The reason why the Russian army withdrew from Snake Island may be that Russian missiles hit a shopping mall in Ukraine, causing a large number of civilian casualties. At first, it was based on the hope of buying off the Ukrainian military. Then after the Russian army entered, the

The reason why the Russian army withdrew from Snake Island may be that Russian missiles hit a Ukrainian shopping mall, causing a large number of civilian casualties.

The missile hit the shopping mall, and behind it was a Russian precision guided missile. is not as accurate as . The target in Ukraine that the Russian army attacked was definitely not that shopping mall, and must have missed .

In this way, if Russia uses missiles to hit Ukraine in the future, it must be more cautious.

Putin asked the Russian army to abandon Snake Island because he wanted to reconcile with Ukraine as soon as possible. Although is said, Ukraine has obtained European and American heavy weapons , which can bombard Snake Island. But Snake Island can dig cellars for defense. The steel plant in Ukraine also held on for so long.

This is a live map from abroad tracking the Russia-Ukraine war. The Russian army has made no progress recently. It is very possible that this territory is all Putin wants.

Now Putin hopes that the Ukrainian president will accept the loss of this piece of territory in eastern Ukraine and then reconcile with Russia.

Ukrainian President Zelensky, his choice depends on the strength of the weapons provided by Europe and the United States.

If Europe and the United States provide a large number of weapons, Zelensky will not be able to reconcile for the time being.

In fact, Putin’s goals of the Wudong war plan have been shrinking. At first, it was based on the hope of buying off the Ukrainian military. Then after the Russian army entered, the Ukrainian army surrendered, and Putin supported a pro-Russian puppet in Ukraine. However, Putin appointed cronies to bribe the Ukrainian military and embezzled the bribed budget. As a result, the top Ukrainian military officials did not receive the money, and they fought bravely. In the end, the Russian army withdrew from , Kiev, and other places, and Putin liquidated his cronies who had embezzled funds.

This is the first stage of Putin’s military rule in Wudong.

The second stage is when the Russian army goes all out to fight in eastern Ukraine. The goal is to eat the entire Ukraine. Then, the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army is constantly improving , and weapons assistance from Europe and the United States is flowing in. The United States also provides Stinger missiles and heavy rocket launchers, and European countries such as Germany also provide heavy weapons.

In this process, the strength of the Russian air force was very poor, and it was known to Europe and the United States . At the same time, Putin does not dare to use to nuclear weapons . This paper tiger is known to Europe and the United States. Then there is: EU accepts Ukraine as a candidate country.

In this way, Putin wants to eat up the entire Wudong plan. The strength of does not allow and can only shrink.

That is to say, according to the combat effectiveness of the Russian army, is already very reluctant to maintain the current occupation of Wudong territory.

Therefore, as long as Europe and the United States put pressure on Ukraine, the Russia-Ukraine war will end.

It now seems that the Russian army may eventually return these two places to Ukraine as a bargaining chip in negotiations.

After this war, Russia’s trump card has been completely exposed.

The next step may be secret diplomacy to get Europe and the United States to accept the idea of ​​Russia occupying the territory of eastern Ukraine.

If Europe and the United States do not agree to this idea, Ukraine will definitely continue to fight.

The retracement of oil prices yesterday may have this meaning. If Russia and Ukraine reconcile, then Putin will find a way to get Europe and the United States to lift sanctions on Russia as soon as possible.

In this case, the price of oil may be at $100 a barrel.

If Europe and the United States lift sanctions on Russia, the ruble exchange rate will depreciate, because the ruble will be open, so rich Russians will go to Europe for consumption, investment, shopping and tourism. In terms of dollars and euros, swish swish.

Now, the initiative to cease the war between Russia and Ukraine lies with Europe, the United States and Ukraine.

Putin is actually constantly adapting. There is no way from to black , and has no intention of confronting with Europe and the United States. Putin has no objection to Ukraine joining the EU. Putin has no objection to Sweden Finland joining NATO , as long as NATO does not build military facilities on Finnish territory that are detrimental to Russia.