According to Taiwan media reports, the Taiwan Epidemic Command Center announced today (11th) that there were 41,364 local confirmed cases, 74 moved abroad, with a total of 41,438 confirmed cases; 36 new local deaths were added.
Taiwan's new crown epidemic continues to spread, and with the upcoming relaxation of border policies, it has also caused many people to worry. In this regard, physician Shen Zhengnan said that from the weekly increase rate, the epidemic in Taiwan has not slowed down until last week. "That is to say, now it is on the road to the peak, but the road is not as steep as the previous wave, not the plateau period."
Shen Zhengnan also pointed out that the peak peak has exceeded half of BA.2. The key time point of the peak will be seen this Wednesday and next Wednesday. "So far, the uninfected population is still more than 50%! Anyone who is determined to have more than 50% of the infected population is an outsider." Shen Zhengnan also proposed evidence, judging from the number of epidemic prevention insurance claims, it is 47% so far. In addition, the current number of confirmed cases, even if the number of blacks is included, the infected population is still less than 50%.
In addition, Shen Zhengnan also estimated the gap between the mortality rate of long-term care institutions and the mortality rate of the elderly in the general population. The proportion of blacks is about 35% of the confirmed cases, so at least 60% of the population has not yet been infected. "If these 60% of the population have been vaccinated within three months, about 60% of the infection protection, and if you wear a mask, about 50% of the protection, then you can put BA.5 to the current slow-up curve."
Finally, Shen Zhengnan reminded that once the vaccine protection expires, or if you don't wear masks, the BA.5 epidemic will definitely soar! "The epidemic will not drop to 10,000 or 20,000 cases at the earliest until mid-to-late November. If the protection of vaccines and masks is not enough, the curve will fluctuate and fluctuate."
