The specific adjustment time is 24:00 on July 12, 2022. This is the thirteenth round of oil price adjustment this year and the first price adjustment since the second half of the year. In addition, domestic oil prices are at a more critical moment. Therefore, countless people are

As time goes by, oil prices will change again! The specific adjustment time is 24:00 on July 12, 2022. This is the thirteenth round of oil price adjustment this year and the first price adjustment since the second half of the year. In addition, domestic oil prices are at a more critical moment. Therefore, countless people are more concerned about this round of oil price adjustment. focus on. In addition, especially for the price of No. 92 gasoline, this round of price adjustment may become an important turning point, because it will determine whether we can return to the "8 yuan era", whether the cost for car owners to fill up a tank of 50L gasoline will increase or decrease, and whether the "secondary price" can be achieved. "continuous decline" and other issues, therefore, the first round of oil price adjustment in July is bound to become the focus of much attention.

Of course, according to the main indicators of reference price adjustments in the current few working days, it is expected that the next round of refined oil price adjustments may be reduced, and 92# gasoline will fall below 9 yuan by then. The main basis is that the change rate of crude oil is within the negative range. It is running, and it is running deeper in the negative range than on the first working day. This can be illustrated by the second and third working days, which corresponds to the predicted cumulative decrease in oil prices continuing to expand, especially on the third working day when the forecast is lowered to 75 yuan/ tons, clearly exceeding the price adjustment red line of 50 yuan/ton. Therefore, oil prices are in a downward trend. In addition, although the change rate of domestic crude oil narrowed to -1.29% on the fourth working day, the cumulative decrease in oil prices is expected to still exceed 70 yuan/ton, which means that oil prices are still in a downward trend, which may provide the basis for the next round of price reductions in refined oil products. Lay the groundwork.

Secondly, a more important point is that investors are worried that the slowdown in global economic growth will drag down oil demand in the face of supply disruptions and signs of continued market tension. Therefore, the rebound in international oil prices does not seem to be very smooth, and the global Concerns arising from the slowdown in economic growth have played a certain constraining role. At the same time, coupled with OPEC+ maintaining the previously announced production quota adjustment plan, this is another important negative factor for bulls. Therefore, in the current game of bullish and bearish factors in the international market, the international crude oil price trend is no longer like that in May. , as in June, the unilateral market started at every turn. Now, in the short term, it is more likely to be a tug-of-war, or a stalemate between long and short.

In addition, usually the rebound in international oil prices is contained, which means that the short opportunity for domestic refined oil products has come. According to data, WTI crude oil futures fell below US$108 per barrel on Monday after rising 2.5% on Friday. As of press time, WTI crude oil futures fell by more than 0.50% and were quoted at around US$107.80 per barrel. Brent crude oil futures fell nearly 5.0% to US$111 per barrel. Obviously, both WTI and Brent crude oil futures prices have declined and fluctuated within a reasonable range.

Furthermore, when the negative and positive factors of are superimposed on each other, any news at the news level may become an important weight to promote the rise or fall of international oil prices. Therefore, in this round of pricing cycle, the trend of international oil prices exists Uncertainty, but in the long term, international crude oil prices are bound to gradually fall. To be precise, it is just a matter of time, because OPEC maintains its production increase plan, and a series of measures such as the release of strategic oil reserves by the United States are putting pressure on bulls. It is expected that It won't take too long for international oil prices to gradually drop. By then, domestic refined oil products will also fall, and the prices of No. 92 and No. 95 gasoline will fall.

In summary, domestic oil prices are about to change again! The exact time is 24:00 on July 12. Due to the current forecast oil price has been reduced by about 75 yuan/ton, coupled with changes in the international market, it is comprehensively expected that the next round of refined oil price adjustments may be reduced. By then, No. 92 gasoline is expected to fall below 9 yuan. And returning to the "8 yuan era", the cost for consumers to fill up a 50L tank of gasoline continues to decrease.

​(This article was originally created by Cheng Shuo Fengyun. Welcome to pay attention and increase your knowledge together with everyone.)