yao Wenzhi)?"
Huang Weihan pointed out that on June 5, 1994, the China Times Evening News conducted a poll by Professor Huang Defu, entrusted by the Integrity and Energy Rule of Law Promotion Association, Chen Shui-bian 26.5%, Zhao Shaokang 23.2%; in the China Times poll on July 13, Chen Shui-bian 25.1%, Zhao Shaokang 20.3%; in the poll of August 6, Chen Shui-bian 41.9%, Ding Shou-chung 30.6%, and Zhao Shaokang 24.6%.
In October 1994, an internal poll of the Kuomintang showed that among the supporters of the Kuomintang, 21.2% supported Ah Bian, 22.2% supported Ah Bian, and 21.7% Zhao Shaokang, and the three were comparable; in October 1994, after the TV debate, Chen Shui-bian was 30.3%, Zhao Shaokang, 26.1%, Huang Dazhou, and 9%; on December 2, 1994, Chen Shui-bian was 41%, Zhao Shaokang, 28%, and Huang Dazhou was 25%, "So, Ah Bian's polls were leading all the way, not as rumored, and finally reversed. "In the end, the result of the election was: "Chen Shui-bian 43, Zhao Shaokang, 30, Huang Dazhou 25".
Huang Weihan pointed out that the key to Chen Shui-bian's victory is to stabilize the basic market and allow the blue camp to split, so now Chen Shizhong must stabilize the basic market. Although the outside world criticized Chen Shizhong's campaign team as a "hate value team", Chen Jianren, Lin Chang-zuo, Wu Siyao and Fan Yun are all people that DPP supporters like. Come find it first and stabilize it by 35%.
Huang Weihan analyzed that Yao Wenzhi was defeated, and in addition to the backward polls and the delayed votes in the referendum, he directly collapsed, "The conclusion is that Ah Zhong School, Ah Bian will win! Ah Zhong becomes Ah Zhi, he will lose! Ah Zhong is not as strong as Ah Bian, nor is he as weak as Ah Zhi. In this game of Taipei , it is not yet time to judge the victory or defeat."
