According to Global Network citing Agence France-Presse , on Monday local time, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy said in a public speech: The Russian army’s long-planned “second phase offensive of the war” is also the “Donbas” The "regional general offensive" has officially begun. He said that there are currently at least nearly 100,000 main Russian troops engaged in fierce tug-of-war with the Ukrainian army on the front lines of Kharkov , Donetsk and Luhansk areas, but the Ukrainian army is still holding on to its position. Danilov, Minister of the Uzbek Security Council, also said that the Russian army "launched an attack on almost the entire eastern front". This was also the first time since March this year that the Russian army launched a large-scale campaign-level offensive against the Uzbek army.
There is also news that on the day the Russian army launched its offensive, in addition to attacking the key military towns in the Eastern Ukraine region, the Russian army also carried out large-scale attacks on Nikolayev , Mariupol and other cities. Missile strikes. Judging from this series of major moves by the Russian army, the Russian army is extremely determined to take over the Udong region and control Kharkov this time. , its offensive will is even comparable to that of Russia at the beginning of the war in February this year. Army airborne troops. However, it is worth mentioning that for this large-scale attack, the Russian military did not "announce strategic goals with a high profile" as it did in February this year, but did not make any positive response.
It is worth mentioning that as the decisive battle between the Russian and Ukrainian armies began, a large number of civilians in Eastern Ukraine began to flee in a hurry. According to the local government, as the town of Klimina is controlled by the Russian army, tens of thousands of civilians in Eastern Ukraine are being forced to leave shelters and flee. The local police are fully coordinating evacuation matters and giving priority to ensuring that the elderly, disabled and children can be Leave the war zone. However, Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister warned on the same day that Russia and Ukraine did not reach an agreement on the evacuation channel for civilians that day. This may cause the Russian-Ukrainian artillery fire to affect a large number of evacuating civilians, causing a terrible humanitarian disaster.
Some scholars pointed out that this large-scale offensive by the Russian army is likely to be the "last battle" between Russia and Ukraine. First of all, both the Russian and Ukrainian armies have suffered considerable casualties. The Ukrainian and naval air forces have been crippled, and the army is completely exposed to Russian air strikes, which is very disadvantageous on the battlefield. In previous offensive operations, the Russian army It also suffered a large number of casualties. Data shows that the average combat attrition of the Russian main force has reached about 10%. Although it is still far from the morale death line of 25%, for Russia, which already lacks conventional troops and soldiers, , this loss has been difficult to accept. In the foreseeable future, both sides will be unable to carry out larger-scale conventional force decisive battles without escalating security risks. Therefore, this may be the last battle-level decisive battle that the two sides can engage in.
In addition, from a strategic perspective, the Russian army indeed regards this attack as the most important operation. The Russian army launched the war to a large extent to ensure the independence of the eastern Ukraine region, to ensure that Ukraine could not join forces with NATO to directly impose military threats on the Russian border, and at the same time to protect the personal safety of the Russian residents in the eastern Ukrainian region. Under this circumstance, controlling the entire Donbas region and capturing key military towns such as Kharkiv and Mariupol are necessary conditions for the Russian army to achieve its strategic goals. Some analysts believe that only by capturing several important military towns such as the Udong region and Kharkiv will the Russian army have enough leverage to force the Zelensky authorities to accept Russia's peace terms. As for the final result, Ukraine will be like the original Whether Germany will be divided like that or the Zelenskiy government will be forced to accept neutrality, it is still difficult to make an accurate prediction at present.
