Everything in the world is like a new chess game!
In this world full of variables, the only certainty is uncertainty. The reversal and mutation of the situation often happen in an instant.
On December 24, 
major events worthy of attention occurred around China, which were closely related to Japan and South Korea.
The first thing is that the Korean political arena is facing an "earthquake" moment! Moon Jae-in announced amnesty Park Geun-hye .
html On the 24th, South Korean President Moon Jae-in announced that he would pardon former President Park Geun-hye. The reason is that considering that Park Geun-hye's health has begun to deteriorate, out of the original intention of humanitarianism and uniting the people, will pardon her, and hopes that opponents can understand. This move.It is reported that Park Geun-hye will be released from prison on December 31, and will be pardoned together with former South Korean Prime Minister Han Myung-sook .
I have to say, one stone stirred up a thousand waves! Moon Jae-in’s amnesty this time can definitely be regarded as a “ earthquake” in South Korean politics.
Among these, 10 details cannot be ignored.
, Park Geun-hye is South Korea’s first female president and the president who served the longest time in prison in South Korea’s history.
Due to the exposure of the sensational "Crony Interference Case", President Park Geun-hye was impeached and stepped down before her term ended. He was sentenced to 20 years in prison earlier this year. Including the 2 years he was previously sentenced for election interference, the total is 22 years. He has currently been in prison for 4 years and 8 months.
If nothing unexpected happens, without amnesty or commutation of sentence, Park Geun-hye, 69, is expected to be released from prison in her 90s.
But now, with Moon Jae-in issuing an amnesty order, Park Geun-hye’s prison sentence is over.
, former South Korean Prime Minister Han Myung-sook, who was pardoned together with Park Geun-hye this time, is the first female prime minister in South Korean history, and was nominated by former South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun .
As we all know, Roh Moo-hyun and Moon Jae-in are close friends, and Han Myung-sook, who was nominated as prime minister by Roh Moo-hyun, was During the Park Geun-hye administration, she was sentenced to prison for suspected bribery.
Nowadays, Moon Jae-in pardons Park Geun-hye and at the same time pardons Han Myung-sook. In fact, it also has the meaning of "balancing" .
, although Park Geun-hye was exempted from prison, the high fine of 18 billion won was not "written off".
This means that after being released from prison, Park Geun-hye will continue to pay off her debts.
4, Park Geun-hye is not in prison now, but was admitted to Samsung Seoul Hospital at the beginning of this month, citing "kidney disease."
Please note that Park Geun-hye has been admitted to the hospital three times this year, but each time she was admitted to Seoul St. Mary's Hospital. Now she is admitted to a hospital under the Samsung Group . This may be intentional.
Because another important figure in the "Crony Interference Case" is the current "head" of Samsung Group Lee Jae-yong .
5. After Park Geun-hye entered Samsung Seoul Hospital, doctors at the hospital said two days ago that Park Geun-hye's old diseases such as shoulders and spine have recurred and worsened. Her teeth can no longer chew food normally, and her mental state is also very bad. She needs to undergo long-term treatment. treat.
This means that Park Geun-hye will stay out for a long time for medical treatment.
You must know that medical parole on the grounds of physical illness is one of the "exoneration" methods commonly used by Korean politicians. Even Lee Myung-bak , Kim Dae-jung and other former presidents have used it, and they have been tried repeatedly.
Obviously, before Moon Jae-in decided to grant amnesty, Park Geun-hye had already found a way out for herself.
6, Moon Jae-in’s pardon for Park Geun-hye was very sudden.
Because last week, Moon Jae-in submitted an amnesty list, but Park Geun-hye was not included. That’s why when Park Geun-hye is pardoned now, the “special amnesty order” is used.
This shows that Moon Jae-in did not want to pardon Park Geun-hye at first, but for unknown reasons, he suddenly changed his decision.
7, from the perspective of Moon Jae-in's emphasis that "pardoning Park Geun-hye will help national unity", even if she is sentenced to prison, Park Geun-hye's voice and support in South Korea are still high, which makes Moon Jae-in enter the "countdown" to power Have to be afraid.
Park Geun-hye and Park Geun-hye
8, now South Korea’s general election has begun, but the election is extremely complicated. For example, Lee Jae-myung, who is regarded as the successor by Moon Jae-in, and the largest opposition party presidential candidate Yoon Seok-yue are both He has been exposed to scandals one after another, and his poll support ratings have declined. Moreover, even Park Geun-hye’s biological sister Park Geun-hye announced that she will run for president.
This means that South Korea’s ruling party is now in a situation of being “besieged” by the opposition parties. Regardless of whether Yin Xiyue or Park Geun-hye wins, they will choose to pardon Park Geun-hye out of the intention of winning over Park Geun-hye’s supporters.
For example, after learning that Park Geun-hye was pardoned, Park Geun-hye, who had a bad relationship with her, rarely publicly "thanked" Moon Jae-in.
Under such circumstances, it is not surprising that Moon Jae-in took the lead in pardoning Park Geun-hye in the name of "uniting the people."
9, behind Park Geun-hye's pardon, it is estimated that chaebols and opposition forces are contributing, When Park Geun-hye thanked Moon Jae-in, she also emphasized "expressing gratitude to all those who worked hard for the pardon."
This once again proves that Moon Jae-in’s change of heart was influenced by external factors rather than his own wishes.
0, various signs indicate that Park Geun-hye's influence on South Korean politics and the next general election cannot be underestimated, and this influence will always exist and will not dissipate because of the amnesty.
Perhaps, after being released from prison, Park Geun-hye will continue to speak out, and even seek opportunities for to "make a comeback" and .
But no matter what, Park Geun-hye's pardon not only means that a new round of troubles is coming to the Korean political arena, but also indicates that the next Korean general election will be more stalemate and fierce.
As for whether Moon Jae-in can break the "Blue House Curse" and become the first South Korean president to "successfully step down" in recent years, it remains to be seen.
However, the Korean political arena is undergoing turbulent changes, and the Japanese political arena is no less concessionary.
The second thing is that internal strife broke out in Japanese politics. Abe publicly challenged the current Prime Minister Fumio Kishida .
A few days ago, Abe was extremely angry because the Kishida government ordered the disposal of a large number of hoarded "Abe masks" and denounced these poor quality and useless masks as a "waste of money."
24, Abe publicly "liked" a tweet criticizing Fumio Kishida as "bad" on social platforms, causing the "smell of gunpowder" between the two to rise rapidly.
It should be noted that Kishida is now the Prime Minister of Japan, and Abe, in addition to being the former Prime Minister, is also the current leader of the "Hosoda faction", the largest faction of the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party. The internal strife between the two affects the entire Japanese political circle.
Of course, Kishida, who threw away the "Abe mask" and criticized it, naturally knew that his behavior would annoy Abe. As for 's intention of "knowingly acting", there are only three points.
Since then, has made a "cut" with the Abe government, making the public realize that today's Japanese government is a new, independent government, not the previous Yoshihide Suga government.
Secondly, established the Kishida government's decisive and strong image, suppressing Abe's current limelight. After all, now that Abe has returned to politics, will inevitably covet the position of prime minister, and Kishida needs to "beat" Abe.
In the past three years, has shown the public that the Kishida government is "determined" and firm in fighting the epidemic. Unqualified masks and unscientific anti-epidemic methods will be abandoned. This is similar to the "lockdown" measures announced by Kishida not long ago. Wonderful.
But no matter what the purpose, it is an indisputable fact that the gap between Kishida and Abe is gradually growing and Japan's political arena is in turmoil.
It is foreseeable that Abe, who has now returned to politics, is bound to launch a counterattack. is now insinuating that Kishida is "bad", which may be just the beginning.
However, just as Japan and South Korea were in political turmoil at the same time, the two countries quarreled again.
html On the 24th, as Japan formally submitted its plan to discharge nuclear sewage into the sea, the South Korean government held an emergency meeting and expressed strong concerns about Japan. It immediately summoned Daisuke Namioka, the Japanese minister to South Korea, to express South Korea's opposition.However, no matter how much South Korea protested, Japan remained unmoved and insisted that its so-called plan to discharge sewage into the sea was "reasonable." The two countries quarreled like this, using almost all available diplomatic means. .
In fact, Japan’s discharge of sewage into the sea is closely related not only to South Korea, but also to the entire world. After all, once the Fukushima nuclear wastewater flows into the sea, it will spread to all parts of the world along with ocean currents. No matter whether it is South Korea nearby or the United States far across the ocean, it will not be spared.
Regarding this, we still advise Japan to focus on the overall situation and not to engage in selfish behavior that harms the interests of all mankind due to personal selfish interests.
Otherwise, what awaits Japan, is not only the protests from South Korea, but also the opposition and resistance from all over the world, and even isolation and abandonment. Where
will go, Kishida really has to think twice.
