html During the day on September 8, this year's 12th typhoon plum blossom was generated in the northwest Pacific Ocean. At 9 pm, the typhoon center is located on the Pacific Ocean 1,500 kilometers southeast of Wenzhou, Zhejiang, with the maximum wind speed near the center level 9. It can be seen from the satellite cloud map that although the plum blossom typhoon is above the Pacific warm pool with the most energy, because the atmospheric conditions are not suitable, this typhoon looks ugly and does not have the conditions of rapid eruption as quickly as Xuan Lannuo.
According to the current data, the most likely plum blossoms are to move northwest first, and during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, they came to the ocean east of Taiwan. Then the sub-high collapsed, and it fell into confusion and stayed east of Taiwan for several days. Subsequently, the deputy high school strengthened again, and it continued to move westward under the promotion of the deputy high school. If the deputy high school is stronger, it will land on the southeast coast of our country. If the deputy high school is weaker, it will go north near the coast of our country.
ECMWF storm collection, Zhongqi Ai made
visible, plum blossoms have three characteristics, the first is that the speed is extremely slow, especially the residence time east of Taiwan, which is likely to exceed Xuan Lannuo and become the slowest typhoon this year. The second is very complex. Not only is the sub-high intensity variable, but there are also two typhoon embryos on the east side of the plum blossom, which may develop into typhoon No. 13 or 14, which will have the Fujiwara effect like the Romance of the Three Kingdoms with the plum blossom.
Pacific wide-area ECMWF storm collection, Zhongqiai Ai made
The third is the intensity is variable. Before being stuck, it may quickly strengthen to a strong typhoon or even a super typhoon, but it may weaken sharply to tropical storm when it stays for a long time. It may increase rapidly when approaching our country after the retention is over.
Therefore, this plum blossom can be called Schrödinger's plum blossom. What will it develop in the end and where to log in in the end will not be determined. But what is certain is that during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, it will stay in the ocean east of Taiwan. This is good news for long holiday travel, because it will drive a lot of dry air to go south, making the weather in most parts of our country good. But for other aspects, its existence is another bad news. On the one hand, eastern Guangdong and southern Fujian will be affected by its air conditioner external units, and there will be severe heat and high temperatures. On the other hand, water vapor is driven away, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River 1, which is urgently needed to rain, will have to be less rain and dry for a long time, and the drought will continue to develop. .
Just today, the high temperature in Xinjiang has further developed, with Turpan reaching 42.7 degrees and Urumqi 36.6 degrees, both of which are the highest-value high temperatures in September. The high temperature in the south is also continuing, with Guizhou exceeding 39 degrees along the river, while Guangdong is in high temperatures and heavy rains. At night, the local rain in Foshan, Guangzhou was extremely fierce, and a red warning was issued. As the typhoon plum blossoms approaches, the situation of sauna and thunderstorms in Guangdong continues.
from Guangzhou Weather
