The cycle description of the Shanghai Composite Index

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Shanghai Composite Index

Trend:

Bull market, the bull market marked by the low of 2440 in January 2019, the rhythm of the wave rose slowly;

, Slowing out of chaos is enough to suffocate stockholders within 20 years of age, because the last round of slow cattle was before 2001.


Phase:

The Shanghai Composite Index's large cycle wave shape and time period have been met, and the future phase is that the opportunity is greater than the risk;


Short-term:

will inevitably oscillate at 3731 points.


Looking at the short-term from the stage, due to the time period, I think the probability of a deep downward adjustment is too small. This deep reduction refers to a new low during the year.


In the end, the short-term will cater to the stage, and the stage will cater to the trend.


The current annual amplitude of the Shanghai Composite Index is still low, only 12.06%, which is lower than the 24% historical second-lowest annual amplitude. In my opinion, the probability that the annual amplitude of the Shanghai Composite Index will be less than 24% this year is also small. In the last three months of this year, the amplitude can only be expanded through a new high or a new low during the year.


You can continue to read these two articles

The "A-Share Global View" released on April 25, 2021

The "Shanghai Stock Exchange Index Cycle and Part of the Regional Cycle" released on May 24, 2021


Qin Ye vibrato number: 816766178

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