Bai Lu . From 23:32 yesterday, we ushered in the "Bai Lu" solar term. It is the 15th solar term among the twenty-four solar terms, the third solar term in autumn, and an important season that reflects the growth of cold air in nature.
The weather today is comfortable! The sun shines, it is cool without wind or rain, making everyone feel very comfortable on the way to work this morning.
weather forecast shows: is cloudy today to tomorrow, with easterly winds of level 2 to 3, the highest temperature today is 32℃, the lowest temperature tomorrow is 22℃, the highest temperature today is 26 to 28℃, and the lowest temperature tomorrow is 15 to 17℃.
In addition, Typhoon No. 11 "Xuanlannuo" changed to temperate cyclone on the night of September 6 and stopped numbering. On the morning of September 7, tropical disturbance 91W has been strengthened to tropical low pressure level (the United States United Typhoon Warning Center believes that its wind speed has reached 30kt and has been numbered). Judging from the current situation, the originally expected phenomenon of 91W annexation of 92W will no longer occur. The main reason is that the double typhoon effect between the two makes 92W accelerate to move to the northeast, and even if 91W has been strengthened to the tropical low pressure level, it is mainly because the double typhoon effect between the two makes 92W accelerate to the northeast direction, and even if 91W has been strengthened to the tropical low pressure level , but it does not have enough ability to swallow the entire 92W.
The moving path of future "Plum Blossoms" predicted by various forecast methods.
Under the influence of Fujiwara effect between two cyclone , the tropical depression will continue to slowly move towards the southwest in the next day, and then it will have a V-shaped turn like "Xuan Lannuo". Move northwest. Before and after the end of the steering, the tropical low pressure will be strengthened to become the 12th typhoon "Plum Blossoms" this year. Tropical low-pressure cloud map animation monitored by the Sunflower-8 satellite.
"Plum Blossoms" may be a super typhoon
In the future, the sea temperature conditions are still very considerable. Except for the slowdown of the super typhoon "Xuan Lannuo", a cold water area left in eastern Taiwan and south of Ryukyu Islands, the sea temperature in the other sea areas is above 29℃. This year's "Plum Blossom" that will be generated seems to be somewhat similar to the "Plum Blossom" 11 years ago. What is expected by is that there will be two major shifts in the future "Plum Blossoms". The first shift in can be basically confirmed to be in the early stage of generation, and after the steering is completed, it will tend to the eastern waters of Taiwan. Due to the dual influence of cold air moving eastward and changes in subtropical high pressure, the "Plum Blossom" will make a second turn in the ocean east of Taiwan in the future. The second shift will determine whether it will directly affect or even land in my country in the future, or whether it will go north from the central part of the East China Sea, like "Xuan Lannuo" and will only have a slight impact on my country, or it will directly affect Japan, South Korea and other countries in advance.
The second turn of "Plum Blossoms" in the future is quite variable, and will be a severe test for the subjective judgment of the supercomputer model or the official typhoon forecasting agency. I hope this "Plum Blossom" will no longer have the "three tricks".
The maximum wind speed of the future "Plum Blossom" predicted by each method (kt).
, the nearest Yuyao is a little hot outdoors in the afternoon, but the temperature in the morning and evening is only about 20℃. Accompanied by the cool breeze, the body feels very comfortable and has a bit of "autumn".
will usher in the annual Mid-Autumn Festival festival on the weekend. The three-day holiday is about to begin. Will the weather affect your arrangements? According to the Yuyao Meteorological Observatory, at present, the Mid-Autumn Festival in is mainly cloudy, with temperatures between 19℃ and 32℃. Everyone remember to add or remove clothes in time and don’t catch a cold.
Finally, I would like to remind you that the pressure of "preventing imports from outside and preventing rebound from inside" in our city still exists. Please strictly and consciously abide by relevant regulations of the epidemic. United and prevent and control the epidemic!
Everyone is still watching
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Source: Ningbo Evening News, Ningbo Weather Network, China Weather Network, Yongpai Comprehensive, Yuyao Meteorological Editor: Huang Mengmeng
