According to the Global Network, the Russian Ministry of Defense issued a notice on September 11, 2022 saying that in the past 24 hours, the Russian army has launched a crackdown on Ukrainian armed forces and infrastructure in 10 areas including Kharkiv Prefecture. On the night of September 11, the Russian army used the missile to attack several power generation and power supply facilities in Ukraine, causing a large-scale power outage in Ukraine.
So many experts predict that the Russian army will continue to attack Ukraine's infrastructure and force Ukraine to surrender. Now the question is, how long can Ukraine last without electricity?
Last night, the Russian army used long-range missile to launch missile attacks on Kharkov's fifth thermal power plant, one of the largest thermal power plants in Ukraine, and several important power generation and power supply hubs, resulting in large-scale power supply interruptions in Kharkov, Sumei Prefecture , Dneprpetrovsk Oblast and Poltava Prefecture. However, after one hour of emergency repair, the power supply was restored. Ukraine announced that the power rescue departments in several attacked areas have undergone emergency repairs, and the power supply system in these areas will be restored one after another one after another after an hour. Ukrainian side said that the Russian army launched 11 missiles on the power line system, but judging from the rapid recovery of Ukrainian power system, the Russian army's strike effect was very average.
This shows that the Russian army's strike ability is still very low. Not enough to completely paralyze Ukraine's civil infrastructure. It can also be seen from the Russian army's attack on the Ukrainian railway system since the war started that the Russian army could only attack Ukrainian railway sporadically and it was quickly repaired and could not affect Ukrainian railway transportation at all. Later, the Russian army simply gave up attacking Ukrainian railways.
The important symbol of a modern society is elegant life, and people enjoy the convenience, comfort and speed of modernization. This also leads to a lack of resistance during the war. Although many people think they are strong in normal times, during the war, as long as the power grid is destroyed and a series of consequences such as power outages, grid outages, and water outages will follow, people's living standards will directly return to the Stone Age, which can effectively destroy the resistance.
Many people think that in 1999 Kosovo War , the US air strike caused a large-scale long-term power outage in Yugoslavia , which finally forced Yugoslavia to accept the ceasefire in humiliation. It is just a wishful thinking that the Russian army can do it, and it is wishful thinking that the Russian army can make the Ukrainians kneel down and surrender by attacking infrastructure.
During the Kosovo War in 1999, the NATO group led by the United States deployed thousands of combat aircraft around the surrounding area, bombing Yugoslavia for 78 days. A total of 32,000 combat aircraft were dispatched, with an average of about 450 aircraft per day, and the peak period was generally 1,000 aircraft per day.
In the Kosovo War, the air strike force of NATO launched a total of 23,000 aviation bombs or air-to-ground missiles, of which more than 8,000 are high-precision precision-guided munitions.
On May 2, 1999, the US military dispatched a large number of fighter jets to bomb Yugoslavia's infrastructure, especially to five Yugoslavia's power plants and sub-hubs, and dropped BLU-114 power-off bombs. The bombing caused 70% of Yugoslavia's power supply systems to be paralyzed. The next day, the US military bombed again at high intensity and dropped the BLU-114 bomb again, and released it again five days later. Until May 23, the US military dropped power outage bombs 10 times in 22 days, causing a large-scale power outage throughout the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. U.S. military experts predict that it will take eight months for the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia to resume normal power supply.
BLU-114 graphite bomb, also known as the "power-off bomb". It is mainly used to paralyze urban power transmission and distribution systems. The bomb is loaded with carbon fiber material. The carbon fiber is a perfect conductor. After the graphite fiber bomb is thrown, the scattered carbon fibers are easily attached to the electrical system, causing a short circuit to cause power outages or fires, and it is difficult to remove, which will lead to continuous power outages. Because high-voltage power supply lines and substations are mostly open-air, they can be easily destroyed by graphite bomb .
learned from the experience and lessons of the Kosovo War graphite bomb. China also launched a graphite power outage bomb in 2009. The model of this carbon fiber bomb, commonly known as the "electricity killer", is 250 kg aviation carbon fiber bomb, or 250 kg power grid interference sub-compartment bomb . It can make the enemy's grid switches in the hands of our Air Force.
However, Russia does not have this "power-off" bomb. Three years ago, Russian Machinery Manufacturing Technology Company revealed that they were developing a graphite power-off bomb. But so far, no news has been seen that the bomb has been successfully developed. Therefore, it can be inferred that the Russian Air Force currently has no "power off" bombs.
If you want to continuously and effectively paralyze Ukraine's civil infrastructure, it will require thousands of bombings every day. Taking previous wars in the past 20 years as an example, for example, in the 2003 Iraq War , the US Navy and Air Force fighter jets dropped 14,000 precision guided bombs and more than 750 Tomahawk cruise missiles in 14 days of the war. On average, 1,000 precision-guided munitions are thrown every day. To win a medium war, at least the Air Force or Navy must throw more than 1,000 precision-guided munitions per day, and more than half a month will be thrown.
Some people say that the Russian army has not completely destroyed Ukrainian infrastructure so far because Russia is kind-hearted. I feel that the Russian army is not kind-hearted, but that its attack power does not have the ability to continuously and effectively destroy Ukraine's infrastructure. The Russian army's precise sea/ground-to-ground and air-to-ground guidance firepower in the Russian-Ukraine war, the Air Force dispatched hundreds of aircraft every day, and the ballistic missiles and cruise missiles fired about 2,000. Compared with the strength of the US air strike, it is simply not worth mentioning.
Because they dare not conduct large-scale air strikes in the depths of Ukraine, the Russian army can only use expensive and rare ballistic missiles to strike targets in mainland Ukraine. The number of these missiles is simply not enough to shake the basic livelihood operation of the entire Ukraine.
