The probability of Gao Hong'an being elected as Hsinchu mayor has greatly increased
"With the effect of Lin Zhijian's withdrawal, the People's Party may become the biggest winner. In this way, Gao Hong'an, who is a member of the People's Party in the Hsinchu mayoral election, has the greatest chance of winning. Taoyuan is divided into three parts of the world, and he does not want to vote blue. Those who don’t want to vote green may go to People’s Party candidate Lai Xiangling,”
Well-known Taiwanese current affairs commentator and Chinese Culture University Advertising Department Director Niu Zexun said in an interview with Straits Herald reporter in Taiwan today. Under the pressure of strong public opinion, Tsai Ing-wen had to retreat and decided to "change her position", which also added more variables to the county and mayor elections at the end of the year.
Why did the situation take a sudden turn for the worse and Lin Zhijian, who had always been stubborn before, had to withdraw from the election today? Niu Zexun believes that first of all, on August 9, the Academic Ethics Review Committee of National Taiwan University determined that Mr. Lin Zhijian had plagiarized Yu Sheng's master's thesis and revoked Lin Zhijian's master's degree. The Kuomintang launched a fierce attack on this basis, and the Democratic Progressive Party's election situation was affected. Secondly, Chung Hwa University will also be recognized within two weeks. If the recognition result is the same as that of National Taiwan University, the Democratic Progressive Party's election situation will completely collapse. Furthermore, DPP county and mayor candidates, public officials, and party elites have serious differences over Tsai Ing-wen’s request for “the whole party to stand strong.” Under such circumstances, Lin Zhijian simply cannot choose, otherwise it will only affect more people.
Regarding the impact on the election caused by Lin Zhijian's withdrawal, Niu Zexun analyzed that Taoyuan City will truly form a "three-thirds world" situation from now on. It seems that "everyone has a chance" among the three parties. The latest poll on August 11 by the green-leaning "Beautiful Island Electronic News" showed that KMT candidate Zhang Shanzheng had 32.1%, leading Lin Zhijian's 30.1% and People's Party candidate Lai Xiangling's 12.6%. Among those aged 20 to 29, Lai Xiangling’s 23.7% leads Lin Zhijian’s 23.6% and Zhang Shanzheng’s 23.5%.
Shen Huihong (left) has become the biggest political disaster victim
"Zhang Shanzheng is too cloudy and not down to earth; if the DPP is replaced by 'legislator' Zheng Yunpeng, he has no personal charisma and cannot fully consolidate the DPP created by the current mayor Zheng Wencan The party’s base; in this way, those voters who hate blue and don’t like green may vote for Lai Xiangling, who is a member of the People’s Party. This is why polls show that Lai Xiangling has the highest support among people aged 20 to 29.”
Niu Zexun further said. It was pointed out that after Lin Zhijian withdrew from the election, Shen Huihong, the Democratic Progressive Party candidate for Hsinchu mayor who was supported by Lin, completely lost her support and became the "biggest political disaster victim", while Gao Hongan's probability of being elected has increased. "Gao Hongan took advantage of the opportunity to join forces with Taipei mayor candidate Huang Shanshan and Taoyuan mayor candidate Lai Xiangling to build momentum. The People's Party has leverage that can be used, and it may achieve considerable gains in the year-end elections." Taiwanese netizens also began to discuss, Lin Zhijian After being replaced, is it possible that Shen Huihong will also be replaced?
In addition, Niu Zexun also said that the evolution of Lin Zhijian's "plagiarism scandal" has greatly damaged Tsai Ing-wen's authority, seriously injured Zheng Wencan, and had a serious impact on the DPP's election. "When the decision to 'replace' was made, the DPP hopes to carry out damage control and avoid the domino effect."
Straits Herald reporter in Taiwan Wu Shenglin
