Japan will make the mistake of " Diamond Princess " in the future
Hashimoto Takunori
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The author’s friend, Brother Dafeng, said a word in the circle of friends: Unexpected. This word is Japanese-style Chinese, and in Chinese it means: I didn’t expect it. In fact, the background of this word is that during the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, Tokyo Electric Power Company "unexpectedly" had a sudden power outage at the nuclear power plant and did not take emergency measures in advance, which caused the core of the nuclear power plant to "melt down." When reviewing the nuclear power accident afterwards, It was found that some experts had warned East Japan Electric Power in advance and asked to prepare a plan for a sudden power outage. However, such warnings were ignored, which resulted in a huge failure that Japan has not been able to solve for 100 years. The author said in a column at the time that if Japan did not Seriously summarizing the failure of the East Japan Earthquake, "unexpected" failures will happen in the future.
Before getting into the topic, the author wants to say one more thing. A reader left a message on the author's official account to ask about Japan's launch of treatment for new crown. The "miracle medicine" of pneumonia . The author told him that this medicine was originally used to treat influenza, and it was not a so-called "miracle medicine". The reader said: This "miracle medicine" was proposed by a certain master. The author left a message and replied: You believe it. Master, please stop me. I don’t eat human blood steamed buns. Why does the author say this? The Chinese translation of this so-called miracle drug is "Abigan", which is a flu drug developed by Japan to deal with the 2009 influenza. It has obvious side effects and has not been promoted on a large scale. The background for the proposal of the "miracle drug" is that there are dozens of severely ill patients who were diagnosed with infection on the "Diamond Princess". In order to save these severely ill patients, Japan has used various methods. Various drugs have been used, including drugs to treat AIDS, but they still failed to save the lives of two patients (one more has been added so far). In this situation, as long as there are drugs, they must be tested. The symptoms of COVID-19 are similar to those of influenza, so. Some doctors use flu medicine to treat it. It is said that this medicine is effective in mild cases. Prime Minister Abe In order to ease Japan’s domestic dissatisfaction with the government’s response, he will announce in the middle of this week that Japan will use this medicine as an anti-COVID-19 drug. . It’s just that this drug was originally only used to treat influenza. Although it has been used on some patients in China, it is not a newly developed “magic drug” as the master said. Just like mainland China uses various methods to treat COVID-19, if “China The so-called "miracle medicine" is effective. Just when the "miracle medicine" was not effective, the master said that Japan is not afraid of COVID-19 infection just because of the "miracle medicine". Such a statement will kill people, so the author I just said: Master Xin, please remove the author.
I remember that the Japanese government has just designated COVID-19 as a "designated infectious disease" and said that once an infected person is found, he will be forced to be sent to the hospital, and the cost will be borne by the Japanese government. Some people say that Japan will treat COVID-19 for free. Pneumonia. At that time, some critics asked whether such a designation would mislead patients from other countries to come to Japan for treatment. Someone immediately countered that these people would be refused repatriation when going through the procedures to enter Japan. , there will be no "refugees" due to COVID-19. Unfortunately, the "Diamond Princess" is exactly such a "refugee" of COVID-19.
The "Diamond Princess" ship is registered in the United Kingdom, managed by an American company, and its home port is in Japan. The passengers on board are citizens of various countries. But after an 80-year-old COVID-19 patient was discovered on board, the ship became a refugee ship. Many people are asking, why didn’t the Japanese government let the Japanese on board disembark as soon as possible? The reason is very simple. There are 3,700 people on the ship, about 2,700 passengers, and at least 1,000 people must be quarantined. The cost of each person is 500,000 yen, which is 500 million yen. From whom should we ask for this cost? This was the original motive behind the Japanese government's decision to quarantine at sea.(Of course there are other reasons)
The author mentioned in the column that Japan’s quarantine law was enacted more than 100 years ago to prevent cholera. The essence is to isolate the epidemic ship at sea for a period of time before disembarking. But the era is no longer the Meiji Era more than 100 years ago. Japan is faced with large-scale sightseeing cruise ships, which need to contain 3,700 people in a small space. Under such circumstances, no matter how careful the arrangements are, there is no guarantee that human-to-human transmission will not occur on the ship. Phenomenon. Whether it was a lack of emergency response or "unexpected", the Japanese government's decision put both the crew and passengers at risk.
After the author learned that the quarantine officer was infected, he thought that if the inspection was carried out on the ship, the ship was designed according to a five-star hotel, not a five-star hospital. In fact, isolation and quarantine are very inconvenient, why can't passengers be arranged Ashore inspection? And within two weeks, only 1,000 people were inspected. In the end, even quarantine officers were involved. Japan's efficiency is laughable. It is said that China's aid to Japan with 10,000 boxes of nucleic acid reagents solved Japan's urgent need.
This ship is a British ship and operated by an American company, so Japan refuses to allow passengers to disembark, which means they can only ignore the life and death of the people on the ship, even if there are 1,200 Japanese on board. But the author heard another saying that because of the low fatality rate of COVID-19, even if you are infected, as long as you have no symptoms, you can recover by relying on your own resistance. Japan can concentrate all its energy on dealing with mild and severe patients. This is also a concentrated resource. To prevent the epidemic, we do not conduct COVID-19 inspections for the entire ship. Such an obvious approach made passengers very uneasy. Who was infected in the small cabin and whether there was contamination there were all unknown horrors. Moreover, the crew members had not received professional infection prevention training. The crew members continued to serve after being infected. , How could such a ship not become a "germ culture ship"?
Because the ship is operated by the United States, when the Japanese government faced international pressure and asked the United States to send a military hospital ship, it was rejected. But after the situation worsened, the U.S. government was the first to decide to send charter flights to take back American passengers. Japanese passengers, on the other hand, can only be kept on the ship and cannot disembark in their own country or go home, becoming "coronavirus refugees." In the face of the epidemic, the Japanese government will have to look at the face of the United States in the end.
Back to the beginning of the article, assuming that 1,000 Japanese passengers were allowed to go ashore for quarantine at the beginning, there might not be more than 600 people infected now. But Japan does not have such large isolation facilities now. During the East Japan Earthquake, refugees used elementary schools, gymnasiums, and public halls as refuge places. Now there is no separate isolation place that can accommodate 1,000 people. But after hearing the news about Christmas Island in Australia, the author immediately thought of Gunkanjima. There are still former residential facilities on the island, so why can't they be immediately prepared as isolation facilities? Didn't anyone in Japan think of it? TV programs have always introduced that there are many bankrupt hotels and hotels. Why can't they be temporarily requisitioned? These facilities are certainly much more comfortable than those on ships and can prevent the spread of germs from person to person.
Some people say that if Japan allows Japanese people to disembark, other countries will be unhappy. This is Japan’s home port and Japan has the right to make such a decision. However, until the epidemic broke out on the ship, the Japanese government did not issue such an order. Is it short of money? Still not courageous? Passengers from other countries can negotiate with the country concerned and use chartered flights to send these passengers back home. This is not a new practice. A few weeks ago, the Japanese government used charter flights to evacuate Japanese citizens.
What the author cannot understand the most is that although the Japanese who disembarked from the "Diamond Princess" have been quarantined for 14 days, everyone's situation is different. The Japanese government believes that if the test result is negative, they can go home and use public transportation. tool. Finally, among the people whose test results were recessive, they developed fever 2 days after returning home, and the test results were positive again. Similarly, after staff from the Ministry of Health and Welfare came on board to inspect the patients who came into contact with them, they did not check whether they were infected, but went home directly to the office.According to reliable information, five employees of the Ministry of Health and Welfare have been infected. Such chaotic things are constantly happening.
Germany, the United States and other countries, after picking up the Diamond Princess passengers, will have to be quarantined in their own countries for 2 weeks and undergo inspection again. Because this ship is too dangerous, like a bomb that will explode at any time. Other countries do not believe in Japan’s quarantine measures and need to be quarantined again after returning home. The possibility of being infected in Japan is very high (more than 600 people have been infected). Currently, these treatments there have not been announced. The lack of announcement is for fear of panic among the Japanese people.
If the Japanese government really decides to abandon the isolation of asymptomatic patients, it will take a lot of courage. This is no longer a legal obligation. It’s about crisis management capabilities. The Abe cabinet held an emergency meeting. All important cabinet ministers took leave and did not attend. Prime Minister Abe left after attending for 30 minutes and had a leisurely dinner with Kim Meiling and other conservatives. They really believed that they were facing a major crisis. epidemic? Judging from their behavior, it is definitely not a major epidemic. Such politicians really suck.
Original name: Japan is not ready to face the crisis
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